Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
open
Total volume
$969
Trades
60
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$1,660
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2026-02-28
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-15 23:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $359
vs crowd: 6% YES on $470)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $17 | $370 | $353 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | $20 | $19 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $10 | $37 | $27 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $359 | $359 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $11 | $21 | $10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 5 | — | $29 | $29 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $7 | $6 | +$1 |
| unranked | 9 | $10 | $14 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | +384 | $349 | $349 | 4 | 06-15 23:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +92 | $11 | $11 | 5 | 06-15 23:06 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +60 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-15 23:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +38 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-02 16:49 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +32 | $3 | $5 | 4 | 06-15 23:06 |
| Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 06-15 23:09 |
| Smoggy-Sunglasses 0xb4f2…e5fa | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-31 07:31 |
| Novel-Beanie 0x95a0…dfdf | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 07:31 |
| Plush-Thong 0x7028…e0e9 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-05 00:19 |
| Bulky-Input 0x79f7…d24a | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-04 21:38 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | +4 | $1 | $9 | 3 | 06-12 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd50…a2e4 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 23:18 |
| Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 03:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbc2…e164 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 20:22 |
| Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | +2 | $2 | $9 | 2 | 06-11 17:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x926d…a15b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 23:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 23:09:01 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x5c60b9… |
| 06-15 23:09:01 | Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | BUY | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x5c60b9… |
| 06-15 23:08:10 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x44ba9f… |
| 06-15 23:08:10 | Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x44ba9f… |
| 06-15 23:07:18 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xdcefe3… |
| 06-15 23:07:18 | Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xdcefe3… |
| 06-15 23:06:45 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 272 | 92¢ | $249 | 0xf96e10… |
| 06-15 23:06:45 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xf96e10… |
| 06-15 23:06:45 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xf96e10… |
| 06-15 23:06:45 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 224 | 92¢ | $206 | 0xf96e10… |
| 06-15 23:06:28 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x83de9e… |
| 06-15 23:06:28 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x83de9e… |
| 06-15 23:06:18 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 26 | 88¢ | $23 | 0x9ea968… |
| 06-15 23:06:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x9ea968… |
| 06-15 23:06:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x45db09… |
| 06-15 23:06:10 | Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | BUY | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0x45db09… |
| 06-15 23:06:04 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xcb0b7a… |
| 06-15 23:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x926d…a15b | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xcb0b7a… |
| 06-15 23:06:00 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 56 | 89¢ | $50 | 0x988c0b… |
| 06-15 23:06:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x988c0b… |
| 06-14 23:18:00 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xd26809… |
| 06-14 23:18:00 | (anonymous) 0xdd50…a2e4 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xd26809… |
| 06-14 03:53:24 | Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x15ecaf… |
| 06-14 03:53:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x15ecaf… |
| 06-12 22:25:00 | (anonymous) 0xbed9…fb3c | Yes | SELL | 184 | 14¢ | $26 | 0xcbb4b3… |
| 06-12 22:25:00 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | SELL | 22 | 75¢ | $17 | 0xcbb4b3… |
| 06-12 22:25:00 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 134 | 89¢ | $119 | 0xcbb4b3… |
| 06-12 22:25:00 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xcbb4b3… |
| 06-12 22:25:00 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xcbb4b3… |
| 06-12 22:25:00 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | SELL | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xcbb4b3… |
| 06-11 17:34:54 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0xc298c8… |
| 06-11 17:34:54 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | SELL | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0xc298c8… |
| 06-11 06:46:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x5332fd… |
| 06-11 06:46:22 | Sugary-Reversal 0x1c4b…ff11 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x5332fd… |
| 06-10 19:36:43 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0xf1fdfb… |
| 06-10 19:36:43 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0xf1fdfb… |
| 06-10 18:50:58 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 12 | 64¢ | $8 | 0x8439dd… |
| 06-10 18:50:58 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 9 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x8439dd… |
| 06-10 18:50:58 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 28 | 64¢ | $18 | 0x8439dd… |
| 06-10 18:50:58 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | No | BUY | 7 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x8439dd… |
| 06-10 16:12:06 | (anonymous) 0xaac8…3ef6 | No | SELL | 4 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x1c4fc7… |
| 06-10 16:12:06 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x1c4fc7… |
| 06-07 20:22:36 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xdb3a1b… |
| 06-07 20:22:36 | (anonymous) 0xdbc2…e164 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0xdb3a1b… |
| 06-07 19:09:39 | Tidy-Epithelium 0xc9a7…e76c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x17b4bd… |
| 06-07 19:09:39 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 26 | 89¢ | $23 | 0x17b4bd… |
| 06-07 19:09:39 | Pink-Activation 0x88bb…8d2c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x17b4bd… |
| 06-05 00:19:52 | Plush-Thong 0x7028…e0e9 | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x89a586… |
| 06-05 00:19:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x89a586… |
| 06-04 21:38:25 | Bulky-Input 0x79f7…d24a | No | BUY | 6 | 59¢ | $4 | 0xfab3dd… |
| 06-04 21:38:25 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 6 | 59¢ | $4 | 0xfab3dd… |
| 06-04 16:27:25 | Torn-Bunch-Study 0x2bd2…85ad | Yes | SELL | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xa91a71… |
| 06-04 16:27:25 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xa91a71… |
| 06-04 07:21:09 | Tidy-Epithelium 0xc9a7…e76c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x670261… |
| 06-04 07:21:09 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x670261… |
| 06-02 16:49:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 38 | 56¢ | $21 | 0xb208da… |
| 06-02 16:49:01 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 38 | 56¢ | $21 | 0xb208da… |
| 05-31 07:31:54 | Tidy-Epithelium 0xc9a7…e76c | No | SELL | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x1e60c2… |
| 05-31 07:31:54 | Novel-Beanie 0x95a0…dfdf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x1e60c2… |
| 05-31 07:31:54 | Smoggy-Sunglasses 0xb4f2…e5fa | No | BUY | 16 | 59¢ | $10 | 0x1e60c2… |