Realized P&L
+$237
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,023
lifetime
Volume
$68.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$2.61K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 07-01 17:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
41% 100% +$10
Crypto
32%
Politics
26% 100% +$227
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +500 $447 90¢ $452 +$6 06-22 23:58
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +500 $448 90¢ $451 +$3 06-23 00:07
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? No -374 $-357 92¢ $-344 +$12 06-23 00:21
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -300 $-276 96¢ $-287 $-11 06-14 21:28
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? Yes +430 $287 61¢ $262 $-25 06-22 13:43
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +963 $212 21¢ $202 $-9 06-22 13:39
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -212 $-202 94¢ $-200 +$2 06-08 11:48
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -375 $-193 29¢ $-107 +$86 07-01 17:30
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -178 $-76 41¢ $-73 +$4 06-19 05:54
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? Yes -350 $-63 18¢ $-65 $-2 06-30 07:59
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +185 $55 26¢ $47 $-7 05-30 20:49
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -500 $3 $-38 $-41 06-18 16:40
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -369 $-15 $-17 $-2 06-18 14:19
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -222 $35 $-13 $-48 06-18 14:19
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 06-18 14:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -10 $-9 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-18 14:21
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -180 $-7 $-9 $-2 06-26 11:12
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -10 $-8 88¢ $-9 $-0 06-18 14:21
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes -51 $-2 11¢ $-6 $-4 06-18 14:23
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -10 $-5 39¢ $-4 +$1 06-18 14:22
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? Yes +15 $5 21¢ $3 $-1 05-30 04:56
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? Yes +7 $1 23¢ $2 +$1 06-11 12:54
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -2 $-1 31¢ $-1 +$0 06-26 08:49
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -7 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-18 14:23