Realized P&L
-$431
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
32.1%
Resolved
24
Trades
2,575
lifetime
Volume
$440.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$171
Open exposure
$4.32K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 12:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
64% 62% $-207
Other
24% 0% $-17
Politics
11% 0% $-207
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -1,717 $-1,408 84¢ $-1434 $-26 06-06 02:55
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes -504 $-503 100¢ $-503 +$1 06-04 21:34
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -525 $-499 92¢ $-486 +$13 06-01 14:36
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -322 $-307 95¢ $-305 +$2 06-05 18:19
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? No +372 $282 76¢ $284 +$2 06-04 00:08
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No +312 $216 80¢ $250 +$34 06-05 23:02
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $152 88¢ $177 +$25 06-02 18:03
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0054 by December 31, 2026? No +150 $124 85¢ $127 +$3 06-05 22:27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +454 $150 26¢ $116 $-34 06-06 00:02
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026? Yes +208 $123 53¢ $110 $-12 06-05 22:27
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +85 $83 99¢ $85 +$1 06-04 00:04
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? No +100 $76 83¢ $83 +$7 05-28 17:04
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -108 $-91 76¢ $-83 +$8 05-28 06:18
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +104 $71 76¢ $79 +$7 06-04 19:14
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No -77 $-68 80¢ $-61 +$7 06-04 16:21
Will Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026? Yes +132 $71 42¢ $55 $-16 06-05 22:43
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? Yes -324 $-19 $-24 $-5 06-02 16:03
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -24 $-21 82¢ $-20 +$1 06-09 10:02
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-15 85¢ $-13 +$2 05-31 12:03
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-12 94¢ $-12 +$0 06-02 21:38
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -45 $-5 10¢ $-5 +$1 06-03 13:55
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? No +4 $3 79¢ $3 +$0 06-01 14:12
Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 94¢ $-3 +$0 06-05 15:31
Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 16:56
Will Plasma reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 09:36
USDE depeg by December 31? Yes -7 $-1 14¢ $-1 +$0 06-06 14:39
Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 01:47