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Realized P&L (90d)
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$483
Hit rate
29.4%
Resolved (90d)
7
Trades (90d)
237
662 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.54K
$13.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.67K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-06 03:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Crypto
90% 41% +$190
Other
8% 31% -$26
Politics
1% 20% +$6
Tech
1% 0% -$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No -314 -$291 98¢ $-307 -$16 10-03 01:49
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? Yes +909 $42 22¢ $205 +$162 11-06 01:48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +160 $104 88¢ $141 +$37 06-16 12:04
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,901 $52 3¢ $135 +$83 11-06 01:51
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -122 -$118 98¢ $-120 -$3 07-03 11:09
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$99 99¢ $-99 +$0 06-01 12:08
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No -100 -$89 98¢ $-98 -$9 09-30 19:54
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No -89 -$83 98¢ $-87 -$4 06-01 02:57
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +72 $28 92¢ $67 +$39 11-06 03:05
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +65 -$34 78¢ $50 +$84 10-23 10:15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $18 78¢ $46 +$28 05-06 08:34
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +140 $3 30¢ $42 +$39 10-17 18:08
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +790 $28 4¢ $35 +$8 10-22 19:12
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +50 $12 66¢ $33 +$21 10-10 14:06
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $20 11¢ $33 +$13 10-04 14:40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +100 $22 29¢ $29 +$7 06-27 17:31
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +39 $4 48¢ $19 +$15 11-06 01:47
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? No — -23 -$21 82¢ $-19 +$2 07-26 15:28
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $1,000 +50 $22 36¢ $18 -$3 08-19 21:30
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -17 -$13 94¢ $-16 -$3 06-29 02:54
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +122 $9 12¢ $15 +$6 06-18 07:21
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +79 $6 18¢ $15 +$8 11-06 01:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 11¢ $11 +$2 10-02 08:20
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $17 6¢ $10 -$8 11-02 18:00
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? Yes +282 $14 3¢ $8 -$6 09-19 16:38
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +436 $2 1¢ $6 +$3 09-02 00:50
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? Yes +130 $3 4¢ $5 +$2 06-12 09:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $5 5¢ $5 $0 10-01 16:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $13 2¢ $2 -$11 06-11 21:21
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +36 $16 4¢ $1 -$15 06-10 09:58