Realized P&L
-$28
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
61.2%
Resolved
41
Trades
3,753
lifetime
Volume
$20.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$135
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 06-28 17:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
51% 40% $-11
Politics
45% 20% $-17
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $-0
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 483 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No -15 $-15 99¢ $-15 $-1 06-12 13:52
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +9 $6 100¢ $9 +$4 06-08 05:53
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -8 $-2 100¢ $-8 $-7 06-05 16:17
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? No +8 $7 99¢ $8 +$1 06-03 00:08
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +7 $5 100¢ $7 +$2 06-15 09:47
AWS service disrupted by June 30? No +7 $4 98¢ $7 +$3 06-12 02:59
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-5 100¢ $-6 $-2 06-12 18:54
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No -6 $-5 99¢ $-6 $-1 06-27 23:25
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? No -6 $-5 100¢ $-6 $-1 06-16 05:05
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-26 01:43
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30? No -6 $-4 98¢ $-5 $-1 06-15 12:36
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-28 17:24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-16 01:27
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 06-27 23:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-07 20:20
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No -6 $-5 87¢ $-5 +$0 06-15 02:01
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 86¢ $-5 +$1 06-27 09:50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-12 19:42
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +3 $2 100¢ $3 +$1 06-11 17:34
Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30? No +5 $5 58¢ $3 $-2 06-26 12:44
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-08 01:56
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-11 17:34
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +2 $0 100¢ $2 +$2 06-12 14:13
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? No +2 $0 99¢ $2 +$1 06-03 09:34
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No +2 $1 96¢ $2 +$0 06-10 18:32
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-14 14:46
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-26 22:04
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30? No +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-10 13:56
100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30? No +0 $-1 100¢ $0 +$1 06-12 15:14
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 $0 $-5 06-27 17:19