Realized P&L
-$360
Unrealized P&L
-$161
Hit rate
27.1%
Resolved
95
Trades
2,017
lifetime
Volume
$129.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$1.81K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-04
last 10-30 08:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
38% 36% -$228
Crypto
24% 54% -$102
Politics
16% 33% +$4
Sports
14% 32% -$37
Tech
8% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +1,501 $361 24¢ $358 -$3 10-19 12:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +405 $263 80¢ $322 +$59 10-27 22:17
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +289 $208 82¢ $236 +$28 10-27 01:39
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +342 $181 56¢ $192 +$10 10-26 10:05
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +211 $142 76¢ $162 +$20 10-07 21:14
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +137 $120 93¢ $128 +$8 10-28 12:48
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +156 $96 70¢ $110 +$14 10-29 19:42
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +100 $193 60¢ $60 -$133 10-30 00:18
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +59 $54 94¢ $55 +$2 09-29 20:40
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +307 $39 14¢ $41 +$3 10-09 20:41
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +81 $38 50¢ $41 +$3 10-28 14:24
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No +41 $32 86¢ $35 +$3 10-10 01:17
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +37 $19 48¢ $18 -$2 10-26 01:04
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +40 $11 34¢ $13 +$3 10-22 05:53
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +13 -$9 92¢ $12 +$21 10-29 19:01
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +69 $4 11¢ $7 +$3 10-29 17:51
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +5 $0 98¢ $5 +$5 10-14 05:10
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +25 $4 16¢ $4 $0 10-29 17:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +5 $2 72¢ $3 +$2 10-26 12:44
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? Yes — +34 $14 7¢ $2 -$12 10-25 13:28
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? No +39 $16 3¢ $1 -$14 10-25 12:45
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1 -$8 97¢ $1 +$9 10-03 21:55
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +1 -$41 97¢ $1 +$42 09-29 20:38
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $223 94¢ $1 -$222 10-14 08:31
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1 -$13 93¢ $1 +$14 10-06 14:04
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +1 -$1 86¢ $1 +$2 09-30 06:52
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +1 -$3 86¢ $1 +$4 10-08 23:56
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1 -$6 97¢ $1 +$7 09-30 20:26
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1 -$3 88¢ $1 +$4 10-14 02:02
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1 $39 84¢ $1 -$38 09-21 21:15