Lawful-Consist 0x369cb0…3beab1
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$70
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
130,981
lifetime
Volume
$298.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$429
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 06-26 10:25
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
44% — —
Other
28% — —
Crypto
22% — —
Sports
4% — —
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 8557 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -166 $-53 70¢ $-115 $-62 06-26 09:52
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +73 $67 100¢ $73 +$6 06-14 19:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -150 $-71 30¢ $-46 +$25 06-26 08:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +19 $20 100¢ $19 $-0 06-11 16:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +16 $19 99¢ $16 $-3 06-15 16:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +13 $31 100¢ $13 $-17 06-19 20:33
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +13 $10 80¢ $11 +$1 06-24 08:07
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $5 100¢ $-10 $-14 06-20 13:09
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +9 $3 100¢ $9 +$7 06-11 19:01
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes +9 $7 99¢ $9 +$2 06-08 14:33
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -8 $2 100¢ $-8 $-10 06-04 21:28
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +20 $6 40¢ $8 +$3 06-25 22:36
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No +10 $7 73¢ $7 +$1 06-23 01:54
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +9 $7 80¢ $7 +$1 06-18 17:57
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +7 $5 95¢ $7 +$2 06-15 20:21
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +10 $6 68¢ $7 +$1 06-11 00:31
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +10 $6 57¢ $6 $-1 06-26 09:43
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +5 $7 100¢ $5 $-2 06-09 09:44
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 05-31 17:39
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -5 $4 97¢ $-5 $-9 06-11 11:49
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-09 17:25
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 06-09 13:37
Megaquake by June 30? No +5 $2 99¢ $5 +$3 06-08 08:23
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +8 $6 60¢ $5 $-1 06-26 08:53
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +4 $5 100¢ $4 $-0 06-15 05:55
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 06-06 02:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 06-08 02:48
Haiti elections delayed again? No +10 $9 32¢ $3 $-5 06-11 09:54
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +6 $3 49¢ $3 $-0 06-07 16:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +3 $2 100¢ $3 +$0 05-28 14:42