Realized P&L
-$431
Unrealized P&L
+$924
Hit rate
32.1%
Resolved
24
Trades
2,707
lifetime
Volume
$459.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$170
Open exposure
$17.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 07:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
65%
62%
$-207
Other
24%
0%
$-17
Politics
11%
0%
$-207
Tech
0%
—
—
Sports
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk
• peak 18 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | No | -3,581 | $-3,226 | 90¢ | $-3241 | $-16 | 07-07 20:47 | |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,599 | $1,309 | 84¢ | $1.3K | +$34 | 07-01 03:35 | |
| GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -1,717 | $-1,408 | 76¢ | $-1305 | +$103 | 06-06 02:55 | |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | +1,180 | $1,036 | 90¢ | $1.1K | +$20 | 07-19 10:01 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,272 | $865 | 70¢ | $897 | +$32 | 06-29 14:51 | |
| Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | -800 | $-793 | 99¢ | $-790 | +$2 | 07-08 07:43 | |
| Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,409 | $-880 | 50¢ | $-705 | +$176 | 07-20 23:22 | |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | +901 | $667 | 78¢ | $703 | +$36 | 06-30 02:02 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | -700 | $-672 | 93¢ | $-652 | +$20 | 07-06 01:59 | |
| Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | -520 | $-510 | 98¢ | $-507 | +$2 | 06-29 17:39 | |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | -525 | $-499 | 92¢ | $-486 | +$13 | 06-01 14:36 | |
| Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | No | +500 | $435 | 92¢ | $458 | +$22 | 07-01 03:10 | |
| Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | +535 | $455 | 84¢ | $452 | $-3 | 07-19 10:21 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | -1,700 | $-265 | 26¢ | $-450 | $-186 | 06-15 04:12 | |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | +500 | $390 | 86¢ | $428 | +$38 | 07-09 04:04 | |
| GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | -441 | $-413 | 95¢ | $-417 | $-4 | 07-04 21:32 | |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -1,589 | $-757 | 24¢ | $-389 | +$368 | 06-26 13:57 | |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | +399 | $368 | 96¢ | $381 | +$13 | 07-07 11:00 | |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? | No | +372 | $282 | 86¢ | $320 | +$37 | 06-04 00:08 | |
| GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -322 | $-307 | 97¢ | $-311 | $-4 | 06-05 18:19 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -300 | $-292 | 97¢ | $-292 | +$0 | 06-30 14:45 | |
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +312 | $216 | 91¢ | $284 | +$69 | 06-05 23:02 | |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | +400 | $278 | 70¢ | $282 | +$4 | 07-16 07:04 | |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | -299 | $-263 | 89¢ | $-266 | $-3 | 07-15 08:38 | |
| Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -200 | $-197 | 97¢ | $-194 | +$3 | 07-18 14:12 | |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | $1,000 | +368 | $204 | 52¢ | $189 | $-14 | 06-30 17:41 | |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -2,142 | $-273 | 8¢ | $-182 | +$91 | 06-15 04:13 | |
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | No | +300 | $138 | 60¢ | $180 | +$42 | 07-08 17:07 | |
| Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? | No | +200 | $152 | 89¢ | $178 | +$26 | 06-02 18:03 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -182 | $-178 | 96¢ | $-175 | +$2 | 07-19 10:43 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nothing ever happens microstrategy | 55 | $22.8K | 14,101 | 14,101 | +0 | open | — | 01-12 03:47 |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 47 | $16.8K | 10,309 | 10,309 | +0 | open | — | 03-24 14:20 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352 | 34 | $16.0K | 13,117 | 15,476 | -2,360 | open | — | 04-24 01:18 |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | 20 | $13.7K | 10,143 | 9,543 | +600 | open | — | 04-01 07:09 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 34 | $12.7K | 7,527 | 7,883 | -356 | open | — | 03-31 23:46 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733 | 24 | $12.4K | 8,715 | 7,596 | +1,119 | open | — | 04-23 12:05 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | 40 | $11.8K | 8,427 | 5,691 | +2,736 | open | — | 01-24 10:04 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 22 | $10.2K | 5,650 | 5,650 | +0 | open | — | 03-23 22:49 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026 | 10 | $9.0K | 5,921 | 5,921 | +0 | open | — | 02-25 21:52 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 35 | $8.5K | 10,326 | 4,558 | +5,767 | open | — | 01-30 18:27 |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 19 | $8.0K | 8,567 | 8,687 | -120 | open | — | 04-13 22:22 |
| will solana reach 100 in march 2026 | 8 | $7.2K | 4,500 | 4,500 | +0 | open | — | 03-28 09:40 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 21 | $7.1K | 4,010 | 4,010 | +0 | open | — | 03-15 18:34 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | 9 | $7.1K | 4,997 | 4,997 | +0 | open | — | 04-24 00:39 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681 | 18 | $5.9K | 4,596 | 4,596 | +0 | open | — | 04-24 03:24 |
| will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0 | 43 | $5.6K | 6,285 | 0 | +6,285 | open | — | 01-16 13:14 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 76 | $5.6K | 17,215 | 23,469 | -6,254 | open | — | 04-14 10:09 |
| Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 9 | $5.5K | 3,564 | 3,564 | +0 | open | — | 02-06 01:22 |
| si hit 65 low jan 2026 292 389 318 | 15 | $5.3K | 3,201 | 3,201 | +0 | open | — | 01-30 02:21 |
| will solana reach 120 in february 2026 | 6 | $5.2K | 7,440 | 0 | +7,440 | open | — | 02-02 11:03 |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 16 | $5.1K | 2,725 | 2,725 | +0 | open | — | 03-31 11:16 |
| will xrp reach 2pt4 in january 2026 | 4 | $5.1K | 6,930 | 0 | +6,930 | open | — | 01-04 02:21 |
| Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? | 11 | $4.8K | 2,415 | 3,159 | -744 | open | — | 04-17 13:22 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 8 | $4.4K | 3,244 | 3,244 | +0 | open | — | 03-23 11:39 |
| USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch? | 10 | $4.3K | 2,083 | 2,593 | -510 | open | — | 03-24 01:29 |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 9 | $4.3K | 2,353 | 2,400 | -47 | open | — | 04-15 07:04 |
| usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388 | 11 | $4.0K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | open | — | 03-08 06:12 |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | 10 | $4.0K | 3,134 | 2,568 | +566 | open | — | 04-01 06:33 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | 19 | $3.8K | 6,138 | 0 | +6,138 | open | — | 04-11 15:16 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | 14 | $3.8K | 6,711 | 5,711 | +1,000 | open | — | 04-03 09:35 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||