Realized P&L (90d)
-$372
Unrealized P&L
-$71
Hit rate
30.4%
Resolved (90d)
890
Trades (90d)
2,332
6,429 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.43K
$11.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$86
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 11-06 07:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 233 days
Categories
Other
85% 25% +$157
Crypto
8% 39% +$59
Sports
4% 37% +$45
Politics
2% 40% -$15
Tech
1% 0% -$95
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +122 $28 8¢ $9 -$19 11-02 20:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 6? Yes +8 $3 100¢ $8 +$6 11-05 14:18
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? Yes +11 $3 53¢ $6 +$3 10-27 00:10
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? Yes +187 $16 3¢ $6 -$10 09-09 16:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November? Yes +17 $4 29¢ $5 +$1 11-03 16:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November? Yes +15 $4 29¢ $4 +$0 11-05 19:00
Nuggets vs. Pacers Pacers +14 $4 30¢ $4 +$0 11-05 22:41
Magic vs. Warriors Magic +12 $4 32¢ $4 $0 11-06 06:40
Spread: Thunder (-4.5) Thunder +8 $4 46¢ $4 $0 11-06 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 6? No +17 $3 22¢ $4 +$1 11-06 07:59
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? Yes +60 $6 6¢ $4 -$2 06-05 14:23
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $8 12¢ $3 -$5 10-30 20:03
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $6 8¢ $3 -$3 09-24 02:07
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +49 $12 6¢ $3 -$9 08-11 19:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 6? Yes +15 $3 18¢ $3 +$0 11-06 07:10
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +57 $7 4¢ $3 -$4 07-27 04:01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +37 $11 7¢ $2 -$9 10-05 12:50
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November? Yes +16 $4 14¢ $2 -$2 11-01 14:04
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $6 4¢ $2 -$4 06-24 15:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? Yes +12 $4 16¢ $2 -$2 11-02 18:00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 3¢ $2 -$3 09-25 07:26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +88 $7 2¢ $2 -$5 07-28 04:54
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +36 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 08-27 09:12