Shocking-Cummerbund 0x378a50…12a638 Create alert
whale 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$797
Unrealized P&L
+$554
Hit rate
55.1%
Resolved
631
Trades
2,472
lifetime
Volume
$155.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$3.74K
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 11-11 15:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Politics
58% 50% +$1,198
Other
35% 41% -$1,724
Sports
7% 45% -$150
Crypto
0% 44% -$33
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$89
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +952 $828 97¢ $922 +$93 11-05 05:59
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +878 $645 77¢ $676 +$31 11-05 12:58
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0.6%-0.9%? Yes +1,055 $616 64¢ $676 +$60 11-06 19:19
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%? Yes +465 $333 75¢ $347 +$14 11-06 09:58
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000? Yes +338 $233 94¢ $316 +$83 11-04 19:04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +253 $182 85¢ $214 +$32 11-05 12:37
Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? No +514 $35 39¢ $199 +$164 10-25 19:25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 10%-15%? Yes — +138 $96 98¢ $135 +$40 11-04 09:45
California Recall Election Reform Proposition No +114 $59 48¢ $54 -$5 09-20 09:41
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0.9%-1.2%? Yes +1,587 $244 3¢ $43 -$201 11-06 17:08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 30%-35%? Yes +38 $10 97¢ $37 +$27 11-04 03:14
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government? No +35 $10 89¢ $31 +$22 09-20 18:04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0%-0.3%? No +28 -$164 96¢ $27 +$191 11-11 15:17
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? No +55 $18 45¢ $25 +$7 09-13 20:14
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 30%-35%? No +28 $24 87¢ $24 +$0 11-04 03:06
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +20 $14 49¢ $10 -$4 11-04 06:35
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +5 $1 44¢ $2 +$1 09-13 19:45