Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by July 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$62
Trades
26
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$22
Latest YES mid
70¢
Latest NO mid
30¢
End date
2026-07-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-08 21:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $18 | $5 | +$13 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $10 | $1 | +$9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Median | 2 | $10 | $1 | +$9 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $18 | $5 | +$13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $0 | $0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +55 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 03:08 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +36 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-09 18:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 18:51 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 07-08 14:46 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | +15 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-09 18:51 |
| Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | +15 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-08 21:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x7303…a395 | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-08 21:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 18:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-08 21:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 21:31:41 | (anonymous) 0x7303…a395 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xd39e2b… |
| 07-08 21:31:41 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xd39e2b… |
| 07-08 21:31:41 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd39e2b… |
| 07-08 14:46:41 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xd4238b… |
| 07-08 14:46:41 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd4238b… |
| 06-27 14:39:26 | Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | No | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x380bd2… |
| 06-27 14:39:26 | Anxious-Limb 0x7ae7…2b0d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x380bd2… |
| 06-09 18:51:58 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5b53b5… |
| 06-09 18:51:58 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | SELL | 46 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x5b53b5… |
| 06-09 18:51:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5b53b5… |
| 06-09 18:51:58 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x5b53b5… |
| 06-09 18:51:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5b53b5… |
| 06-09 07:58:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x047d80… |
| 06-09 07:58:37 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0x047d80… |
| 06-05 13:30:43 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9aa713… |
| 06-05 13:30:43 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9aa713… |
| 06-04 19:37:10 | Shocking-Cummerbund 0x378a…a638 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x375c33… |
| 06-04 19:37:10 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x375c33… |
| 06-01 12:02:04 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 28 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x42f4ec… |
| 06-01 12:02:04 | Fortunate-Randomization 0x3690…51ae | No | SELL | 18 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x42f4ec… |
| 06-01 12:02:04 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 46 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x42f4ec… |
| 05-31 03:08:05 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 55 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0f3dbc… |
| 05-31 03:08:05 | Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | No | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0f3dbc… |
| 05-31 03:08:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0f3dbc… |
| 05-31 03:08:05 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0f3dbc… |
| 05-31 03:08:05 | Shocking-Cummerbund 0x378a…a638 | No | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x0f3dbc… |