Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
open
Total volume
$23,651
Trades
676
Unique wallets
150
Liquidity
$1,829
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-29 23:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.2¢
(top1%: 6% YES on $682
vs crowd: 11% YES on $19.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 21 | $242 | $15.7K | $15.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $202 | $1.0K | $830 |
| 🐟 Fish | 34 | $1.1K | $320 | +$788 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 74 | $548 | $342 | +$206 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $38 | $644 | $606 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $128 | $14.0K | $13.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $162 | $337 | $175 |
| Median | 18 | $63 | $641 | $578 |
| Below median | 21 | $14 | $190 | $176 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $93 | $41 | +$52 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $86 | $452 | $366 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $93 | $673 | $580 |
| unranked | 71 | $1.4K | $478 | +$943 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | +12,430 | $11,290 | $12,773 | 101 | 06-29 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x75a2…6992 | Yes | +7,099 | $851 | $1,041 | 11 | 06-11 11:18 |
| Busy-Doorpost 0x9690…f2d5 | No | +1,700 | $1,533 | $1,533 | 5 | 06-10 14:28 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +801 | $32 | $32 | 32 | 06-09 08:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x1933…b444 | Yes | +668 | $105 | $105 | 2 | 06-11 11:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x62e3…9696 | Yes | +636 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-27 01:10 |
| Late-Receipt 0x0e43…c324 | Yes | +628 | $91 | $91 | 2 | 06-10 21:12 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +491 | $445 | $445 | 25 | 06-29 21:50 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +482 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 06-29 07:21 |
| Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | +455 | $56 | $66 | 7 | 06-13 22:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd2f…535c | Yes | +423 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-10 06:33 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +378 | $24 | $51 | 10 | 06-13 10:44 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +378 | $54 | $54 | 26 | 06-24 05:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d9c…0803 | Yes | +300 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 06-10 19:41 |
| Pale-Birdwatcher 0x84d7…298f | Yes | +263 | $26 | $69 | 7 | 06-10 16:10 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +243 | $205 | $205 | 12 | 06-15 06:16 |
| Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | +192 | $20 | $20 | 9 | 06-10 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d9b…302b | Yes | +182 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-09 23:21 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +148 | $22 | $50 | 7 | 06-11 11:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1fa…1a49 | Yes | +145 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-16 06:32 |
| Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | Yes | +142 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 06-08 07:49 |
| Flawed-Instruction 0x911b…a7fe | Yes | +126 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-11 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xaac8…3ef6 | Yes | +121 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-10 16:10 |
| Quiet-Approach 0xbfd6…a888 | No | +114 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-11 11:50 |
| Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | Yes | +112 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 05-29 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1685…18ec | Yes | +110 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-08 22:58 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $-2 | $24 | 5 | 06-24 05:09 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 05:09 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 05:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1d4…8541 | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-08 07:41 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | +90 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-09 08:27 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +79 | $-4 | $27 | 7 | 06-24 05:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x88c7…9100 | Yes | +67 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x138a…de2a | No | +56 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 06-23 00:02 |
| Insignificant-Forelimb 0x2e1f…8fde | Yes | +55 | $4 | $5 | 2 | 06-14 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x8362…d9fd | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 06-26 00:52 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +49 | $-1 | $6 | 6 | 06-24 05:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +48 | $43 | $43 | 6 | 06-09 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xdeb2…a2d3 | No | +37 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 06-29 21:50 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | +32 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-09 17:25 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +27 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-09 18:29 |
| Partial-Cultivator 0x3687…d8fc | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-09 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd577…d2da | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-10 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +12 | $10 | $50 | 7 | 06-15 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bd2…abde | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 14:59 |
| Gripping-Drag 0xb80b…b047 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-10 06:33 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +7 | $1 | $99 | 15 | 06-16 06:51 |
| Yummy-Heartache 0xbff7…554f | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 15:23 |
| Lawful-Consist 0x369c…eab1 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-09 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xb565…d8ba | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-09 17:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 23:33:16 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | (anonymous) 0x45d3…63b9 | Yes | SELL | 209 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | SELL | 67 | 100¢ | $67 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 23:33:16 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3b85d… |
| 06-29 21:50:41 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x2250eb… |
| 06-29 21:50:41 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2250eb… |
| 06-29 21:50:41 | Quiet-Essay 0x5352…fc6b | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2250eb… |
| 06-29 21:50:41 | (anonymous) 0x45d3…63b9 | Yes | BUY | 209 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x2250eb… |
