Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
36
lifetime
Volume
$130
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$17
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-11 04:26
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
57%
Tech
21%
Politics
18%
Crypto
3%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +121 $23 $10 $-13 06-10 16:10
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No -9 $-4 48¢ $-4 $-0 06-11 04:26
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -4 $-3 77¢ $-3 $-1 06-10 16:12