Obvious-Pit 0x4b1b87…e862c1
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.15K
Unrealized P&L
-$659
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved
324
Trades
1,441
lifetime
Volume
$136.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$2.21K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-01 08:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Sports
45% 89% -$4,090
Other
44% 73% +$680
Tech
6% 85% -$138
Politics
3% 29% -$798
Crypto
3% 75% +$249
Pop-Culture
0% 40% -$58
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No -1,050 -$1,024 96¢ $-1008 +$16 09-22 23:28
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -635 -$599 97¢ $-613 -$15 07-06 20:22
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +900 $589 24¢ $211 -$377 05-04 22:09
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes +689 $204 18¢ $121 -$83 08-28 10:10
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +100 $59 68¢ $68 +$10 09-05 17:13
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $127 26¢ $53 -$74 09-15 19:14
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -665 $11 8¢ $-50 -$61 08-24 06:08
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +50 $34 92¢ $46 +$12 08-26 08:49
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +70 $50 23¢ $16 -$34 09-21 15:13
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +101 $56 14¢ $14 -$42 09-22 23:27
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes +50 $14 8¢ $4 -$10 08-28 12:54