(anonymous) 0x4dc3ab…d14702
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Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
103
lifetime
Volume
$238
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$22
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 06-29 00:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Tech
46% 100% +$4
Politics
34% — —
Other
19% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +9 $2 98¢ $9 +$7 06-07 04:01
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -5 $-3 99¢ $-5 $-2 06-13 03:10
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +5 $3 65¢ $3 +$0 06-23 16:40
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? No +3 $2 64¢ $2 +$0 06-01 00:42
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $3 36¢ $2 $-1 06-27 14:23
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 54¢ $1 $-0 06-29 00:13
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes +4 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-22 00:42
Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade confirmed relationship by June 30? Yes +5 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-05 05:14
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? Yes -0 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-19 18:56