Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
open
Total volume
$14,973
Trades
408
Unique wallets
67
Liquidity
$1,829
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-10 07:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.5¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $902
vs crowd: 11% YES on $13.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $146 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $136 | $8.8K | $8.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $999 | $104 | +$895 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $199 | $232 | $33 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $69 | $832 | $763 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $60 | $9.1K | $9.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $28 | $81 | $53 |
| Median | 7 | $49 | $440 | $391 |
| Below median | 11 | $12 | $53 | $41 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $41 | $41 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $70 | $442 | $372 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $32 | $546 | $514 |
| unranked | 20 | $1.2K | $223 | +$936 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | +8,731 | $7,798 | $8,031 | 71 | 06-10 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x75a2…6992 | Yes | +7,699 | $946 | $946 | 10 | 06-09 17:29 |
| Busy-Doorpost 0x9690…f2d5 | No | +1,100 | $1,002 | $1,002 | 4 | 06-09 18:03 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +801 | $32 | $32 | 32 | 06-09 08:39 |
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | +700 | $634 | $643 | 5 | 05-29 15:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd2f…535c | Yes | +423 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-10 06:33 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +357 | $328 | $328 | 16 | 06-10 06:33 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +313 | $293 | $644 | 6 | 06-10 07:15 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +302 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-09 08:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x912d…f1fe | Yes | +289 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-09 09:39 |
| Pale-Birdwatcher 0x84d7…298f | Yes | +284 | $29 | $66 | 6 | 06-10 07:14 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +245 | $42 | $42 | 16 | 06-09 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d9b…302b | Yes | +182 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-09 23:21 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +177 | $8 | $35 | 8 | 06-09 23:21 |
| Cylindrical-Ale 0x7d1b…e75c | Yes | +142 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 06-08 07:49 |
| Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389 | Yes | +135 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 06-10 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xd857…9cf1 | Yes | +119 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-09 19:51 |
| Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | Yes | +112 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 05-29 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1685…18ec | Yes | +110 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-08 22:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1d4…8541 | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-08 07:41 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +93 | $77 | $77 | 6 | 06-09 23:21 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | +90 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-09 08:27 |
| Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | +60 | $6 | $6 | 7 | 06-09 18:32 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +53 | $10 | $38 | 6 | 06-09 17:29 |
| Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | +50 | $45 | $134 | 3 | 06-09 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +48 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 06-09 19:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +48 | $43 | $43 | 6 | 06-09 23:21 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +32 | $4 | $52 | 11 | 06-10 07:14 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | +32 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-09 17:25 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +27 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-09 18:29 |
| Super-Arena 0x28ab…2048 | Yes | +24 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 03:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd91…6262 | Yes | +23 | $2 | $8 | 3 | 06-10 07:17 |
| Partial-Cultivator 0x3687…d8fc | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-09 11:02 |
| Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-09 19:51 |
| Live-Earthquake 0xe386…2467 | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-10 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $7 | 2 | 05-29 15:39 |
| Caring-Smoking 0x949a…575f | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 12:11 |
| Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 17:30 |
| Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | +11 | $13 | $23 | 3 | 05-29 15:13 |
| Gripping-Drag 0xb80b…b047 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-10 06:33 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +10 | $9 | $28 | 4 | 06-09 09:39 |
| Yummy-Heartache 0xbff7…554f | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 15:23 |
| Kosher-Twig 0xceb5…f397 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $20 | 22 | 06-09 18:32 |
| Lawful-Consist 0x369c…eab1 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $10 | 11 | 06-09 17:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xb565…d8ba | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-09 17:25 |
| Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-09 17:25 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 09:39 |
| Lawful-Consist 0x369c…eab1 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-09 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x4dc3…4702 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-29 03:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 16:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b13…dfcf | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 22:45 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 03:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 07:17:13 | (anonymous) 0xbd91…6262 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x5172fa… |
| 06-10 07:17:13 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 158 | 89¢ | $141 | 0x5172fa… |
| 06-10 07:17:13 | Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x5172fa… |
| 06-10 07:15:19 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x79246f… |
| 06-10 07:15:19 | Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3 | No | SELL | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x79246f… |
| 06-10 07:15:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x169cf0… |
| 06-10 07:15:13 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x169cf0… |
| 06-10 07:14:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 60 | 11¢ | $7 | 0x788c2f… |
| 06-10 07:14:55 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 60 | 89¢ | $53 | 0x788c2f… |
| 06-10 07:14:52 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 116 | 89¢ | $103 | 0xbb5824… |
| 06-10 07:14:52 | Pale-Birdwatcher 0x84d7…298f | Yes | BUY | 116 | 11¢ | $13 | 0xbb5824… |
| 06-10 06:55:30 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xc820c4… |
| 06-10 06:55:30 | (anonymous) 0x7c27…6e68 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xc820c4… |
| 06-10 06:55:30 | Pale-Birdwatcher 0x84d7…298f | Yes | BUY | 31 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xc820c4… |
| 06-10 06:54:42 | Pale-Birdwatcher 0x84d7…298f | Yes | SELL | 41 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x91f527… |
| 06-10 06:54:42 | (anonymous) 0x7c27…6e68 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x91f527… |
