Excitable-Saviour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

25,558

lifetime

Volume

$49.9M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.95K

Open exposure

$16

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 06:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

99% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% 0% $-2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 519 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Series: Anyone's Legend Kill Handicap (-10.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+10.5)	Weibo Gaming	+7	$0	95¢	$7	+$7	06-06 06:49
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Siegemund (+1.5)	Samsonova	+6	$0	95¢	$6	+$6	06-05 16:48
Counter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Nerve of Cow	+7	$0	50¢	$3	+$3	06-09 16:34
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	+8	$0	7¢	$1	+$1	06-09 07:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3,502	$6.09M	6,179,504	3,068,429	+3,111,075	open	—	01-27 12:50
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4,806	$6.05M	1,864,370	6,517,859	-4,653,489	open	—	01-27 18:33
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	686	$5.59M	5,618,479	2,191,686	+3,426,793	open	—	01-27 12:45
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	664	$5.52M	5,659,515	919,835	+4,739,681	open	—	03-14 14:18
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1,257	$5.16M	5,180,812	1,163,319	+4,017,493	open	—	03-18 17:47
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	517	$4.85M	4,970,223	1,889,353	+3,080,869	open	—	01-27 13:42
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3,739	$4.26M	2,119,150	4,283,729	-2,164,579	open	—	03-18 12:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	179	$3.50M	3,506,203	97	+3,506,106	open	—	04-23 07:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	702	$2.56M	2,564,624	777,680	+1,786,944	open	—	04-24 13:44
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2,934	$2.10M	3,310,176	3,863,300	-553,124	open	—	03-14 20:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	676	$1.67M	1,324,295	1,700,952	-376,658	open	—	04-27 15:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1,738	$1.30M	1,548,192	2,195,723	-647,531	open	—	04-24 13:44
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	103	$190.4K	124,827	153,327	-28,500	open	—	02-07 17:38
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	11	$162.9K	868	163,205	-162,337	open	—	02-08 20:10
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$162.3K	163,205	0	+163,205	open	—	02-08 19:14
ucl bvb1 ata1 2026 02 17 total 2pt5	4	$102.2K	70,030	70,030	+0	open	—	02-17 22:57
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20	8	$79.6K	40,000	40,000	+0	open	—	03-21 03:59
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	2	$53.0K	100,000	100,000	+0	open	—	03-28 09:00
atp hanfman cerund 2026 02 18	2	$42.4K	28,100	28,100	+0	open	—	02-18 22:46
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	4	$38.9K	42	38,992	-38,950	open	—	01-05 08:31
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	426	$38.9K	3,866,992	4,094,781	-227,789	open	—	01-03 07:09
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	15	$38.1K	34,349	20,465	+13,884	open	—	02-07 17:39
mwoh slo ger 2026 02 18	3	$37.2K	82,591	0	+82,591	open	—	02-18 09:11
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	3	$32.2K	27,775	27,775	-0	open	—	03-26 13:30
cbb lou mst 2026 03 21	2	$28.0K	40,000	40,000	+0	open	—	03-21 14:52
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	2	$27.7K	19,000	19,000	+0	open	—	02-17 16:45
super bowl lx coin toss	2	$24.0K	0	48,000	-48,000	open	—	02-08 22:57
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	20	$10.3K	6,415	6,415	+0	open	—	01-14 17:47
will casper ruud win the 2026 australian open	1	$9.3K	9,354	0	+9,354	open	—	01-25 19:10
will lorenzo musetti win the 2026 australian open	1	$9.3K	9,354	0	+9,354	open	—	01-25 19:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 06:10:34	cs2 pre navij1 2026 05 23 game2 odd even total kills	Even	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x4c823d…
07-21 05:50:43	cs2 pre navij1 2026 05 23 game1 odd even total kills	Even	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xec6070…
07-21 05:07:55	Spread: Club ABB (-1.5)	Club ABB	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xaf85e6…
07-20 16:39:03	Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x884bdc…
07-20 16:37:49	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc0228e…
07-20 14:31:46	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x5c40af…
07-20 14:20:33	Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x1f66b8…
07-20 14:14:31	Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Even	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7a2b47…
07-20 14:13:42	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Even	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xc1f1e5…
07-19 07:05:16	Spread: FC Universitario (-1.5)	FC Universitario	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf48df8…
07-19 07:05:12	Spread: FC Universitario (-2.5)	FC Universitario	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xcb2ae2…
07-10 17:56:56	cs2 co jul 2026 05 22 game2 odd even total rounds	Odd	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc6f159…
07-10 14:49:20	cs2 co jul 2026 05 22 game1 odd even total rounds	Odd	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xbd9819…
07-10 10:37:52	Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xbbad1b…
07-10 02:55:31	Spread: Club ABB (-2.5)	Club ABB	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb34939…
07-10 02:17:02	Spread: CD Real Tomayapo (-2.5)	CD Real Tomayapo	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe0915b…
07-06 22:36:47	Will Autodesk Q1 billings be above $2.0B?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5462dd…
07-06 10:19:26	Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x5dc4e0…
07-05 02:56:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf6c23d…
07-03 21:46:29	e jean carroll federally charged by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x3cb25f…
07-03 20:04:02	will trump speak to nicols maduro in june	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x30b5e3…
07-03 08:34:41	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x941062…
07-03 06:34:01	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf5127a…
07-02 19:39:17	will the announcers say lamine or yamal 30 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439789	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x4cea6e…
07-02 14:08:26	Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf2d567…
07-02 11:54:08	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xd0a049…
07-02 11:54:05	will bruno mars have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x1738b7…
07-02 11:50:31	will the announcers say ronaldo during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154128	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x02d0d6…
