Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
open
Total volume
$477
$17 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$4,163
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-12 00:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $75 | $75 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $325 | $325 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $39 | $37 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $3 | $202 | $199 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $24 | $24 |
| Median | 3 | $22 | $61 | $39 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $52 | $52 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $85 | $85 |
| unranked | 3 | $14 | — | +$14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | +160 | $22 | $22 | 12 | 05-11 23:27 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +145 | $126 | $126 | 3 | 05-09 12:51 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +87 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 05-11 14:57 |
| Mushy-Negotiation 0xaea3…4c16 | Yes | +60 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 00:39 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +60 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 05-09 12:51 |
| Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | +40 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-09 12:13 |
| Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | +40 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-09 12:13 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-11 00:34 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-11 00:35 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +28 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-09 12:13 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +28 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-09 12:51 |
| Novel-Beanie 0x95a0…dfdf | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 16:39 |
| Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 00:27 |
| Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-11 21:41 |
| Safe-Error 0xb237…f959 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 08:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 00:27:47 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x6f33a2… |
| 05-11 23:27:12 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x79f932… |
| 05-11 23:23:51 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xb4a7cc… |
| 05-11 23:23:42 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xce22c8… |
| 05-11 23:23:21 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x2f4e99… |
| 05-11 23:23:07 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x2ccb25… |
| 05-11 23:22:44 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x659a8e… |
| 05-11 23:22:11 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x03b2bb… |
| 05-11 23:22:02 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xc6085c… |
| 05-11 23:21:43 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf5e9f4… |
| 05-11 23:16:51 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x2ae25f… |
| 05-11 23:16:40 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x031ecd… |
| 05-11 23:16:25 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x622d86… |
| 05-11 21:41:49 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 15 | 84¢ | $12 | 0xa56ad9… |
| 05-11 14:57:50 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 72 | 87¢ | $62 | 0xaf2b04… |
| 05-11 05:43:35 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x1f27df… |
| 05-11 00:39:45 | Mushy-Negotiation 0xaea3…4c16 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 15¢ | $9 | 0xbf051f… |
| 05-11 00:35:02 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x82db12… |
| 05-11 00:34:51 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x82a4bd… |
| 05-10 08:18:51 | Safe-Error 0xb237…f959 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x336fa3… |
| 05-09 12:51:24 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 28 | 87¢ | $24 | 0xf63f63… |
| 05-09 12:51:24 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x883a08… |
| 05-09 12:51:24 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 36 | 87¢ | $31 | 0x7290a8… |
| 05-09 12:13:43 | Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0xea6e3b… |
| 05-09 12:13:43 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 73 | 87¢ | $64 | 0xd0425d… |
| 05-09 12:13:43 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 28 | 87¢ | $24 | 0xc4ac37… |
| 05-09 12:13:43 | Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x09a1ec… |
| 05-09 12:00:51 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x23f646… |
| 05-09 12:00:51 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 36 | 87¢ | $31 | 0xddc5a0… |
| 05-09 12:00:51 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0x40ba0b… |
| 05-07 11:39:25 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x4e7866… |
| 05-05 16:39:48 | Novel-Beanie 0x95a0…dfdf | Yes | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xe9bc93… |