Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
115
lifetime
Volume
$663
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$114
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-16 12:15
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
67%
Tech
23%
Politics
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -71 $-70 100¢ $-71 $-1 05-30 14:22
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +46 $40 94¢ $43 +$3 05-30 21:05
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +10 $3 $0 $-3 05-31 07:31
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes -20 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-16 12:15
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $9 $0 $-9 05-30 15:34