Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$70
Hit rate
54.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
578
lifetime
Volume
$12.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$2.44K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 07-03 06:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
41%
Other
40%
Sports
14% 50% +$1
Tech
3%
Politics
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +177 $161 93¢ $164 +$4 06-30 00:41
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +139 $123 90¢ $126 +$3 06-28 23:19
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +120 $109 94¢ $113 +$5 06-28 01:46
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -100 $-95 98¢ $-99 $-3 06-14 18:12
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +129 $95 76¢ $98 +$2 07-01 00:35
Ledger IPO before 2027? No +112 $89 85¢ $95 +$6 06-28 03:13
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +125 $101 76¢ $95 $-6 06-28 13:37
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -100 $-93 93¢ $-93 +$1 06-16 07:42
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -129 $-97 72¢ $-92 +$5 06-14 04:00
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -98 $-92 94¢ $-92 $-0 06-15 15:40
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +101 $90 90¢ $91 +$1 07-02 12:00
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +94 $87 96¢ $90 +$2 06-29 18:07
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +101 $83 86¢ $88 +$4 06-29 19:33
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? No -90 $-86 97¢ $-87 $-1 06-14 18:50
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +101 $85 83¢ $84 $-1 07-03 04:41
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No -91 $-82 92¢ $-84 $-1 07-02 23:02
Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +99 $70 79¢ $78 +$9 07-01 07:23
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? No +90 $67 79¢ $71 +$4 06-29 12:26
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B? No +90 $64 77¢ $70 +$5 06-29 04:49
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -75 $-70 92¢ $-69 +$1 06-11 20:57
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +101 $65 67¢ $68 +$3 06-27 16:29
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No +82 $65 78¢ $64 $-0 07-02 08:16
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +93 $57 68¢ $63 +$6 07-02 18:58
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +82 $53 72¢ $59 +$6 06-27 14:28
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch? No +102 $48 57¢ $59 +$11 06-28 04:50
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -74 $-60 74¢ $-55 +$6 07-02 23:01
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +102 $54 54¢ $55 +$1 06-27 16:12
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -50 $-47 97¢ $-49 $-2 06-15 20:41
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +51 $46 95¢ $48 +$2 06-16 05:26
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -50 $-47 96¢ $-48 $-1 06-15 19:52