Realized P&L
+$5.74K
Unrealized P&L
+$195
Hit rate
58.4%
Resolved
6,116
Trades
99,953
lifetime
Volume
$2.39M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.97K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 270 days
Categories
Other
64%
38%
+$700
Politics
14%
40%
+$2,320
Sports
13%
43%
+$2,859
Crypto
7%
34%
-$1,726
Tech
2%
50%
+$1,527
Pop-Culture
0%
50%
+$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk
• peak 661 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929 | 715 | $43.1K | 59,191 | 58,507 | +683 | No | +$82 | 03-23 12:49 |
| israel strikes iran by march 31 2026 | 591 | $39.8K | 42,215 | 41,302 | +913 | Yes | +$580 | 02-28 06:50 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 626 | $38.6K | 58,529 | 55,399 | +3,130 | Yes | -$382 | 01-31 15:56 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | 494 | $29.4K | 37,401 | 34,795 | +2,607 | Yes | +$524 | 02-28 16:55 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | 434 | $28.7K | 31,578 | 31,383 | +194 | Yes | +$620 | 09-16 16:56 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 492 | $16.6K | 14,353 | 13,894 | +459 | open | — | 10-24 02:15 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | 466 | $14.4K | 20,219 | 19,334 | +885 | Yes | +$562 | 07-31 16:23 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | 561 | $14.2K | 21,213 | 21,550 | -337 | Yes | +$331 | 06-24 22:55 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 975 | $13.2K | 19,843 | 19,840 | +3 | open | — | 10-22 13:03 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026 | 298 | $13.1K | 14,809 | 13,927 | +882 | Yes | +$43 | 04-30 07:00 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | 395 | $12.7K | 16,530 | 16,529 | +0 | No | +$817 | 07-31 15:45 |
| moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28 | 175 | $11.4K | 12,176 | 11,637 | +539 | Yes | +$114 | 02-03 01:08 |
| israel strikes iran by january 23 2026 | 249 | $10.9K | 23,013 | 22,198 | +815 | No | +$349 | 01-24 06:21 |
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | 196 | $10.1K | 10,760 | 10,152 | +608 | Yes | +$345 | 02-27 17:47 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | 177 | $9.9K | 11,493 | 11,180 | +313 | Yes | +$296 | 09-22 19:59 |
| Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | 422 | $9.8K | 10,504 | 8,950 | +1,554 | No | +$19 | 02-03 23:03 |
| will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964 | 301 | $9.5K | 15,260 | 15,189 | +71 | No | +$914 | 03-28 21:39 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | 167 | $9.0K | 9,574 | 9,274 | +300 | No | -$157 | 08-25 22:26 |
| will xqc beat forsens minecraft speedrun record by january 31 | 131 | $7.7K | 10,123 | 9,070 | +1,053 | Yes | +$10 | 01-27 00:57 |
| Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | 292 | $7.4K | 15,065 | 14,236 | +829 | Yes | +$529 | 03-31 12:31 |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 146 | $7.2K | 10,507 | 9,094 | +1,414 | No | -$152 | 03-11 11:34 |
| elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 90 114 | 180 | $7.2K | 9,099 | 9,019 | +80 | No | +$198 | 01-28 14:22 |
| will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election | 203 | $7.0K | 10,026 | 9,780 | +246 | Yes | +$196 | 04-13 16:48 |
| will solana dip to 60 in february 2026 | 302 | $6.5K | 8,928 | 8,805 | +123 | No | +$105 | 02-28 17:33 |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 168 | $6.5K | 9,456 | 8,288 | +1,169 | Yes | -$27 | 04-21 14:17 |
| wbc usa mex 2026 03 09 | 167 | $6.3K | 6,603 | 6,500 | +104 | USA | +$127 | 03-10 03:11 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison? | 178 | $6.3K | 9,231 | 7,409 | +1,822 | Yes | +$96 | 02-19 06:59 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 140 | $6.2K | 13,934 | 13,932 | +1 | No | -$57 | 04-19 04:18 |
| elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64 | 313 | $6.1K | 11,505 | 9,768 | +1,738 | No | -$57 | 01-28 05:32 |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election? | 93 | $6.1K | 4,155 | 3,798 | +356 | Yes | -$20 | 05-31 08:09 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||