Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
49
lifetime
Volume
$683
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$359
20 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-09 19:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
65% 100% +$2
Sports
22% 100% +$1
Tech
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +20 $18 95¢ $19 +$1 06-09 00:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 +$0 06-09 18:38
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 $-0 06-09 12:08
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? No +20 $18 93¢ $19 +$0 06-09 01:30
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? No +20 $19 93¢ $19 $-0 06-09 17:37
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +20 $18 92¢ $19 +$0 06-07 00:01
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +20 $18 92¢ $19 +$0 06-07 00:02
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 $-0 06-09 00:07
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +20 $17 91¢ $18 +$1 05-29 02:01
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +20 $19 89¢ $18 $-1 06-09 11:02
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +20 $18 88¢ $18 $-0 06-08 11:31
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No +20 $18 88¢ $18 $-1 06-09 00:07
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 $-0 06-07 03:16
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +20 $17 86¢ $17 $-0 06-07 00:01
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +20 $17 86¢ $17 $-0 06-09 19:19
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$0 06-06 20:32
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$0 06-07 00:01
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +20 $17 84¢ $17 $-0 06-07 00:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +20 $17 84¢ $17 $-1 06-09 18:38
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +20 $18 84¢ $17 $-1 06-09 00:07