Embellished-Doorbell 0xf16dd3…91b7f9
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$454
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
123
Trades
53,195
lifetime
Volume
$1.33M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.30K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 15:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
66% 48% +$1,308
Sports
13% 67% +$858
Politics
13% 50% +$44
Crypto
5% 0% $-173
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 328 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SHEIN IPO before 2027? Yes -296 $-162 88¢ $-260 $-98 07-18 15:42
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +277 $43 80¢ $223 +$179 06-25 20:34
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -180 $-146 73¢ $-132 +$14 05-28 09:58
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -334 $10 34¢ $-112 $-122 07-21 15:53
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes -1,249 $-150 4¢ $-56 +$94 06-16 04:08
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -287 $-101 20¢ $-56 +$45 07-14 16:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +113 $-235 46¢ $53 +$287 07-20 00:31
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes -324 $-65 15¢ $-48 +$16 06-26 12:58
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes -505 $-68 10¢ $-48 +$20 07-21 14:45
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +61 $7 66¢ $41 +$34 07-10 01:55
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -177 $27 23¢ $-41 $-67 07-11 11:38
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? Yes -204 $-62 18¢ $-36 +$27 06-19 05:42
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? Yes -44 $-25 65¢ $-29 $-4 06-22 06:55
Benedict Wong as Wong? Yes +40 $9 64¢ $26 +$16 07-17 10:42
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +258 $15 8¢ $22 +$7 07-14 20:00
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes -22 $-16 96¢ $-21 $-6 06-25 12:58
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +125 $24 15¢ $18 $-6 06-29 16:47
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? Yes -136 $-24 13¢ $-18 +$7 07-08 21:53
Benedict Wong as Wong? No +45 $13 36¢ $16 +$4 07-17 10:42
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +46 $29 32¢ $15 $-14 06-08 23:30
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? Yes -39 $-8 16¢ $-6 +$1 07-14 20:18
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes -277 $-12 2¢ $-6 +$6 07-08 18:08
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? No -115 $-6 4¢ $-5 +$1 06-25 04:43
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes -83 $-12 4¢ $-4 +$9 06-03 11:27
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2 $-3 92¢ $2 +$6 06-30 02:11
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-08 07:43
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +3 $5 28¢ $1 $-4 06-29 11:11
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -54 $-2 2¢ $-1 +$1 07-05 20:00
Epic Games IPO before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 8¢ $-1 +$0 07-17 02:34
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? Yes -6 $-1 13¢ $-1 +$1 05-28 17:04