Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

Trades

937

lifetime

Volume

$24.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 08-12 11:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Crypto

39% — —

Sports

9% 50% +$1

Politics

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	11	$849	879	879	+0	open	—	08-06 23:15
Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	4	$676	357	356	+1	open	—	08-10 23:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	3	$661	355	355	+0	open	—	07-28 11:21
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	8	$637	489	284	+204	open	—	08-04 08:24
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$633	406	535	-129	open	—	08-04 16:06
Fed rate hike in 2026?	12	$477	646	696	-50	open	—	08-05 10:20
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	5	$453	243	238	+5	open	—	08-10 15:01
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	9	$424	667	266	+401	open	—	08-04 16:08
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	11	$356	431	431	+0	open	—	08-05 10:20
will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	7	$342	294	266	+28	open	—	08-06 13:23
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	4	$330	208	207	+1	open	—	08-05 10:20
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$329	177	177	+0	open	—	08-10 10:52
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	12	$323	267	267	+0	open	—	04-20 22:38
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	12	$315	277	380	-102	open	—	08-04 16:06
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	4	$307	303	17	+286	open	—	07-19 07:59
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B?	5	$300	281	90	+191	open	—	08-05 10:57
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?	1	$299	302	0	+302	open	—	08-12 16:06
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	12	$296	301	300	+0	open	—	04-25 20:06
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$256	139	139	+0	open	—	08-04 16:07
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	12	$242	240	239	+1	open	—	08-10 18:18
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	4	$223	120	120	+0	open	—	08-04 16:06
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	7	$214	221	219	+2	open	—	08-05 21:13
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	6	$210	185	95	+90	open	—	07-05 12:51
epl sun tot 2026 04 12 sun	7	$204	406	396	+10	open	—	04-12 14:04
Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch?	6	$202	153	153	+0	open	—	07-14 09:04
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?	8	$201	230	230	+0	open	—	08-07 04:59
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$197	150	150	+0	open	—	04-21 15:07
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	3	$194	314	110	+204	open	—	08-11 12:52
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	4	$193	101	114	-13	open	—	07-02 23:03
lol gx fnc 2026 03 28	5	$190	150	150	+0	open	—	03-28 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 16:06:34	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?	No	BUY	302	99¢	$299	0x7d0e72…
08-12 11:23:12	Valantis FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x20881d…
08-12 09:02:40	Valantis FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	SELL	19	76¢	$14	0xf9db26…
08-11 12:52:10	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xbd25a6…
08-11 00:28:54	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	79	15¢	$12	0xb159ad…
08-10 23:06:06	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x4f33ed…
08-10 22:00:43	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	346	97¢	$335	0x828d3a…
08-10 18:18:01	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	31¢	$11	0x0c43a3…
08-10 16:48:46	Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0xad3270…
08-10 16:48:36	Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	199	11¢	$22	0xcb15fc…
08-10 15:01:51	StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	138	96¢	$133	0x673a17…
08-10 12:04:34	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$4	0x6b2668…
08-10 11:43:04	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x846a16…
08-10 10:52:22	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x3f2af9…
08-10 10:51:57	StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	173	95¢	$164	0x0e7a06…
08-10 10:24:28	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	176	23¢	$40	0x48597c…
08-10 10:23:01	Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	SELL	19	66¢	$13	0x8fba22…
08-08 17:59:13	Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	77¢	$8	0x3c4756…
08-08 03:32:28	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	199	2¢	$4	0x2caa52…
08-07 15:15:33	SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xe39922…
08-07 15:05:33	SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x1ae782…
08-07 14:26:49	Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xce2848…
08-07 10:52:30	Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb812e8…
08-07 07:06:48	Valantis FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	51	87¢	$44	0x613b81…
08-07 05:37:07	Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x8afd55…
08-07 05:37:00	Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	19	87¢	$17	0x3ac641…
08-07 04:59:58	Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x9dbb02…
08-07 04:59:48	Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	96	97¢	$93	0xd7f3f6…
08-06 23:15:47	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x0dfa8a…
08-06 23:13:15	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x3d4178…
08-06 22:18:17	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	395	40¢	$158	0x69b21e…