07-02 09:32:16	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd48ebb…
07-02 08:21:23	Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa18026…
07-02 08:19:35	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x2ed45b…
07-02 04:33:13	Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xecf601…
07-02 02:41:25	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x405033…
07-02 01:35:26	will bruno mars have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe2684f…
07-02 01:35:22	will beyonce have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xab96d6…
07-02 01:17:38	Will The Clearing Company self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2cd2a3…
07-02 01:12:17	will bruno mars have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x765a60…
07-01 20:26:23	will the weeknd have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x64e1ed…
07-01 19:57:41	will beyonce have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x6684b8…
07-01 19:57:35	will kanye west have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xc489ee…
07-01 19:57:17	will drake have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x608a2e…
07-01 19:42:59	will think be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260626152001198	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa1738d…
07-01 19:42:59	will think be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260626152001198	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2182f3…
07-01 19:42:59	will think be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260626152001198	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x0478a3…
07-01 19:36:35	will time be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260626152001200	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd83306…
07-01 19:36:34	will time be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260626152001200	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa0e0ee…
07-01 19:36:34	will time be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260626152001200	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2dad2e…
07-01 19:36:34	will time be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260626152001200	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1f0a9c…
07-01 19:30:41	will no lemonade stand episode air 20260626152001214	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xc652e8…
07-01 19:26:55	Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe3c028…
07-01 19:20:37	will alex warren have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa15b97…
07-01 18:10:26	will the announcers say kane 30 times during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034673	No	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xcfc6ea…
07-01 15:00:20	Weed rescheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5d597e…
07-01 14:54:20	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x2af6fb…
07-01 14:54:08	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x3ad44b…
07-01 14:12:13	will noah kahan have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9b7db0…
07-01 13:57:20	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Odd	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x428c3a…
07-01 09:54:44	e jean carroll arrested by june 30	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xc300d0…
07-01 07:58:08	will claude code commits hit low 350pt0k by june 30	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x3094db…
07-01 07:21:07	Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x479072…
07-01 07:20:52	Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7708c5…
07-01 07:20:46	Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xfe7cc2…
07-01 07:20:38	Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa295fa…
07-01 07:20:25	Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x6d22f8…
07-01 07:20:02	Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x97c1fa…
07-01 07:19:47	Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xee93ed…
07-01 07:18:59	israeli forces enter beirut by june 30	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x16eca0…
07-01 07:03:37	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x06ffc6…
07-01 06:38:32	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x39b36f…
07-01 06:27:25	joe rogan confirmed 60 minutes correspondent by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe13d67…
07-01 06:08:28	hasan piker arrested by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xcaa190…
07-01 06:08:28	hasan piker arrested by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1f1658…
07-01 06:06:46	Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x6ee37c…
07-01 06:03:37	Margot Robbie divorce by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x4b0e1e…
07-01 06:02:52	Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5ef01e…
07-01 06:02:50	Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1e13f8…
07-01 06:01:35	SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xbf74e5…
07-01 05:58:17	Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x264e80…
07-01 05:57:40	will donald trump publicly insult pam bondi by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x72c5be…
07-01 05:55:32	will donald trump publicly insult kevin warsh by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x8a48b1…
07-01 05:54:01	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa701f2…
07-01 05:50:10	California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf5ed31…
07-01 05:47:02	Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x4b646e…
07-01 05:27:55	Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2541e6…
07-01 05:27:31	Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1d29db…
07-01 05:27:17	Will Elon Musk Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x60dde3…
07-01 05:27:02	Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xc4b7fd…
07-01 05:26:49	Will Lord Peter Mandelson Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x0aed25…
07-01 05:18:55	Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf2d82e…
07-01 05:12:35	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x248dca…
07-01 05:07:29	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2f216e…
07-01 05:05:38	will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x937010…
07-01 04:59:14	McDonald's CEO out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xe4d351…
07-01 04:55:52	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xedd0a5…
07-01 04:54:41	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x45756e…
07-01 04:52:01	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x1503d4…
07-01 04:49:19	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x91c94b…
07-01 04:48:58	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x9b5933…
07-01 04:07:08	100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd2331a…
07-01 04:05:55	Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa1dd19…