Realized P&L
+$175
Unrealized P&L
-$87
Hit rate
37.3%
Resolved
2,192
Trades
6,570
lifetime
Volume
$11.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$94
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 11-10 15:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 237 days
Categories
Other
85% 24% +$185
Crypto
8% 39% +$59
Sports
4% 38% +$41
Politics
2% 40% -$15
Tech
1% 0% -$95
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +122 $28 6¢ $8 -$20 11-02 20:25
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? Yes +187 $16 4¢ $8 -$8 09-09 16:30
Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka Sebastian Baez +8 $4 100¢ $8 +$4 11-10 10:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? Yes +17 $4 36¢ $6 +$2 11-03 16:41
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? Yes — +9 $2 58¢ $5 +$3 10-23 09:27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? Yes +11 $3 46¢ $5 +$2 10-27 00:10
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? Yes +60 $6 8¢ $5 -$1 06-05 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on November 10? Yes +10 $3 44¢ $4 +$2 11-10 14:04
Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert Pierre-Hugues Herbert +12 $4 34¢ $4 +$0 11-10 11:57
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Linda Noskova Linda Noskova +10 $4 40¢ $4 +$0 11-10 15:42
Celtics vs. 76ers 76ers +9 $4 46¢ $4 +$0 11-10 17:02
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 in November? Yes +15 $4 22¢ $3 -$1 11-10 14:10
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +14 $4 22¢ $3 -$1 11-06 17:03
Heat vs. Jazz Jazz +12 $4 26¢ $3 -$1 11-09 00:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? Yes +36 $8 8¢ $3 -$5 11-08 10:05
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? Yes +47 $7 5¢ $2 -$5 07-09 14:29
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $6 6¢ $2 -$4 09-24 02:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November? Yes +15 $4 15¢ $2 -$2 11-05 19:00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $8 8¢ $2 -$6 10-30 20:03
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +57 $7 3¢ $2 -$5 07-27 04:01
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $6 3¢ $2 -$4 06-24 15:45
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +49 $12 3¢ $2 -$11 08-11 19:12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +37 $11 4¢ $2 -$10 10-05 12:50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +88 $7 2¢ $1 -$6 07-28 04:54
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 09-25 07:26
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November? Yes +16 $4 6¢ $1 -$3 11-01 14:04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +36 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 08-27 09:12