Realized P&L
-$32
Unrealized P&L
-$6.08K
Hit rate
55.3%
Resolved
494
Trades
3,228
lifetime
Volume
$536.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$166
Open exposure
$51.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 11:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Crypto
67%
49%
+$3,199
Other
23%
47%
-$4,417
Politics
10%
29%
+$486
Tech
0%
33%
+$294
Sports
0%
50%
+$407
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk
• peak 33 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -5,268 | -$2,618 | 93¢ | $-4894 | -$2,276 | 05-12 11:34 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -5,580 | -$3,523 | 82¢ | $-4604 | -$1,081 | 09-21 09:16 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -4,291 | -$4,079 | 97¢ | $-4156 | -$76 | 08-21 08:52 | |
| Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | No | -4,328 | -$3,923 | 84¢ | $-3614 | +$309 | 08-06 09:59 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | -3,800 | -$2,284 | 92¢ | $-3477 | -$1,193 | 09-21 09:20 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | -2,692 | -$2,584 | 96¢ | $-2592 | -$8 | 08-10 16:54 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | -2,648 | -$2,536 | 98¢ | $-2583 | -$46 | 08-21 08:51 | |
| Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | No | -2,282 | -$2,210 | 98¢ | $-2239 | -$29 | 07-22 23:41 | |
| Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? | No | -2,066 | -$1,947 | 97¢ | $-2006 | -$58 | 09-21 22:03 | |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | -1,934 | -$1,786 | 98¢ | $-1901 | -$115 | 10-09 22:35 | |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,590 | -$1,485 | 98¢ | $-1563 | -$78 | 10-24 11:26 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | -1,505 | -$1,470 | 99¢ | $-1496 | -$25 | 10-27 11:07 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -1,503 | -$1,143 | 94¢ | $-1406 | -$263 | 05-12 11:30 | |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | -2,100 | -$1,123 | 59¢ | $-1239 | -$116 | 09-21 11:35 | |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | No | -1,500 | -$987 | 82¢ | $-1222 | -$236 | 09-21 21:52 | |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,331 | -$736 | 87¢ | $-1158 | -$422 | 09-21 22:03 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,200 | -$916 | 94¢ | $-1128 | -$212 | 09-21 09:19 | |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | +1,180 | $1,036 | 95¢ | $1.1K | +$82 | 07-19 10:01 | |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,150 | $868 | 95¢ | $1.1K | +$225 | 08-01 20:58 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,034 | -$938 | 94¢ | $-977 | -$39 | 09-21 09:17 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,272 | $865 | 76¢ | $967 | +$102 | 06-29 14:51 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -825 | -$807 | 99¢ | $-813 | -$6 | 09-21 09:16 | |
| Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | No | -823 | -$688 | 94¢ | $-773 | -$85 | 09-21 22:03 | |
| Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | No | -747 | -$717 | 94¢ | $-702 | +$15 | 08-11 19:29 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | -700 | -$672 | 96¢ | $-674 | -$2 | 07-06 01:59 | |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -685 | -$644 | 96¢ | $-654 | -$10 | 07-31 15:13 | |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -636 | -$620 | 97¢ | $-619 | +$1 | 10-15 08:48 | |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | -579 | -$572 | 99¢ | $-571 | +$1 | 10-16 14:16 | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -1,311 | -$349 | 42¢ | $-557 | -$208 | 09-24 10:46 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -969 | -$291 | 54¢ | $-518 | -$228 | 09-21 09:15 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nothing ever happens microstrategy | 55 | $22.8K | 14,101 | 14,101 | +0 | No | -$1,448 | 01-12 03:47 |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 47 | $16.8K | 10,309 | 10,309 | +0 | No | +$3,479 | 03-24 14:20 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352 | 34 | $16.0K | 13,117 | 15,476 | -2,360 | Yes | +$2,436 | 04-24 01:18 |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | 20 | $13.7K | 10,143 | 9,543 | +600 | No | -$1,861 | 04-01 07:09 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 34 | $12.7K | 7,527 | 7,883 | -356 | No | +$1,420 | 03-31 23:46 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733 | 24 | $12.4K | 8,715 | 7,596 | +1,119 | No | -$1,072 | 04-23 12:05 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | 40 | $11.8K | 8,427 | 5,691 | +2,736 | Gold | -$18 | 01-24 10:04 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 22 | $10.2K | 5,650 | 5,650 | +0 | No | +$972 | 03-23 22:49 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026 | 10 | $9.0K | 5,921 | 5,921 | +0 | No | +$2,815 | 02-25 21:52 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 35 | $8.5K | 10,326 | 4,558 | +5,767 | No | +$879 | 01-30 18:27 |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 19 | $8.0K | 8,567 | 8,687 | -120 | Yes | +$697 | 04-13 22:22 |
| will solana reach 100 in march 2026 | 8 | $7.2K | 4,500 | 4,500 | +0 | No | +$1,556 | 03-28 09:40 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 21 | $7.1K | 4,010 | 4,010 | +0 | No | +$871 | 03-15 18:34 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | 9 | $7.1K | 4,997 | 4,997 | +0 | Yes | +$1,090 | 04-24 00:39 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681 | 18 | $5.9K | 4,596 | 4,596 | +0 | Yes | +$237 | 04-24 03:24 |
| will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0 | 43 | $5.6K | 6,285 | 0 | +6,285 | Yes | +$673 | 01-16 13:14 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 76 | $5.6K | 17,215 | 23,469 | -6,254 | No | +$2,564 | 04-14 10:09 |
| Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 9 | $5.5K | 3,564 | 3,564 | +0 | No | +$287 | 02-06 01:22 |
| si hit 65 low jan 2026 292 389 318 | 15 | $5.3K | 3,201 | 3,201 | +0 | No | +$876 | 01-30 02:21 |
| will solana reach 120 in february 2026 | 6 | $5.2K | 7,440 | 0 | +7,440 | No | +$2,245 | 02-02 11:03 |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 16 | $5.1K | 2,725 | 2,725 | +0 | No | +$343 | 03-31 11:16 |
| will xrp reach 2pt4 in january 2026 | 4 | $5.1K | 6,930 | 0 | +6,930 | Yes | -$5,071 | 01-04 02:21 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? | 1 | $4.9K | 0 | 4,900 | -4,900 | Yes | -$5 | 06-12 18:30 |
| Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? | 11 | $4.8K | 2,415 | 3,159 | -744 | No | -$81 | 04-17 13:22 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 8 | $4.4K | 3,244 | 3,244 | +0 | No | +$633 | 03-23 11:39 |
| USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch? | 10 | $4.3K | 2,083 | 2,593 | -510 | Yes | +$750 | 03-24 01:29 |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 9 | $4.3K | 2,353 | 2,400 | -47 | Yes | +$285 | 04-15 07:04 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | 3 | $4.1K | 0 | 4,291 | -4,291 | open | — | 08-21 08:52 |
| usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388 | 11 | $4.0K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | No | -$270 | 03-08 06:12 |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | 10 | $4.0K | 3,134 | 2,568 | +566 | Yes | -$182 | 04-01 06:33 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||