Realized P&L
+$237
Unrealized P&L
-$72
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,135
lifetime
Volume
$82.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$3.63K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 07-22 01:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
40% 100% +$10
Politics
31% 100% +$227
Crypto
28%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +1,576 $1,399 91¢ $1.4K +$33 07-20 21:46
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? No -644 $-610 92¢ $-596 +$14 07-12 11:50
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -300 $-276 98¢ $-294 $-18 06-14 21:28
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -212 $-202 98¢ $-209 $-7 06-08 11:48
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes +891 $196 23¢ $201 +$5 07-06 05:32
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -596 $-195 31¢ $-186 +$10 07-15 07:15
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? Yes +430 $287 40¢ $174 $-113 06-22 13:43
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +963 $212 16¢ $154 $-58 06-22 13:39
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -280 $-98 26¢ $-74 +$24 07-02 17:14
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -178 $-76 36¢ $-64 +$12 06-19 05:54
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? Yes -350 $-63 12¢ $-44 +$19 06-30 07:59
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +185 $55 22¢ $42 $-13 05-30 20:49
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -500 $3 $-38 $-41 06-18 16:40
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -106 $-126 35¢ $-37 +$88 07-05 10:10
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -369 $-15 $-13 +$2 06-18 14:19
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -222 $35 $-12 $-47 06-18 14:19
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 06-18 14:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -10 $-9 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-18 14:21
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -10 $-8 88¢ $-9 $-0 06-18 14:21
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -180 $-7 $-8 $-1 06-26 11:12
Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -19 $-13 42¢ $-8 +$5 07-12 05:12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -10 $-5 32¢ $-3 +$2 06-18 14:22
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? Yes +15 $5 18¢ $3 $-2 05-30 04:56
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes -51 $-2 $-3 $-1 06-18 14:23
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -43 $-6 $-2 +$4 07-17 04:12
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? Yes +7 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 06-11 12:54
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -7 $-0 $-1 $-0 06-18 14:23
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -2 $-1 27¢ $-1 +$0 06-26 08:49
Trump out as President before 2027? No +0 $-9 92¢ $0 +$9 07-17 20:34