Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

Trades

8,236

lifetime

Volume

$232.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 08-10 02:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 50% $-17

Other

34% 67% +$105

Sports

10% 40% $-4

Tech

4% — —

Politics

0% 0% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	127	$6.0K	4,515	3,871	+644	open	—	02-27 09:26
Fed rate hike in 2026?	151	$5.8K	7,354	4,987	+2,367	open	—	08-07 12:36
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	162	$5.6K	6,172	3,780	+2,391	open	—	05-04 02:02
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	141	$4.4K	4,608	4,035	+573	open	—	03-31 13:48
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	65	$4.2K	2,140	2,217	-77	open	—	03-13 05:19
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	129	$4.2K	4,263	3,531	+733	open	—	03-06 10:50
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	109	$4.1K	4,635	2,644	+1,991	open	—	04-23 02:34
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	73	$3.4K	1,778	2,185	-408	open	—	03-20 16:26
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	60	$3.4K	2,264	2,701	-437	open	—	03-14 23:30
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	102	$3.2K	2,945	2,407	+539	open	—	04-23 04:41
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	107	$2.8K	3,992	3,672	+320	open	—	02-23 07:19
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	65	$2.4K	2,367	2,258	+108	open	—	07-02 11:07
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	44	$2.4K	1,718	1,254	+464	open	—	06-27 12:08
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	106	$2.1K	4,261	4,054	+207	open	—	03-02 08:30
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	39	$2.0K	977	1,132	-155	open	—	02-23 11:28
ethereum up or down on april 5 2026	54	$2.0K	1,917	1,341	+576	open	—	04-05 15:59
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	48	$2.0K	1,640	1,360	+280	open	—	03-28 01:14
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	45	$1.9K	1,748	1,607	+142	open	—	04-07 23:03
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	62	$1.9K	2,145	1,952	+193	open	—	04-22 20:36
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	27	$1.9K	1,701	788	+913	open	—	02-28 09:47
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	96	$1.8K	2,518	1,343	+1,175	open	—	04-23 15:10
ethereum up or down on april 6 2026	27	$1.8K	1,017	1,004	+12	open	—	04-06 15:34
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	45	$1.8K	1,538	1,426	+112	open	—	04-01 11:43
will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	31	$1.7K	1,122	1,112	+10	open	—	07-06 21:06
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	40	$1.7K	1,230	1,308	-78	open	—	02-23 06:56
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	29	$1.7K	1,032	832	+200	open	—	04-28 06:58
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	27	$1.7K	768	1,188	-420	open	—	07-13 08:29
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	46	$1.7K	1,303	889	+414	open	—	03-12 11:03
another us government shutdown by february 14	51	$1.7K	1,670	1,732	-62	open	—	02-14 07:00
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 700k 862	36	$1.6K	1,064	864	+200	open	—	02-16 03:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 12:15:31	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xd3119d…
08-10 12:15:13	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xdb9564…
08-10 12:08:28	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x0395ec…
08-10 12:06:10	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x0663c6…
08-10 12:05:22	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xf771dc…
08-10 12:04:45	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x2c3e21…
08-10 12:03:09	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0xc5ba2d…
08-10 12:03:01	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x4c0e9b…
08-10 12:02:52	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x32124e…
08-10 10:39:16	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x746acd…
08-10 10:32:01	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x6e0e6c…
08-10 10:24:37	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	99	23¢	$23	0x981428…
08-10 10:24:30	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xe213fe…
08-10 10:24:22	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	68	23¢	$16	0x153ed2…
08-10 09:37:48	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	66¢	$14	0x2b9548…
08-10 08:30:24	Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0x47f2fc…
08-10 02:18:58	Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0xf23cdc…
08-09 19:15:06	QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	SELL	51	63¢	$32	0x535099…
08-09 19:14:13	QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	SELL	87	64¢	$56	0xff2360…
08-09 15:52:28	Valantis FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x1560ad…
08-09 15:52:21	Valantis FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0x760be3…
08-09 15:46:25	ethereum up or down on august 9 2026	Down	BUY	62	7¢	$4	0x135e64…
08-09 15:15:45	ethereum up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	63	85¢	$54	0x2e0c29…
08-09 08:30:04	Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	81	91¢	$73	0xa981c3…
08-09 07:13:12	Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x84ba73…
08-09 02:32:43	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x58330f…
08-09 02:32:33	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	59	19¢	$11	0xc6c028…
08-08 23:49:39	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	98	44¢	$43	0x3a5240…
08-08 22:40:01	Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x587546…
08-08 21:42:54	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	93¢	$31	0xfe916d…
