Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?
open
Total volume
$399
$5 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$1,054
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-18 08:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $140 | $140 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | $41 | $40 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| Median | 4 | — | $42 | $42 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $139 | $139 |
| unranked | 5 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | +100 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-28 17:04 |
| Obvious-Pit 0x4b1b…62c1 | No | +83 | $62 | $62 | 2 | 06-01 22:59 |
| Rude-Meal 0x53ef…e71e | No | +50 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-12 07:25 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 07:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xfcd8…3c50 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 08:02 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-03 07:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +4 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 06-18 08:02 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 17:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 08:02:38 | (anonymous) 0xfcd8…3c50 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xeac3dc… |
| 06-18 08:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xeac3dc… |
| 06-12 07:25:57 | Rude-Meal 0x53ef…e71e | No | BUY | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x40d2c9… |
| 06-12 07:25:57 | (anonymous) 0x7b04…3a41 | No | SELL | 41 | 82¢ | $34 | 0x40d2c9… |
| 06-12 07:25:57 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x40d2c9… |
| 06-11 17:45:13 | Finished-Thorn 0x2e4b…83e2 | No | SELL | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x3a2ae8… |
| 06-11 17:45:13 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x3a2ae8… |
| 06-09 21:09:00 | Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | SELL | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x1ebff8… |
| 06-09 21:09:00 | Formal-Supreme 0x5fda…01d5 | No | SELL | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x1ebff8… |
| 06-06 15:01:22 | Finished-Thorn 0x2e4b…83e2 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x7a64de… |
| 06-06 15:01:22 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x7a64de… |
| 06-05 06:08:13 | (anonymous) 0x7b04…3a41 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xe6e06d… |
| 06-05 06:08:13 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xe6e06d… |
| 06-03 07:16:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xbb7388… |
| 06-03 07:16:00 | Bogus-Anxiety 0x8f60…a419 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xbb7388… |
| 06-03 07:14:48 | Bogus-Anxiety 0x8f60…a419 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x9fee31… |
| 06-03 07:14:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x9fee31… |
| 06-01 22:59:43 | Profitable-Punishment 0x5739…b180 | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xb750bf… |
| 06-01 22:59:43 | Obvious-Pit 0x4b1b…62c1 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xb750bf… |
| 05-28 17:04:34 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xad1fdc… |
| 05-28 17:04:34 | (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | BUY | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0xad1fdc… |
| 05-28 17:04:34 | Obvious-Pit 0x4b1b…62c1 | No | BUY | 78 | 75¢ | $59 | 0xad1fdc… |
| 05-28 17:04:34 | Favorable-Minorleague 0xc3e5…015d | No | SELL | 200 | 76¢ | $151 | 0xad1fdc… |
| 05-28 17:04:34 | Embellished-Doorbell 0xf16d…b7f9 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xad1fdc… |