Realized P&L
+$26.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
9,164
Trades
12,564
lifetime
Volume
$216.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 06:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Politics
52% 2% +$47
Other
24% 0% +$28,017
Sports
15% 0% +$2
Crypto
10% 0% -$1,358
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -149 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$1 06-06 14:41
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -149 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-06 14:41
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 09-10 23:10
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +7 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-21 19:39
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +7 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-05 00:58
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes +8 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 08-12 19:03
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-15 01:48
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-27 21:56
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-21 19:40
Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League MVP Award? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-05 09:00
Will Matt Olson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-24 09:21
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-20 21:15
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-07 22:14
Will Freddy Peralta win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-08 19:36
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-20 02:48
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-29 06:36
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2026 American League MVP Award? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-03 21:05
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-12 02:15
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-15 09:00
Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-20 02:48
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-26 16:45
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-10 23:45
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-23 12:05
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 08:40