08-08 21:42:16	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x7a8fc7…
08-08 21:41:19	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$92	0xeaef0a…
08-08 19:15:33	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xd39b94…
08-08 17:59:01	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	78¢	$28	0x0c0313…
08-08 17:05:10	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	22¢	$6	0xd9dd08…
08-08 15:44:57	Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	76	5¢	$4	0x1cf407…
08-08 14:55:15	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	69	76¢	$52	0x06553c…
08-08 14:51:52	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	64	76¢	$49	0xf5e032…
08-08 14:39:24	Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x8726b7…
08-08 14:38:21	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	84¢	$38	0x66368d…
08-08 14:08:24	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	85¢	$15	0xbd6fd3…
08-08 10:53:12	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0xca54e6…
08-08 10:42:42	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x513ca1…
08-08 08:29:28	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x55b315…
08-08 08:28:52	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x812fc0…
08-08 08:28:42	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	84¢	$40	0xd9a1cf…
08-08 07:58:46	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xec1381…
08-08 07:15:22	Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	BUY	70	83¢	$58	0x6c3bc6…
08-08 06:33:40	Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	23	55¢	$13	0x3ddce6…
08-08 05:57:22	Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x9fe1bc…
08-08 03:17:21	Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcdd6d7…
08-07 22:57:18	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0xae7130…
08-07 22:30:55	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x375660…
08-07 21:27:10	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0xb6fcd7…
08-07 16:07:34	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x3dd603…
08-07 15:37:43	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x14a771…
08-07 15:37:36	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	14¢	$9	0x7154ea…
08-07 15:36:34	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	14¢	$10	0x0f25e1…
08-07 15:35:42	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xbb7fc4…
08-07 15:35:36	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x74818f…
08-07 14:30:48	Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x0216c8…
08-07 14:29:43	Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x90bd78…
08-07 14:16:15	QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x0ecca7…
08-07 13:42:12	Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x404088…
08-07 12:36:58	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x3b3f1f…
08-07 12:36:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x424956…
08-07 11:01:22	Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x0bc439…
08-07 10:37:55	Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$7	0xa28cad…
08-07 10:37:42	Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x62d9ba…
08-07 09:27:28	Valantis FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x1cec5e…
08-07 08:08:16	Valantis FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x895f89…
08-07 07:06:46	Valantis FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	88¢	$12	0x8facf7…
08-06 23:03:11	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0xa7845e…
08-06 19:06:27	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xc423cd…
08-06 18:23:36	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0xb3d258…
08-06 18:02:54	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x2ee62b…
08-06 17:42:50	Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	27	55¢	$15	0x84dd75…
08-06 17:32:02	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	99	74¢	$73	0xa27667…
08-06 16:26:27	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xeafbdc…
08-06 16:26:20	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xca6aa6…
08-06 15:55:23	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1d9bea…
08-06 15:55:05	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xc4fabd…
08-06 15:19:35	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	SELL	98	4¢	$4	0x2a7690…
08-06 15:10:29	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x3d75d6…
08-06 15:09:38	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf5085e…
08-06 15:07:39	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x21c6af…
08-06 15:06:44	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8635d3…
08-06 15:06:08	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf9aa21…
08-06 14:18:36	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	86	44¢	$38	0x3571b6…
08-06 14:18:03	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x4273a1…
08-06 14:17:50	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x7b8454…
08-06 14:17:35	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x27cea2…
08-06 14:17:02	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0xb9cb12…
08-06 12:46:02	Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x2ddf35…
08-06 10:46:45	Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B?	No	BUY	65	87¢	$57	0xf819ef…
08-06 10:37:15	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	37	69¢	$26	0x506683…
08-06 08:51:53	Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0xe75ce7…
08-06 08:50:11	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	84	76¢	$64	0x727dec…
08-06 08:49:45	Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xbb96af…
08-06 08:49:14	Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	29	36¢	$11	0x4ab060…