Selfish-Birth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

428

Trades

1,367

lifetime

Volume

$5.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-21 05:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

60% 88% -$6

Crypto

39% 99% -$40

Politics

1% 97% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+324	$9	2¢	$7	-$2	06-08 17:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-5	-$5	99¢	$-5	$0	07-20 03:50
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	$0	06-08 11:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	861	$2.6K	20,048	19,724	+324	open	—	06-08 17:19
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	34	$152	38,042	38,042	+0	No	+$0	02-11 10:08
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	8	$135	59,991	15,000	+44,991	No	-$45	02-25 06:18
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 21 2026?	2	$73	40	40	+0	No	$0	09-21 04:28
will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	3	$62	80	80	+0	U 1.5	-$4	07-11 09:12
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	3	$42	21,100	21,100	+0	No	$0	05-30 08:43
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $77.50 Week of September 21 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-21 05:23
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $73 Week of September 21 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-21 03:21
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 21 2026?	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-21 05:31
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of September 21 2026?	2	$35	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-21 05:31
will bitcoin dip to 84k january 12 18	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	01-17 15:22
will the price of solana be greater than 150 on february 8	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	02-05 18:24
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 15	1	$23	24	0	+24	No	+$0	04-12 08:49
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$20	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$0	01-26 13:41
will xrp reach 3pt2 in february 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-28 15:55
bitcoin above 84k on january 12	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	01-11 14:58
will tsla dip to 330 by june 29 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-02 11:09
will bitcoin reach 80k april 6 12	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-12 08:48
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-09 04:05
will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-20 01:35
will googl reach 400 by june 22 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-25 11:08
will xauusd reach 4500 by june 22 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-25 11:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on July 23?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-22 15:23
will ethereum reach 2500 february 23 march 1	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-28 15:56
will ethereum dip to 2800 january 12 18	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-17 15:23
bitcoin above 88k on january 11	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	01-11 14:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-15 11:08
meta above 640 on june 26 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 11:09
will bitcoin reach 76k february 23 march 1	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-28 15:56
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on May 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-21 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 05:31:22	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x4b0db0…
09-21 05:31:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 21 2026?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xa6b715…
09-21 05:23:30	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $77.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xf41863…
09-21 05:20:45	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $67.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xda4171…
09-21 05:18:18	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $77.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x10bb24…
09-21 04:28:27	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0xc55684…
09-21 04:25:40	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xbe3ff7…
09-21 03:21:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $73 Week of September 21 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x2db36d…
09-21 01:10:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x51ef75…
09-21 01:08:08	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $73 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x6a77e6…
09-21 01:07:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x92e831…
09-21 01:07:20	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x285678…
09-21 01:07:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x0e09d8…
09-12 13:34:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfd4074…
09-12 13:33:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6ba01b…
09-12 13:33:19	Will Solana reach $120 September 7-13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa0c44a…
09-01 05:25:34	bitcoin above 82k on september 1 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x39c04c…
08-15 11:08:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55ab55…
08-15 11:08:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17000a…
08-15 11:08:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7eecff…
08-15 11:07:54	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x425428…
08-15 11:07:10	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdae911…
08-09 06:52:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41036e…
08-09 06:52:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x632911…
08-09 06:52:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x08b41e…
08-09 06:51:00	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fe1ed…
08-09 06:50:30	bitcoin above 74k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8c7b1…
08-09 06:47:24	bitcoin above 74k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x564e37…
08-09 06:47:13	bitcoin above 70k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a841a…
07-28 15:16:55	will aapl dip to 264 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x10f202…
07-28 15:16:35	will msft dip to 270 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51aa2d…
07-28 15:16:07	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa04fff…
07-28 15:15:49	will nvda reach 248 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26feee…
07-28 15:15:31	will tsla reach 465 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08a05c…
07-28 15:14:10	will chainlink reach 18 in july	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1bbcb9…
07-28 15:13:56	will bnb reach 700 in july	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6e3ff4…
07-28 15:13:37	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x702e0a…
07-28 15:12:59	will solana reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x24c8df…
07-28 15:12:47	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc5c27a…
07-28 15:12:25	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x736ea4…
07-28 15:12:07	bitcoin above 74k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x45024b…
07-28 15:11:53	bitcoin above 74k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xde5e22…
07-28 15:11:14	bitcoin above 68k on july 29 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdf6c96…
07-22 15:24:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44bbd3…
07-22 15:24:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6dba3b…
07-22 15:23:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on July 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3aa2de…
07-20 03:50:12	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb88a9a…
07-20 03:50:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdcaffb…
07-20 03:49:52	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x370721…
07-20 03:49:42	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xa4cf35…
07-20 03:48:54	will nvda dip to 176 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x392467…
07-20 03:29:22	will nvda dip to 176 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc4e4a6…
07-20 01:35:33	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd52e13…
07-11 09:12:38	will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	U 1.5	SELL	60	35¢	$21	0x349278…
07-11 03:20:02	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7a9e12…
07-11 03:19:35	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9d9b17…
07-11 02:09:07	will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	U 1.5	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x6610cb…
07-11 02:03:04	will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	U 1.5	BUY	80	41¢	$33	0x8e64ea…
07-11 01:59:37	Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x9d3218…
07-02 11:09:40	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc93193…
07-02 11:09:40	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x5d1f19…
07-02 11:09:38	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xff04c1…
07-02 11:09:38	nvda above 225 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x549168…
07-02 11:09:38	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x2f262a…
07-02 11:09:37	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xf81dae…
07-02 11:09:35	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x125f37…
07-02 11:09:34	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xd1f7d2…
07-02 11:09:34	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x4a14c5…
07-02 11:09:32	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xaadd8b…
07-02 11:09:05	will tsla dip to 330 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xff898f…
07-02 11:05:10	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b803c…
06-25 11:10:56	googl above 400 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd07e7c…
06-25 11:10:14	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x839c45…
06-25 11:09:49	meta above 640 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe9d27…
06-25 11:09:26	aapl above 330 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8559c6…
06-25 11:09:08	will tsla reach 450 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x634b3c…
06-25 11:08:38	tsla above 430 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a3a1d…
06-25 11:08:08	will googl reach 400 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe14176…
06-25 11:07:44	will xauusd reach 4500 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x558f77…
06-23 06:47:52	will the announcers say messi during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548687	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xc3edd8…
06-23 04:06:53	will the announcers say messi during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548687	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xb12cdd…
06-19 07:16:59	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1d8c6a…
06-19 07:16:43	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x625e8a…
06-12 15:12:07	Will Google (GOOGL) close at $385-$390 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x17ee6f…
06-12 15:10:58	googl above 380 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x789bd9…
06-12 15:10:22	aapl above 325 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9cf69f…
06-12 15:09:48	nvda above 225 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd55bb1…
06-12 15:07:45	tsla above 450 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8cde1b…
06-12 15:07:19	amzn above 275 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeee1f4…
06-12 15:06:58	will spy reach 765 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8fdb86…
06-12 15:04:49	Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2c2ce…
06-12 15:04:36	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x06bfb0…
06-12 14:36:46	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6c8b55…
06-12 14:36:30	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a8053…
06-12 14:36:03	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x800019…
06-12 14:35:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x109c0b…
06-12 14:35:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x48641f…
06-12 14:35:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2eaf27…
06-12 14:34:46	solana above 120 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe43999…
06-12 14:34:30	solana above 110 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ce166…