Realized P&L (30d)
+$33
Unrealized P&L
-$69
Hit rate
41.6%
Resolved (30d)
264
Trades (30d)
527
6,483 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$833
$11.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$47
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 11-05 04:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 232 days
Categories
Other
85% 25% +$169
Crypto
8% 39% +$59
Sports
4% 38% +$49
Politics
2% 40% -$15
Tech
1% 0% -$95
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +122 $28 10¢ $12 -$17 11-02 20:25
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? Yes +187 $16 3¢ $6 -$9 09-09 16:30
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $8 22¢ $6 -$2 10-30 20:03
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $6 15¢ $6 +$0 09-24 02:07
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +57 $7 5¢ $3 -$4 07-27 04:01
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $6 4¢ $3 -$3 06-24 15:45
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +49 $12 5¢ $2 -$10 08-11 19:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? Yes +17 $4 12¢ $2 -$2 11-03 16:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +37 $11 5¢ $2 -$9 10-05 12:50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +88 $7 2¢ $2 -$5 07-28 04:54
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 3¢ $2 -$3 09-25 07:26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +36 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 08-27 09:12