Excitable-Saviour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

24,984

lifetime

Volume

$49.9M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.00K

Open exposure

$24

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 06:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

99% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% 0% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 598 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Counter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Nerve of Cow	+7	$0	100¢	$7	+$7	06-09 16:34
Series: Anyone's Legend Kill Handicap (-10.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+10.5)	Weibo Gaming	+7	$0	95¢	$7	+$7	06-06 06:49
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Siegemund (+1.5)	Samsonova	+6	$0	88¢	$5	+$5	06-05 16:48
Blinkova vs. Jovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	+6	$0	58¢	$4	+$3	06-06 06:37
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5	Over	+8	$0	9¢	$1	+$1	06-05 16:39
Will OpTic Texas finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?	No	+7	$0	7¢	$0	+$0	06-08 15:24
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	+8	$0	4¢	$0	+$0	06-09 07:26
Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	+8	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	06-06 10:49
Will Elaine Culotti advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	+7	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	06-06 10:50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	+6	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	06-08 03:31
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	+6	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	06-08 01:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3,502	$6.09M	6,179,504	3,068,429	+3,111,075	open	—	01-27 12:50
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4,806	$6.05M	1,864,370	6,517,859	-4,653,489	open	—	01-27 18:33
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	686	$5.59M	5,618,479	2,191,686	+3,426,793	open	—	01-27 12:45
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	664	$5.52M	5,659,515	919,835	+4,739,681	open	—	03-14 14:18
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1,257	$5.16M	5,180,812	1,163,319	+4,017,493	open	—	03-18 17:47
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	517	$4.85M	4,970,223	1,889,353	+3,080,869	open	—	01-27 13:42
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3,739	$4.26M	2,119,150	4,283,729	-2,164,579	open	—	03-18 12:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	179	$3.50M	3,506,203	97	+3,506,106	open	—	04-23 07:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	702	$2.56M	2,564,624	777,680	+1,786,944	open	—	04-24 13:44
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2,934	$2.10M	3,310,176	3,863,300	-553,124	open	—	03-14 20:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	676	$1.67M	1,324,295	1,700,952	-376,658	open	—	04-27 15:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1,738	$1.30M	1,548,192	2,195,723	-647,531	open	—	04-24 13:44
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	103	$190.4K	124,827	153,327	-28,500	open	—	02-07 17:38
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	11	$162.9K	868	163,205	-162,337	open	—	02-08 20:10
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$162.3K	163,205	0	+163,205	open	—	02-08 19:14
ucl bvb1 ata1 2026 02 17 total 2pt5	4	$102.2K	70,030	70,030	+0	open	—	02-17 22:57
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20	8	$79.6K	40,000	40,000	+0	open	—	03-21 03:59
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	2	$53.0K	100,000	100,000	+0	open	—	03-28 09:00
atp hanfman cerund 2026 02 18	2	$42.4K	28,100	28,100	+0	open	—	02-18 22:46
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	4	$38.9K	42	38,992	-38,950	open	—	01-05 08:31
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	426	$38.9K	3,866,992	4,094,781	-227,789	open	—	01-03 07:09
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	15	$38.1K	34,349	20,465	+13,884	open	—	02-07 17:39
mwoh slo ger 2026 02 18	3	$37.2K	82,591	0	+82,591	open	—	02-18 09:11
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	3	$32.2K	27,775	27,775	-0	open	—	03-26 13:30
cbb lou mst 2026 03 21	2	$28.0K	40,000	40,000	+0	open	—	03-21 14:52
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	2	$27.7K	19,000	19,000	+0	open	—	02-17 16:45
super bowl lx coin toss	2	$24.0K	0	48,000	-48,000	open	—	02-08 22:57
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	20	$10.3K	6,415	6,415	+0	open	—	01-14 17:47
will casper ruud win the 2026 australian open	1	$9.3K	9,354	0	+9,354	open	—	01-25 19:10
will lorenzo musetti win the 2026 australian open	1	$9.3K	9,354	0	+9,354	open	—	01-25 19:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 07:10:12	ethereum above 2000 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x0bc412…
06-10 07:02:42	xrp above 1pt6 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x4f338d…
06-10 06:48:15	solana above 100 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa4a767…
06-10 06:42:00	xrp above 1pt6 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x71d05c…
06-10 05:29:01	will raul ruiz advance from the ca 25 primary election	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc4c352…
06-10 05:29:01	will ron huffman advance from the ca 25 primary election	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x795490…
06-10 05:29:01	Will Robert Morin advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6ade4c…
06-10 05:29:01	will ceci truman advance from the ca 25 primary election	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x23471f…
06-10 05:28:28	Will Thien Ho advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x32a2db…
06-10 05:28:28	Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x03c613…
06-10 05:28:27	will antonis p christodoulou advance from the ca 33 primary election	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xfb2299…
06-10 05:28:27	Will Kevin Kiley advance from the CA-06 primary election?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xc0c501…
06-10 05:28:27	will ling ling shi advance from the ca 33 primary election	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xae779e…
06-10 05:28:27	will eugene weems advance from the ca 33 primary election	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa520ca…
06-10 05:28:27	Will Michael Stansfield advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6ce611…
06-10 05:28:27	Will Martha Guerrero advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6be164…
06-10 05:28:27	Will Tyler Vandenberg advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x681fdc…
06-10 05:28:27	will ryan duckett advance from the ca 37 primary election	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x30a09a…
06-10 05:28:27	will pete aguilar advance from the ca 33 primary election	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x15c843…
06-10 05:28:27	Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the CA-17 primary?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x11a736…
06-10 05:28:18	Will Martha Guerrero advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfe4e65…
06-10 05:28:18	will elizabeth fenner advance from the ca 37 primary election	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe285cf…
06-10 05:27:58	will samantha mota advance from the ca 37 primary election	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa0fdaa…
06-10 05:27:46	will juan rey advance from the ca 37 primary election	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe1765a…
06-10 05:27:45	will ernest ernie richter advance from the ca 33 primary election	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x37561d…
06-10 05:27:43	Will Ralph Nwobi advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf3aa19…
