Realized P&L
-$32
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
49.8%
Resolved
32
Trades
5,277
lifetime
Volume
$8.03K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$18
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 07-01 22:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Crypto
70% 50% $-31
Other
22% 50% $-0
Politics
5% 0% $-0
Sports
2% 67% $-1
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 500 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? No +31 $6 20¢ $6 +$0 07-01 13:08
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? Yes +7 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 07-01 13:37
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? Yes +4 $2 67¢ $3 +$1 07-01 13:52
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? No +8 $2 33¢ $3 +$0 07-01 13:38
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 07-02 02:35
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 30¢ $0 $-0 06-13 12:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-15 15:05