(anonymous) 0xd990b1…c4749e
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$231
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved
239
Trades
1,944
lifetime
Volume
$58.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$1.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 10-28 18:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
47% 49% -$138
Crypto
29% 57% -$175
Sports
19% 53% +$82
Politics
4% 25% -$2
Tech
2% 67% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +289 $194 71¢ $205 +$11 09-29 20:38
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No -143 -$142 92¢ $-132 +$10 10-12 12:43
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -118 -$28 98¢ $-116 -$88 06-30 04:50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -100 -$97 97¢ $-97 $0 09-20 19:06
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -50 -$47 98¢ $-49 -$2 06-28 10:22
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -50 -$47 98¢ $-49 -$2 06-15 20:41
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -50 -$46 97¢ $-49 -$3 06-15 15:42
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -50 -$47 96¢ $-48 -$1 07-19 07:59
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -51 -$44 94¢ $-48 -$4 09-15 12:13
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -50 -$44 94¢ $-47 -$2 07-18 21:49
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -50 -$39 93¢ $-46 -$8 08-04 16:04
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -50 -$43 86¢ $-43 +$0 07-02 23:02
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -49 -$22 82¢ $-41 -$19 10-02 08:39
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +143 $11 20¢ $28 +$17 10-24 09:57
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +68 $41 41¢ $28 -$13 09-29 20:37
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +27 $25 95¢ $25 +$0 09-29 20:36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +196 $16 8¢ $17 +$1 10-07 10:18
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +16 $13 95¢ $15 +$2 10-15 14:55
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -50 -$22 26¢ $-13 +$9 07-13 10:50
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +13 $1 92¢ $12 +$10 10-16 07:23
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -25 -$30 44¢ $-11 +$18 08-04 16:06
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -10 -$11 100¢ $-10 +$1 08-04 16:07
Ledger IPO before 2027? No -10 -$25 96¢ $-10 +$15 09-29 20:38
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? Yes +175 $31 3¢ $5 -$26 09-29 20:34
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -101 -$52 4¢ $-5 +$47 09-15 12:14
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +72 $5 6¢ $4 -$1 10-27 17:03
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +212 $7 2¢ $4 -$4 09-16 18:02
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -5 -$23 74¢ $-3 +$20 09-15 12:30
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -50 -$3 6¢ $-3 +$0 09-29 20:37
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +332 $3 1¢ $2 -$1 10-16 16:21