Realized P&L
+$50
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
40.8%
Resolved
48
Trades
1,081
lifetime
Volume
$3.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$90
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 06-30 12:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
75% 42% +$68
Crypto
14%
Sports
7% 12% $-18
Politics
4%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -11 $-19 100¢ $-11 +$7 06-28 06:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-14 100¢ $-11 +$3 06-26 11:07
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $6 66¢ $11 +$5 06-01 20:10
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $7 50¢ $10 +$3 06-11 19:19
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $11 12¢ $7 $-4 06-11 05:39
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +19 $6 37¢ $7 +$1 06-02 08:30
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +636 $7 $6 $-1 06-27 01:10
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox -10 $-5 57¢ $-6 $-1 06-15 13:42
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $6 $5 $-1 06-24 15:45
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +46 $6 12¢ $5 $-1 06-04 21:03
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +482 $14 $4 $-10 06-28 13:15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $10 19¢ $4 $-6 06-29 07:33
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No +1,110 $6 $2 $-5 06-30 08:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 16¢ $0 +$0 06-03 15:47