08-06 13:23:11	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x3ebe46…
08-06 10:01:56	Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x78397c…
08-06 10:01:45	Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xd9028f…
08-06 08:40:12	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	28	56¢	$16	0xd32464…
08-06 06:51:59	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	196	67¢	$131	0x958fee…
08-06 03:11:21	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x4b3c4d…
08-06 01:49:24	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x759de8…
08-06 01:39:23	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	29¢	$6	0xedd68e…
08-06 01:36:44	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xfed17b…
08-06 00:55:14	Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	29	27¢	$8	0x000d7c…
08-06 00:47:44	Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	36	40¢	$14	0xa10f61…
08-06 00:19:09	Noble FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0xca10fa…
08-05 21:53:18	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xf1eb4c…
08-05 21:53:15	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?	Yes	SELL	77	12¢	$9	0x35bb16…
08-05 21:13:15	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	23¢	$21	0x2cec19…
08-05 18:46:02	Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0x8f453f…
08-05 17:59:53	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	4¢	$4	0x6b5458…
08-05 17:49:50	Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0xd9e0bd…
08-05 11:17:57	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x43e90a…
08-05 10:57:17	Ledger IPO closing market cap above $4B?	No	BUY	140	88¢	$124	0x52fb23…
08-05 10:20:15	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0xcf6ad3…
08-05 10:20:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x4b21fe…
08-05 10:20:11	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xe1ce12…
08-05 10:07:33	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	169	4¢	$7	0xa8f7ff…
08-05 01:59:59	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	421	37¢	$156	0xc0efa0…
08-05 01:07:57	Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	41	77¢	$32	0x13fa4a…
08-05 00:20:29	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	201	87¢	$174	0x837b48…
08-04 22:59:50	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x2aab23…
08-04 22:39:23	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x457846…
08-04 16:11:44	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	167	2¢	$4	0xdd9b08…
08-04 16:08:33	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	11¢	$6	0xa12a14…
08-04 16:07:47	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xab3ebe…
08-04 16:07:42	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa2748a…
08-04 16:07:36	Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0c0df9…
08-04 16:07:24	Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x64de21…
08-04 16:07:15	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5b9f49…
08-04 16:07:09	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x097402…
08-04 16:07:05	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	60¢	$0	0x98261c…
08-04 16:07:00	SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$0	0xe23886…
08-04 16:06:51	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x27365b…
08-04 16:06:45	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xab205c…
08-04 16:06:41	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x415338…
08-04 16:06:35	Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0xf293f2…
08-04 16:06:32	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xbcb128…
08-04 16:06:27	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x35e976…
08-04 16:06:21	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xe0234a…
08-04 16:06:17	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6387c5…
08-04 16:06:12	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x20766b…
08-04 16:06:08	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x32a408…
08-04 16:06:03	Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x773d17…
08-04 16:05:50	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xe87fbc…
08-04 16:05:45	Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x834813…
08-04 16:05:41	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x4c23fb…
08-04 16:05:36	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xc41244…
08-04 16:05:05	Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x31c005…
08-04 16:04:59	Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x1491b0…
08-04 16:04:54	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x7de102…
08-04 16:04:50	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x26939e…
08-04 16:04:44	Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xafa958…
08-04 16:04:38	MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xba63ec…
08-04 16:04:33	Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xcddaf5…
08-04 16:04:29	Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xf568d1…
08-04 16:04:24	Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x50806c…
08-04 16:04:18	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xa734ca…
08-04 16:04:12	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x95b7bf…
08-04 16:04:08	Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x8eee55…
08-04 16:03:42	Noble FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xef71cb…
08-04 16:03:35	Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x3c2aaa…
08-04 16:03:30	Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xf5d3b7…