| 06-29 21:50:41 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2250eb… |
| 06-29 21:50:41 | (anonymous) 0xdeb2…a2d3 | No | BUY | 37 | 99¢ | $37 | 0x2250eb… |
| 06-29 07:24:22 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc92d66… |
| 06-29 07:24:22 | (anonymous) 0xc681…bd47 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xc92d66… |
| 06-29 07:24:20 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1a29d… |
| 06-29 07:24:20 | Timely-Kit 0xefae…6434 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf1a29d… |
| 06-29 07:23:58 | (anonymous) 0x02d8…3d4d | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x238b80… |
| 06-29 07:23:58 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x238b80… |
| 06-29 07:23:58 | Writhing-Ambition 0xf63d…443a | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe9178e… |
| 06-29 07:23:58 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe9178e… |
| 06-29 07:23:28 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x05a7dc… |
| 06-29 07:23:28 | (anonymous) 0x9284…023f | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x05a7dc… |
| 06-29 07:23:20 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8af5af… |
| 06-29 07:23:20 | (anonymous) 0x7ad9…6ed0 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8af5af… |
| 06-29 07:22:59 | (anonymous) 0x07de…aa13 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbe21b4… |
| 06-29 07:22:59 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbe21b4… |
| 06-29 07:22:19 | (anonymous) 0xd86c…dc85 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x6b0565… |
| 06-29 07:22:19 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b0565… |
| 06-29 07:22:04 | (anonymous) 0xa649…a15f | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4f9faf… |
| 06-29 07:22:04 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f9faf… |
| 06-29 07:22:02 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x60d6cc… |
| 06-29 07:22:02 | (anonymous) 0xd49c…5afe | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x60d6cc… |
| 06-29 07:22:02 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x434e2f… |
| 06-29 07:22:02 | (anonymous) 0xcc5d…7271 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x434e2f… |
| 06-29 07:21:29 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x581da6… |
| 06-29 07:21:29 | (anonymous) 0xa563…71cb | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x581da6… |
| 06-29 07:21:07 | (anonymous) 0x2937…cd26 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x6ce97e… |
| 06-29 07:21:07 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ce97e… |
| 06-29 07:19:29 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc90073… |
| 06-29 07:19:29 | (anonymous) 0x68f2…a4dd | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xc90073… |
| 06-29 07:19:28 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x78e641… |
| 06-29 07:19:28 | (anonymous) 0x20cb…6748 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x78e641… |
| 06-29 07:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xd603…c2e6 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x41fd51… |
| 06-29 07:19:26 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xffaada… |
| 06-29 07:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xf641…e05a | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xffaada… |
| 06-29 07:19:26 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41fd51… |
| 06-29 07:18:49 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b58ff… |
| 06-29 07:18:49 | (anonymous) 0x4c73…527b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x6b58ff… |
| 06-27 10:16:35 | (anonymous) 0x2f45…ab6a | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x1688a7… |
| 06-27 10:16:35 | (anonymous) 0x2f45…ab6a | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x9a996f… |
| 06-27 10:16:35 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9a996f… |
| 06-27 10:16:35 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1688a7… |
| 06-27 01:10:40 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…9696 | Yes | BUY | 636 | 1¢ | $7 | 0x41d87a… |
| 06-27 01:10:40 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x41d87a… |
| 06-27 01:10:40 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 719 | 99¢ | $711 | 0x41d87a… |
| 06-26 00:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x8362…d9fd | No | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $52 | 0xbe39f5… |
| 06-26 00:52:01 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | SELL | 70 | 99¢ | $69 | 0xbe39f5… |
| 06-26 00:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbe39f5… |
| 06-25 18:48:01 | Kosher-Twig 0xceb5…f397 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x18e0b8… |
| 06-25 18:48:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x18e0b8… |
| 06-25 12:59:20 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6e0afe… |
| 06-25 12:59:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x6e0afe… |
| 06-25 12:58:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x29240a… |
| 06-25 12:58:13 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x29240a… |
| 06-24 05:09:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x529484… |
| 06-24 05:09:31 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x529484… |
| 06-24 05:09:31 | Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | SELL | 17 | 96¢ | $17 | 0x529484… |
| 06-24 05:09:07 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 19 | 98¢ | $19 | 0x9537ef… |
| 06-24 05:09:07 | (anonymous) 0xa515…0093 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9537ef… |
| 06-24 05:09:07 | (anonymous) 0x7d64…f001 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9537ef… |
| 06-24 05:09:04 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x77e451… |
| 06-24 05:09:04 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7e90db… |
| 06-24 05:09:04 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x77e451… |
| 06-24 05:09:04 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x77e451… |
| 06-24 05:09:04 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x77e451… |
| 06-24 05:09:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 179 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x77e451… |
| 06-24 05:09:04 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 1,758 | 99¢ | $1,738 | 0x77e451… |
| 06-24 05:09:04 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x77e451… |
| 06-24 05:09:04 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | SELL | 1,080 | 99¢ | $1,069 | 0x77e451… |
| 06-24 05:09:04 | (anonymous) 0x4dc3…4702 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7e90db… |
| 06-24 05:09:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x77e451… |
| 06-24 05:09:04 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x77e451… |
| 06-24 05:09:04 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x77e451… |
| 06-23 00:02:28 | (anonymous) 0x138a…de2a | No | BUY | 56 | 96¢ | $54 | 0x45cc74… |
| 06-23 00:02:28 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | SELL | 103 | 96¢ | $99 | 0x45cc74… |