Realized P&L
+$156
Unrealized P&L
+$342
Hit rate
47.6%
Resolved
40
Trades
676
lifetime
Volume
$13.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.57K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-03 03:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Crypto
90% 41% +$190
Other
8% 31% -$26
Politics
1% 25% +$13
Tech
1% 0% -$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No -314 -$291 98¢ $-307 -$16 10-03 01:49
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,009 $64 20¢ $197 +$132 11-03 23:35
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,556 $70 3¢ $158 +$88 11-03 03:50
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -122 -$118 98¢ $-119 -$2 07-03 11:09
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +160 $104 68¢ $108 +$4 06-16 12:04
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 +$0 06-01 12:08
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No -100 -$89 97¢ $-97 -$8 09-30 19:54
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No -89 -$83 99¢ $-88 -$4 06-01 02:57
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +96 $50 90¢ $87 +$37 05-09 09:39
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +65 -$34 80¢ $52 +$86 10-23 10:15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $18 70¢ $42 +$24 05-06 08:34
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +140 $3 25¢ $35 +$32 10-17 18:08
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +70 $17 46¢ $32 +$15 10-21 16:39
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $20 10¢ $31 +$12 10-04 14:40
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +790 $28 4¢ $30 +$3 10-22 19:12
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $1,000 +50 $22 36¢ $18 -$3 08-19 21:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +50 $12 36¢ $18 +$6 10-10 14:06
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -17 -$13 93¢ $-16 -$3 06-29 02:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 12¢ $12 +$3 10-02 08:20
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $17 6¢ $8 -$9 11-02 18:00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +100 $22 6¢ $6 -$15 06-27 17:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 10-01 16:31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +130 $7 2¢ $3 -$5 11-02 17:56
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +36 $16 6¢ $2 -$14 06-10 09:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $13 2¢ $2 -$11 06-11 21:21
Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 09-28 03:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $10 0¢ $1 -$9 06-16 11:02
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 05-27 00:41