Realized P&L
-$431
Unrealized P&L
+$714
Hit rate
32.1%
Resolved
24
Trades
2,628
lifetime
Volume
$447.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$170
Open exposure
$9.72K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 08:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
64%
62%
$-207
Other
24%
0%
$-17
Politics
11%
0%
$-207
Tech
0%
—
—
Sports
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk
• peak 52 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -1,717 | $-1,408 | 78¢ | $-1348 | +$60 | 06-06 02:55 | |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,499 | $1,229 | 84¢ | $1.3K | +$24 | 06-30 04:00 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,272 | $865 | 66¢ | $833 | $-32 | 06-29 14:51 | |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | No | -700 | $-699 | 100¢ | $-699 | +$0 | 06-28 01:41 | |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | +901 | $667 | 72¢ | $653 | $-14 | 06-30 02:02 | |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -1,589 | $-757 | 35¢ | $-556 | +$201 | 06-26 13:57 | |
| Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | -520 | $-510 | 98¢ | $-510 | $-0 | 06-29 17:39 | |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | -525 | $-499 | 91¢ | $-478 | +$21 | 06-01 14:36 | |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? | No | +372 | $282 | 82¢ | $305 | +$22 | 06-04 00:08 | |
| GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -322 | $-307 | 94¢ | $-303 | +$5 | 06-05 18:19 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -300 | $-292 | 97¢ | $-292 | +$0 | 06-30 14:45 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | -1,700 | $-265 | 16¢ | $-280 | $-16 | 06-15 04:12 | |
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +312 | $216 | 84¢ | $264 | +$48 | 06-05 23:02 | |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -2,142 | $-273 | 11¢ | $-225 | +$48 | 06-15 04:13 | |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | $1,000 | +368 | $204 | 55¢ | $202 | $-2 | 06-30 17:41 | |
| Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? | No | +200 | $152 | 90¢ | $180 | +$28 | 06-02 18:03 | |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | +200 | $138 | 72¢ | $145 | +$7 | 06-15 08:38 | |
| Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +208 | $123 | 69¢ | $143 | +$21 | 06-05 22:27 | |
| Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? | Yes | -860 | $-430 | 16¢ | $-142 | +$288 | 06-03 04:33 | |
| Will Pump.fun reach $0.0054 by December 31, 2026? | No | +150 | $124 | 89¢ | $133 | +$9 | 06-05 22:27 | |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? | No | +157 | $122 | 82¢ | $129 | +$6 | 06-22 17:47 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +454 | $150 | 22¢ | $102 | $-48 | 06-06 00:02 | |
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | -108 | $-91 | 81¢ | $-88 | +$3 | 05-28 06:18 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | +85 | $83 | 100¢ | $85 | +$2 | 06-04 00:04 | |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026? | No | +100 | $90 | 84¢ | $84 | $-6 | 06-16 08:16 | |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? | No | +100 | $76 | 84¢ | $84 | +$8 | 05-28 17:04 | |
| Will Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +132 | $71 | 56¢ | $74 | +$3 | 06-05 22:43 | |
| Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? | No | -77 | $-68 | 81¢ | $-62 | +$5 | 06-04 16:21 | |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? | No | -46 | $-43 | 87¢ | $-40 | +$3 | 06-22 12:52 | |
| Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -174 | $-45 | 16¢ | $-27 | +$18 | 06-25 09:44 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nothing ever happens microstrategy | 55 | $22.8K | 14,101 | 14,101 | +0 | open | — | 01-12 03:47 |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 47 | $16.8K | 10,309 | 10,309 | +0 | open | — | 03-24 14:20 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352 | 34 | $16.0K | 13,117 | 15,476 | -2,360 | open | — | 04-24 01:18 |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | 20 | $13.7K | 10,143 | 9,543 | +600 | open | — | 04-01 07:09 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 34 | $12.7K | 7,527 | 7,883 | -356 | open | — | 03-31 23:46 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733 | 24 | $12.4K | 8,715 | 7,596 | +1,119 | open | — | 04-23 12:05 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | 40 | $11.8K | 8,427 | 5,691 | +2,736 | open | — | 01-24 10:04 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 22 | $10.2K | 5,650 | 5,650 | +0 | open | — | 03-23 22:49 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026 | 10 | $9.0K | 5,921 | 5,921 | +0 | open | — | 02-25 21:52 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 35 | $8.5K | 10,326 | 4,558 | +5,767 | open | — | 01-30 18:27 |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 19 | $8.0K | 8,567 | 8,687 | -120 | open | — | 04-13 22:22 |
| will solana reach 100 in march 2026 | 8 | $7.2K | 4,500 | 4,500 | +0 | open | — | 03-28 09:40 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 21 | $7.1K | 4,010 | 4,010 | +0 | open | — | 03-15 18:34 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | 9 | $7.1K | 4,997 | 4,997 | +0 | open | — | 04-24 00:39 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681 | 18 | $5.9K | 4,596 | 4,596 | +0 | open | — | 04-24 03:24 |
| will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0 | 43 | $5.6K | 6,285 | 0 | +6,285 | open | — | 01-16 13:14 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 76 | $5.6K | 17,215 | 23,469 | -6,254 | open | — | 04-14 10:09 |
| Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 9 | $5.5K | 3,564 | 3,564 | +0 | open | — | 02-06 01:22 |
| si hit 65 low jan 2026 292 389 318 | 15 | $5.3K | 3,201 | 3,201 | +0 | open | — | 01-30 02:21 |
| will solana reach 120 in february 2026 | 6 | $5.2K | 7,440 | 0 | +7,440 | open | — | 02-02 11:03 |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 16 | $5.1K | 2,725 | 2,725 | +0 | open | — | 03-31 11:16 |
| will xrp reach 2pt4 in january 2026 | 4 | $5.1K | 6,930 | 0 | +6,930 | open | — | 01-04 02:21 |
| Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? | 11 | $4.8K | 2,415 | 3,159 | -744 | open | — | 04-17 13:22 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 8 | $4.4K | 3,244 | 3,244 | +0 | open | — | 03-23 11:39 |
| USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch? | 10 | $4.3K | 2,083 | 2,593 | -510 | open | — | 03-24 01:29 |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 9 | $4.3K | 2,353 | 2,400 | -47 | open | — | 04-15 07:04 |
| usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388 | 11 | $4.0K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | open | — | 03-08 06:12 |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | 10 | $4.0K | 3,134 | 2,568 | +566 | open | — | 04-01 06:33 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | 19 | $3.8K | 6,138 | 0 | +6,138 | open | — | 04-11 15:16 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | 14 | $3.8K | 6,711 | 5,711 | +1,000 | open | — | 04-03 09:35 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||