Thunderous-Casserole 0x386045…2b7877
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Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
18.6%
Resolved
4
Trades
939
lifetime
Volume
$8.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$87
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 07-21 19:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
56% 0% $-10
Tech
31% 100% +$5
Politics
11% 50% +$1
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -36 $-35 98¢ $-35 $-0 06-23 20:25
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -36 $-30 86¢ $-31 $-1 06-10 11:29
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No -10 $-8 80¢ $-8 +$0 07-21 19:21
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-2 57¢ $-4 $-2 07-21 19:19
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $3 27¢ $3 $-0 07-04 20:46
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 06-27 04:18
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No -4 $2 43¢ $-2 $-3 07-21 19:21
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes +6 $2 18¢ $1 $-1 06-29 15:19
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 07-21 19:19