Realized P&L
+$343
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
79.7%
Resolved
309
Trades
4,564
lifetime
Volume
$129.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$3.89K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-27 21:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
60% 84% +$234
Other
30% 90% +$83
Crypto
10% 92% +$25
Sports
0% 80% +$0
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1,579 -$1,518 98¢ $-1548 -$31 10-19 11:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? No +395 $391 100¢ $394 +$3 10-25 14:26
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? No +370 $368 100¢ $369 +$1 10-20 08:29
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +282 $267 93¢ $261 -$6 10-27 16:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +226 $203 99¢ $223 +$20 10-27 17:29
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? No +200 $199 100¢ $200 +$1 10-23 09:03
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +120 $119 100¢ $120 +$0 10-24 22:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? No +100 $97 100¢ $100 +$3 10-24 23:15
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? No +96 $95 100¢ $95 +$1 10-24 22:26
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No +93 $76 98¢ $91 +$15 10-22 15:31
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 No +100 $88 90¢ $91 +$2 10-14 09:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +90 $88 98¢ $88 +$0 10-25 11:08
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 10-26 13:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? No +50 $49 100¢ $50 +$0 10-23 01:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 10-27 20:21
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -48 -$46 96¢ $-46 +$0 05-10 16:58
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -37 -$35 96¢ $-35 +$0 06-28 12:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +30 $28 96¢ $29 +$0 10-13 05:15
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-21 19:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +20 $15 94¢ $19 +$3 10-27 06:19
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -13 -$14 96¢ $-13 +$1 09-27 16:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? Yes +1 -$1 66¢ $0 +$1 10-21 14:30
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No -0 -$1 99¢ $-0 +$1 10-26 12:36
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? No +0 -$11 100¢ $0 +$11 10-21 18:44
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 10-06 07:42