Lawful-Consist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.63K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.2%

Resolved

568

Trades

217,463

lifetime

Volume

$536.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 10-21 07:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Politics

40% 15% -$3,747

Other

21% 21% -$1,272

Sports

15% 26% -$743

Crypto

13% 7% +$52

Tech

10% 9% -$916

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	6,351	$44.9K	30,601	30,597	+4	Yes	-$753	05-25 09:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	9,380	$32.5K	32,505	32,408	+96	Yes	+$450	06-01 11:37
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	11,507	$29.8K	37,062	36,725	+336	No	-$1,360	06-19 22:58
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9,927	$26.1K	36,619	36,606	+13	No	-$353	06-14 03:02
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	10,227	$23.9K	24,769	24,686	+84	Yes	-$115	06-14 21:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7,086	$16.9K	17,048	16,773	+275	No	-$32	06-26 09:52
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	3,422	$13.1K	13,046	12,991	+56	No	-$252	06-19 21:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	5,099	$11.4K	11,996	11,324	+672	No	-$66	06-19 20:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	4,398	$10.6K	10,605	10,261	+345	Yes	-$35	06-14 21:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4,357	$10.5K	10,668	10,649	+18	No	-$37	06-15 16:57
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	4,215	$9.4K	10,194	10,178	+16	No	-$22	06-26 10:24
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3,900	$8.8K	9,273	9,268	+4	Yes	-$27	06-14 03:12
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	3,550	$8.1K	8,332	8,188	+144	Yes	-$32	06-14 20:46
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	3,832	$7.6K	8,248	7,990	+258	Yes	-$91	06-20 00:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	2,931	$7.0K	7,087	6,795	+292	No	-$19	06-26 10:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	2,913	$6.6K	6,677	6,672	+5	No	-$61	06-19 20:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	2,482	$5.9K	5,928	5,836	+92	Yes	-$27	06-14 21:30
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2,826	$5.9K	6,452	6,208	+244	No	-$29	06-14 19:49
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	2,532	$5.3K	5,573	5,092	+481	Yes	-$66	06-18 20:01
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?	2,341	$5.1K	5,284	5,020	+264	No	-$59	06-21 05:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	2,059	$4.9K	5,016	4,931	+85	Yes	-$13	06-14 18:27
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	2,106	$4.5K	4,864	4,669	+195	Yes	-$55	06-16 18:23
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	1,757	$4.4K	4,346	4,121	+225	No	-$7	06-22 22:06
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1,917	$4.3K	4,378	4,319	+59	No	-$28	06-12 03:56
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	1,773	$4.1K	4,130	4,103	+27	Yes	-$33	05-31 02:48
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	1,840	$4.1K	4,428	4,079	+349	Yes	-$61	06-17 19:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	1,833	$3.9K	4,001	3,944	+57	Yes	-$47	06-14 21:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	1,629	$3.8K	3,852	3,725	+127	No	-$36	06-22 12:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?	1,535	$3.6K	3,651	3,634	+17	Yes	-$17	06-12 14:53
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1,525	$3.5K	3,851	3,792	+59	No	-$21	06-14 12:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 07:25:05	Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x026835…
10-21 07:24:54	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xbd659f…
10-21 07:24:47	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x34ecc0…
10-21 07:23:56	Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x36a2cc…
10-21 07:23:50	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xc85e57…
10-21 07:23:36	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1301c3…
10-21 07:23:24	Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8cd411…
08-21 10:22:31	spl kha sha 2026 08 22 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x317f2b…
08-21 09:30:42	Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x858507…
08-21 09:28:37	Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7e081e…
06-26 10:26:01	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xaad7a4…
06-26 10:25:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xc88991…
06-26 10:25:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x77418c…
06-26 10:25:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x6d806f…
06-26 10:25:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1a3ca8…
06-26 10:24:53	Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xab6605…
06-26 10:24:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x765fb8…
06-26 10:21:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x489bd6…
06-26 10:18:49	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x110d66…
06-26 10:17:58	Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0x9c8aaa…
06-26 10:13:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x281f1c…
06-26 10:12:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x24ba05…
06-26 10:12:55	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xa61ec5…
06-26 10:12:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf6c8ac…
06-26 10:12:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc07efb…
06-26 10:12:25	Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9638f4…
06-26 10:12:10	Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4638bd…
06-26 10:11:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x1e419e…
06-26 10:11:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x099652…
06-26 10:11:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0xa105b0…
06-26 10:10:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x1d2a6a…
06-26 10:07:58	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x30307c…
06-26 10:07:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xaea60a…
06-26 10:05:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x4bc5c6…
06-26 10:05:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x1bedab…
06-26 10:05:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd74080…
06-26 09:58:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4d9d93…
06-26 09:57:01	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x75699d…
06-26 09:54:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x264cec…
06-26 09:54:14	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xbe9a54…
06-26 09:52:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x106249…
06-26 09:52:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x678489…
06-26 09:52:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8c93f2…
06-26 09:49:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8380a1…
06-26 09:48:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3c1c81…
06-26 09:47:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x3f45b2…
06-26 09:47:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xd348eb…
06-26 09:45:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x614488…
06-26 09:44:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x79c148…
06-26 09:43:59	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x2d963a…
06-26 09:43:50	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x8a3594…
06-26 09:43:46	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7cefb9…
06-26 09:43:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd6d148…
06-26 09:40:32	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9a36b7…
06-26 09:37:14	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x617030…
06-26 09:35:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xbe838a…
06-26 09:35:38	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x242df8…
06-26 09:35:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x4ef7b7…
06-26 09:35:31	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xaf528a…
06-26 09:35:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5f2c58…
06-26 09:30:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xffc1dc…
06-26 09:29:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x7e7d3e…
06-26 09:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x275d37…
06-26 09:23:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2bc449…
06-26 09:21:43	Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x36da63…
06-26 09:20:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x33b81c…
06-26 09:11:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5e7c73…
06-26 09:10:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xe0b1d8…
06-26 09:10:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x961c7b…
06-26 09:09:40	Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x11dacf…
06-26 09:09:04	Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x322b3d…
06-26 09:08:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3d1726…
06-26 09:08:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf10d41…
06-26 09:07:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xa54c05…
06-26 09:07:08	Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x0dd8f9…
06-26 09:07:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x762c33…
06-26 09:06:34	Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa424ec…
06-26 09:05:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xdb4aec…
06-26 09:05:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x3610f0…
06-26 09:05:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdd4300…
06-26 09:05:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x95681a…
06-26 09:04:56	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x90afed…
06-26 09:04:46	Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x76d44d…
06-26 09:04:32	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa41c07…
06-26 09:04:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x080f57…
06-26 09:03:01	Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfd9ec3…
06-26 09:01:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x94950e…
06-26 09:00:41	Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xa0887c…
06-26 09:00:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xbe7740…
06-26 08:59:49	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xd23169…
06-26 08:58:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x94a6d7…
06-26 08:58:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xc4ddcc…
06-26 08:57:49	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x4ec1b0…
06-26 08:57:38	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe36bc1…
06-26 08:54:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x3441fb…
06-26 08:53:49	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x382828…
06-26 08:53:29	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xc243e7…
06-26 08:50:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x65fd19…
06-26 08:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x3c2ca3…
06-26 08:50:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x84e758…