| 06-10 06:33:00 | Pale-Birdwatcher 0x84d7…298f | Yes | SELL | 22 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x8d2685… |
| 06-10 06:33:00 | Gripping-Drag 0xb80b…b047 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x8d2685… |
| 06-10 06:33:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 43 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x8d2685… |
| 06-10 06:33:00 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 18 | 89¢ | $16 | 0x8d2685… |
| 06-10 06:33:00 | (anonymous) 0xfd2f…535c | Yes | BUY | 423 | 11¢ | $48 | 0x8d2685… |
| 06-10 06:33:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 106 | 89¢ | $94 | 0x8d2685… |
| 06-10 06:33:00 | Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3 | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x8d2685… |
| 06-10 06:33:00 | (anonymous) 0xbd91…6262 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x8d2685… |
| 06-10 01:59:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x17a400… |
| 06-10 01:59:39 | Live-Earthquake 0xe386…2467 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x17a400… |
| 06-10 01:56:13 | Live-Earthquake 0xe386…2467 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x49e23c… |
| 06-10 01:56:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x49e23c… |
| 06-09 23:58:49 | (anonymous) 0xbd91…6262 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x666180… |
| 06-09 23:58:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 60 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x666180… |
| 06-09 23:58:49 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 84 | 89¢ | $75 | 0x666180… |
| 06-09 23:55:43 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 16 | 89¢ | $14 | 0x7e357c… |
| 06-09 23:55:43 | Pale-Birdwatcher 0x84d7…298f | No | SELL | 16 | 89¢ | $14 | 0x7e357c… |
| 06-09 23:55:40 | Pale-Birdwatcher 0x84d7…298f | No | SELL | 147 | 89¢ | $131 | 0x9a62d5… |
| 06-09 23:55:40 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 147 | 89¢ | $131 | 0x9a62d5… |
| 06-09 23:48:13 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | SELL | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xdf60fc… |
| 06-09 23:48:13 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xdf60fc… |
| 06-09 23:21:39 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | SELL | 32 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x1a2638… |
| 06-09 23:21:39 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x1a2638… |
| 06-09 23:21:39 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 17 | 89¢ | $15 | 0x1a2638… |
| 06-09 23:21:39 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x1a2638… |
| 06-09 23:21:39 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x1a2638… |
| 06-09 23:21:39 | (anonymous) 0x4d9b…302b | Yes | BUY | 182 | 11¢ | $20 | 0x1a2638… |
| 06-09 23:21:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 57 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x1a2638… |
| 06-09 20:14:37 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x02f03f… |
| 06-09 20:14:37 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x02f03f… |
| 06-09 19:53:06 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x0479dc… |
| 06-09 19:53:06 | (anonymous) 0x89a0…e717 | Yes | SELL | 167 | 10¢ | $17 | 0x0479dc… |
| 06-09 19:53:06 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x0479dc… |
| 06-09 19:53:06 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x0479dc… |
| 06-09 19:53:06 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 52 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x0479dc… |
| 06-09 19:53:06 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0479dc… |
| 06-09 19:51:40 | (anonymous) 0xd857…9cf1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x30d092… |
| 06-09 19:51:40 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x30d092… |
| 06-09 19:49:21 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x608efa… |
| 06-09 19:49:21 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x608efa… |
| 06-09 19:49:21 | (anonymous) 0xd857…9cf1 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 11¢ | $12 | 0x608efa… |
| 06-09 19:49:21 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $45 | 0x608efa… |
| 06-09 18:43:25 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 55 | 89¢ | $49 | 0xc67d67… |
| 06-09 18:43:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 55 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xc67d67… |
| 06-09 18:41:34 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x4eef6d… |
| 06-09 18:41:34 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 57 | 90¢ | $51 | 0x4eef6d… |
| 06-09 18:41:33 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3659df… |
| 06-09 18:41:33 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x3659df… |
| 06-09 18:35:28 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x197ae1… |
| 06-09 18:35:28 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x197ae1… |
| 06-09 18:32:45 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x444d89… |
| 06-09 18:32:45 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x444d89… |
| 06-09 18:32:39 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdedf5f… |
| 06-09 18:32:39 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x21b21d… |
| 06-09 18:32:39 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdedf5f… |
| 06-09 18:32:39 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x21b21d… |
| 06-09 18:32:34 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9fd527… |
| 06-09 18:32:34 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x9fd527… |
| 06-09 18:32:34 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x9fd527… |
| 06-09 18:32:04 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x2787d1… |
| 06-09 18:32:04 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2787d1… |
| 06-09 18:29:10 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xf25777… |
| 06-09 18:29:10 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xf25777… |
| 06-09 18:23:24 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 13 | 90¢ | $12 | 0x3680c9… |
| 06-09 18:23:24 | Pale-Birdwatcher 0x84d7…298f | No | SELL | 13 | 90¢ | $12 | 0x3680c9… |
| 06-09 18:19:34 | Pale-Birdwatcher 0x84d7…298f | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xd3dc55… |
| 06-09 18:19:34 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xd3dc55… |
| 06-09 18:16:54 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x80eec8… |
| 06-09 18:16:54 | Pale-Birdwatcher 0x84d7…298f | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x80eec8… |
| 06-09 18:15:33 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xf2ef80… |
| 06-09 18:15:33 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xf2ef80… |
| 06-09 18:12:33 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | BUY | 308 | 90¢ | $276 | 0x147bb6… |
| 06-09 18:12:33 | Pale-Birdwatcher 0x84d7…298f | Yes | BUY | 300 | 10¢ | $31 | 0x147bb6… |
| 06-09 18:12:33 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x147bb6… |
| 06-09 18:03:37 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb25267… |
| 06-09 18:03:37 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xb25267… |
| 06-09 18:03:37 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 583 | 90¢ | $525 | 0xb25267… |
| 06-09 18:03:37 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xb25267… |
| 06-09 18:03:37 | Busy-Doorpost 0x9690…f2d5 | No | BUY | 500 | 90¢ | $450 | 0xb25267… |
| 06-09 18:03:37 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xb25267… |
| 06-09 18:03:37 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb25267… |
| 06-09 17:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x7e7ac8… |
| 06-09 17:55:58 | Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x7e7ac8… |
| 06-09 17:51:07 | Lawful-Consist 0x369c…eab1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xf33b7a… |