Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
46
lifetime
Volume
$93
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$21
9 positions
First seen
2026-06-16
last 06-17 11:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
75%
Politics
9%
Tech
8%
Crypto
6%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-16 19:17
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes +25 $6 22¢ $6 +$0 06-17 07:17
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +10 $2 17¢ $2 $-0 06-16 12:33
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +10 $2 11¢ $1 $-1 06-16 14:01
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +5 $1 21¢ $1 +$0 06-17 11:55
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +5 $1 21¢ $1 $-0 06-17 10:24
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-17 07:20
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 06-16 11:06
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1 $0 32¢ $0 +$0 06-16 10:54