Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
92.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
397
lifetime
Volume
$21.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$1.11K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-19 12:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
41%
Crypto
31%
Politics
16% 0% $-0
Sports
10% 100% +$22
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -220 $-205 94¢ $-207 $-3 06-10 08:03
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +200 $162 80¢ $161 $-1 07-19 10:59
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +201 $152 73¢ $147 $-5 07-19 10:53
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? No +100 $89 90¢ $90 +$0 07-16 07:53
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -102 $-55 80¢ $-81 $-26 05-31 21:40
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -85 $-62 90¢ $-76 $-14 06-26 08:12
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -80 $-75 94¢ $-75 $-0 06-16 07:25
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -77 $-67 88¢ $-68 $-1 06-05 07:09
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? No +50 $41 87¢ $44 +$3 06-12 07:25
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -45 $-40 95¢ $-43 $-3 06-03 13:55
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +27 $25 93¢ $25 $-0 07-19 10:56
Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +26 $18 82¢ $21 +$3 06-05 10:15
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +30 $23 68¢ $20 $-3 06-30 14:42
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +19 $14 74¢ $14 +$1 06-29 13:56
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? No +19 $12 66¢ $13 +$1 07-07 11:23
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +15 $6 60¢ $9 +$3 06-25 09:07
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -32 $-12 23¢ $-7 +$5 06-16 07:33
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +10 $7 72¢ $7 $-0 07-16 07:50
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 07-07 11:17