06-10 05:27:36	Will Enayat Nazhat advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x84f1a4…
06-10 05:27:34	will stephanie vargas advance from the ca 33 primary election	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x003d59…
06-10 05:16:46	will joe males advance from the ca 25 primary election	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x68ecf9…
06-10 05:01:49	xrp above 1pt3 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x86d9f0…
06-10 04:53:34	xrp above 0pt9 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x016746…
06-10 04:04:07	will steven hill advance from the ca 37 primary election	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x6c9bda…
06-10 04:03:55	will todd lombardo advance from the ca 37 primary election	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd5e5e2…
06-10 04:03:45	will john thompson parker advance from the ca 37 primary election	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc792cb…
06-10 03:59:19	Will Mark Leonard advance from the CA-45 primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xb0f632…
06-10 03:59:09	Will Amy Phan West advance from the CA-45 primary election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xce7e08…
06-10 03:58:58	Will Derek Tran advance from the CA-45 primary election?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf084f5…
06-10 03:29:39	Will Esther Kim Varet advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x4df540…
06-10 03:29:24	Will Lisa Ramirez advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x4377aa…
06-10 03:29:12	Will Francis Hoffman advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x1fb8a9…
06-10 03:29:01	Will Claude Keissieh advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7ae3aa…
06-10 03:28:46	Will Nina Linh advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x63b857…
06-10 03:28:30	Will Joe Kerr advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x19cf82…
06-10 03:28:16	Will Ken Calvert advance from the CA-40 primary election?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x595f14…
06-10 02:42:06	ethereum above 2100 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6aaf1e…
06-10 02:35:18	solana above 50 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xcd5e2e…
06-10 01:37:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x6ae9c6…
06-10 01:31:27	ethereum above 1400 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2749bb…
06-09 23:03:43	will some other outcome be the exact series result of the 2026 stanley cup 20260603201818187	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x92ee29…
06-09 19:35:40	will big qualify to the iem cologne 2026 playoffs	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xdb4903…
06-09 19:34:49	xrp above 0pt8 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xaee30b…
06-09 18:44:01	solana above 80 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9d5e33…
06-09 18:34:13	solana above 80 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0c5a33…
06-09 18:29:13	solana above 30 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xb4332c…
06-09 18:15:54	xrp above 1pt5 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x78a502…
06-09 18:15:37	xrp above 0pt7 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6be85e…
06-09 18:13:43	solana above 40 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x3ce803…
06-09 16:47:55	cs2 brawls clutch1 2026 05 18	Clutchain Female	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xe0ca73…
06-09 16:43:21	cs2 brawls clutch1 2026 05 18	Clutchain Female	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xb2d9cf…
06-09 16:34:51	Counter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Nerve of Cow	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf09bf6…
06-09 16:10:15	will tyloo qualify to the iem cologne 2026 playoffs	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x4c5a0f…
06-09 16:00:58	solana above 90 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf542a3…
06-09 15:42:22	bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x451a0f…
06-09 15:41:07	bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x88b572…
06-09 15:30:03	xrp above 1pt1 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb54bf7…
06-09 15:11:07	bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x69c6e2…
06-09 14:20:07	bitcoin above 72k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa8c38d…
06-09 12:00:27	solana above 60 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xabc82d…
06-09 11:29:37	ethereum above 1300 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xfdd80d…
06-09 10:37:46	bitcoin above 70k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x83e0cb…
06-09 10:35:52	ethereum above 1500 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xdb7cf5…
06-09 09:11:33	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x27ecb3…
06-09 09:07:09	xrp above 1pt6 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x2eec27…
06-09 08:40:30	xrp above 1pt4 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf95f37…
06-09 07:53:42	ethereum above 2000 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x14ad64…
06-09 07:26:24	XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x15122b…
06-09 07:02:01	solana above 110 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x783ed4…
06-09 05:44:03	ethereum above 2200 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x0c1f69…
06-09 05:40:15	xrp above 1pt3 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x0ccb2b…
06-09 05:39:37	ethereum above 2300 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1a6171…
06-09 05:05:42	solana above 100 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x666805…
06-09 04:15:48	bitcoin above 72k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x5c3c03…
06-09 04:12:48	xrp above 1 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x65e9a2…
06-09 03:48:21	will adam sandler attend any game at the 2026 nba finals 20260601230730802	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8d2ef1…
06-09 03:44:48	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x34dcf7…
06-09 02:17:34	xrp above 0pt9 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xbf822f…
06-09 00:28:22	first round outright winner in the la mayoral election	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xfb04a3…
06-08 23:42:42	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x06ed25…
06-08 22:29:27	bitcoin above 70k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc8657f…
06-08 21:43:25	graham platner drops out before maine senate dem primary	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x086631…
06-08 20:41:46	graham platner drops out before maine senate dem primary	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x7ee26c…
06-08 19:57:49	solana above 120 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xfc105c…
06-08 19:14:00	will harrison barnes score 40 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023200583	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x2327a8…
06-08 18:57:28	solana above 80 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x087f4e…
06-08 18:46:43	xrp above 0pt8 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x79c6a7…
06-08 18:42:58	xrp above 1pt4 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x6fbf35…
06-08 18:33:03	xrp above 0pt7 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x06f3f2…
06-08 18:30:21	will mitchell robinson score 40 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023200589	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x144786…
06-08 18:28:52	solana above 50 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xf7cc56…
06-08 18:13:48	solana above 50 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb19d96…