Realized P&L
+$2.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$380
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
123
Trades
52,288
lifetime
Volume
$1.29M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.68K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 02:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
66% 48% +$1,308
Politics
14% 50% +$44
Sports
14% 67% +$858
Crypto
5% 0% $-173
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 571 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -299 $-281 82¢ $-246 +$35 06-19 08:28
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +277 $43 74¢ $206 +$163 06-25 20:34
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -908 $-212 22¢ $-204 +$7 06-26 02:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,160 $147 18¢ $203 +$56 06-19 11:14
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +640 $199 24¢ $157 $-42 06-16 10:14
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -180 $-146 70¢ $-126 +$20 05-28 09:58
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +81 $76 100¢ $81 +$5 06-12 14:08
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes -1,249 $-150 $-81 +$69 06-16 04:08
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes -324 $-65 20¢ $-66 $-1 06-26 12:58
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +61 $4 78¢ $47 +$44 06-26 15:19
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? Yes -204 $-62 22¢ $-46 +$16 06-19 05:42
SHEIN IPO before 2027? Yes -141 $-29 24¢ $-34 $-5 06-25 14:40
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +60 $26 54¢ $32 +$6 06-16 14:28
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? Yes -44 $-25 62¢ $-27 $-2 06-22 06:55
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +46 $29 56¢ $26 $-3 06-08 23:30
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +477 $33 $26 $-8 06-29 22:07
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes -22 $-16 96¢ $-21 $-6 06-25 12:58
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +125 $24 $11 $-14 06-29 16:47
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes -60 $-13 18¢ $-10 +$2 06-02 09:07
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? Yes -35 $-8 20¢ $-7 +$1 06-17 00:59
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? Yes -30 $-5 18¢ $-6 $-0 06-22 13:57
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? No -115 $-6 $-4 +$2 06-25 04:43
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes -83 $-12 $-4 +$9 06-03 11:27
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +12 $-40 26¢ $3 +$43 06-25 23:09
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes -45 $-3 $-3 +$0 06-12 15:16
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2 $-3 95¢ $2 +$6 06-30 02:11
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +10 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 06-08 07:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes -298 $-4 $-1 +$3 06-21 06:28
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? Yes -6 $-1 17¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 17:04
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +1 $27 76¢ $1 $-26 06-18 01:15