Realized P&L
-$50
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
51.3%
Resolved
436
Trades
8,547
lifetime
Volume
$8.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$52
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-16
last 10-31 13:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Sports
35% 15% -$23
Other
34% 19% -$15
Crypto
18% 10% -$4
Politics
11% 9% -$15
Tech
3% 17% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,010 $1 1¢ $11 +$10 09-05 13:34
will solana dip to 50 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +5 $2 94¢ $5 +$3 06-16 16:41
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +35 $3 13¢ $4 +$1 10-31 13:37
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $2 80¢ $4 +$2 06-22 16:59
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +4 $0 90¢ $4 +$4 07-11 21:40
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +4 $1 92¢ $3 +$2 08-12 06:49
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -249 -$13 1¢ $-3 +$10 09-21 10:10
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 +$0 08-14 17:05
trump meets with putin by december 31 Yes +3 $1 84¢ $2 +$1 09-07 13:15
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +4 $2 44¢ $2 +$0 07-16 19:06
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$1 07-11 03:09
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +5 $2 26¢ $1 -$1 07-05 18:18
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +175 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 09-02 23:16
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +9 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 10-31 13:54
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1 $0 97¢ $1 +$1 08-26 00:26
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1 -$1 79¢ $1 +$1 09-17 19:33
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +2 $1 32¢ $1 $0 06-28 18:13
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? Yes +2 $1 15¢ $0 -$1 06-28 22:00
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +1 $1 32¢ $0 $0 06-22 09:17
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-23 13:44
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch No +0 -$2 84¢ $0 +$2 09-15 08:39
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 08-22 01:46
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-13 13:14
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes +2 $1 7¢ $0 $0 08-06 09:05
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? Yes +4 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-26 22:32
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +2 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 07:09
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +4 $0 2¢ $0 $0 08-09 19:47
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 $0 06-26 14:58
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 22¢ $0 -$1 08-10 05:12
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? Yes +2 $0 3¢ $0 $0 06-22 17:11