Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?
open
Total volume
$995
Trades
32
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$837
Latest YES mid
24¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-09 18:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | — | $339 | $339 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | $108 | $107 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $2 | $30 | $28 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $110 | $110 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $303 | $303 |
| unranked | 4 | $2 | $62 | $60 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | +372 | $282 | $282 | 1 | 06-04 00:08 |
| Candid-Thrush 0x404c…74dc | No | +100 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 06-03 04:52 |
| Political-Revelation 0x21a8…1aec | No | +41 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-09 18:47 |
| Overdue-Premeditation 0xdccb…ea1a | No | +40 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-01 08:50 |
| Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bb…c320 | No | +27 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 06-04 00:10 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +24 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-01 08:50 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +2 | $0 | $68 | 3 | 06-09 18:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 18:47:24 | Political-Revelation 0x21a8…1aec | No | BUY | 41 | 79¢ | $32 | 0xf3a586… |
| 06-09 18:47:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 41 | 79¢ | $32 | 0xf3a586… |
| 06-05 06:07:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xe2bbe9… |
| 06-05 06:07:15 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xe2bbe9… |
| 06-05 06:06:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x3badeb… |
| 06-05 06:06:09 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x3badeb… |
| 06-04 16:55:37 | Embellished-Doorbell 0xf16d…b7f9 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xdb8029… |
| 06-04 16:55:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 45 | 76¢ | $34 | 0xdb8029… |
| 06-04 16:55:37 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | SELL | 48 | 76¢ | $37 | 0xdb8029… |
| 06-04 00:10:42 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x371f95… |
| 06-04 00:10:42 | Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bb…c320 | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x371f95… |
| 06-04 00:10:33 | Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bb…c320 | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x54a765… |
| 06-04 00:10:33 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x54a765… |
| 06-04 00:10:33 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | SELL | 14 | 77¢ | $11 | 0x54a765… |
| 06-04 00:09:06 | Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bb…c320 | No | BUY | 11 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x893211… |
| 06-04 00:09:06 | (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | SELL | 11 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x893211… |
| 06-04 00:08:54 | Suspicious-Degree 0x51c7…71b4 | No | SELL | 363 | 76¢ | $276 | 0x0e240f… |
| 06-04 00:08:54 | (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | BUY | 372 | 76¢ | $282 | 0x0e240f… |
| 06-04 00:08:54 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x0e240f… |
| 06-03 07:16:03 | Suspicious-Degree 0x51c7…71b4 | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xf3ff34… |
| 06-03 07:16:03 | Bogus-Anxiety 0x8f60…a419 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xf3ff34… |
| 06-03 07:14:50 | Bogus-Anxiety 0x8f60…a419 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x8cc6c6… |
| 06-03 07:14:50 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x8cc6c6… |
| 06-03 04:52:21 | Suspicious-Degree 0x51c7…71b4 | No | SELL | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0xba27cc… |
| 06-03 04:52:21 | Candid-Thrush 0x404c…74dc | No | BUY | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0xba27cc… |
| 06-01 14:12:16 | Suspicious-Degree 0x51c7…71b4 | No | SELL | 17 | 76¢ | $13 | 0xc41ce3… |
| 06-01 14:12:16 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 24¢ | $4 | 0xc41ce3… |
| 06-01 08:50:07 | Overdue-Premeditation 0xdccb…ea1a | No | BUY | 40 | 76¢ | $30 | 0x5b2d1f… |
| 06-01 08:50:07 | Suspicious-Degree 0x51c7…71b4 | No | SELL | 35 | 76¢ | $26 | 0x5b2d1f… |
| 06-01 08:50:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x5b2d1f… |
| 05-31 10:41:05 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xc448bd… |
| 05-31 10:41:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xc448bd… |