Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,346
Trades
45
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$22,217
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-31
last 08-03 13:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+94.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $45
vs crowd: 6% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $948 | $948 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $46 | $281 | $235 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $3 | $8 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $24 | $1 | +$23 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $45 | — | +$45 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $948 | $948 |
| unranked | 10 | $24 | $278 | $254 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,067 | $44 | $45 | 12 | 08-01 15:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +993 | $948 | $948 | 3 | 07-21 16:30 |
| Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | +284 | $269 | $269 | 1 | 07-05 07:46 |
| Altruistic-Wellbeing 0x1e5a…d56e | Yes | +247 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 07-05 07:46 |
| Wilted-Speaking 0x539b…624c | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-21 16:18 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-18 13:57 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 07:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 01:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:25:54 | (anonymous) 0xd9db…d937 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3213fd… |
| 08-03 13:25:54 | (anonymous) 0x9142…45d0 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3213fd… |
| 08-01 15:32:42 | (anonymous) 0xd9db…d937 | Yes | SELL | 162 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xd6a167… |
| 08-01 15:32:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 162 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xd6a167… |
| 07-21 16:30:01 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 325 | 96¢ | $312 | 0xd25f7a… |
| 07-21 16:30:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 162 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xd25f7a… |
| 07-21 16:22:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 162 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x21c1dc… |
| 07-21 16:22:16 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 236 | 96¢ | $226 | 0x21c1dc… |
| 07-21 16:20:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 88 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x1fff78… |
| 07-21 16:20:28 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 88 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x1fff78… |
| 07-21 16:18:54 | Wilted-Speaking 0x539b…624c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xacbaf2… |
| 07-21 16:18:54 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 432 | 95¢ | $410 | 0xacbaf2… |
| 07-21 16:18:54 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 88 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xacbaf2… |
| 07-21 16:18:54 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 81 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xacbaf2… |
| 07-18 13:57:30 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xaec785… |
| 07-18 13:57:30 | Third-Vampire 0xb991…ba03 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xaec785… |
| 07-11 01:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x9d3218… |
| 07-11 01:59:37 | Selfish-Birth 0x4f34…4d1e | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x9d3218… |
| 07-05 07:46:02 | Honest-Decrease 0x2df3…f6be | No | BUY | 284 | 95¢ | $269 | 0x5e151a… |
| 07-05 07:46:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x5e151a… |
| 07-05 07:46:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x5e151a… |
| 07-05 07:46:02 | Altruistic-Wellbeing 0x1e5a…d56e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x5e151a… |
| 07-05 07:46:02 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x5e151a… |
| 07-02 06:48:02 | Intrepid-Grandfather 0x4f68…0714 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x4cac3a… |
| 07-02 06:48:02 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x4cac3a… |
| 07-01 18:28:53 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x16ca0a… |
| 07-01 18:28:53 | (anonymous) 0x0daa…e2e6 | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x16ca0a… |
| 06-29 11:53:40 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7499dc… |
| 06-29 11:53:40 | (anonymous) 0x508f…5a4f | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x7499dc… |
| 06-29 07:36:04 | Blaring-Image 0x600d…96c1 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xcf5136… |
| 06-29 07:36:04 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xcf5136… |
| 06-29 01:13:46 | Blaring-Image 0x600d…96c1 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xfac37d… |
| 06-29 01:13:46 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfac37d… |
| 06-24 18:04:11 | Altruistic-Wellbeing 0x1e5a…d56e | Yes | BUY | 47 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x1fbf41… |
| 06-24 18:04:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x1fbf41… |
| 06-24 18:04:11 | Glittering-Elf 0xed89…647b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1fbf41… |
| 06-12 17:43:30 | Glittering-Elf 0xed89…647b | Yes | SELL | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4d6236… |
| 06-12 17:43:30 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | SELL | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0x4d6236… |
| 06-12 17:43:30 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4d6236… |
| 06-11 11:12:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdf872b… |
| 06-11 11:12:43 | (anonymous) 0x8f64…660f | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xdf872b… |
| 06-09 00:09:19 | (anonymous) 0x8f64…660f | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x32a2d0… |
| 06-09 00:09:19 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x32a2d0… |
| 05-31 18:58:15 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x66cfe8… |
| 05-31 18:58:15 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | BUY | 13 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x66cfe8… |