Educated-Jockey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

30.2%

Resolved

4,930

Trades

17,542

lifetime

Volume

$8.24M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$470

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 18:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

95% 1% -$16,152

Sports

2% 3% -$105

Crypto

1% 1% +$431

Politics

1% 3% -$283

Pop-Culture

0% 11% -$3

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	+8	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	08-12 19:03
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	+6	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	07-04 07:03
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?	Yes	+8	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	06-05 11:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	593	$2.46M	1,440,631	2,278,730	-838,099	No	-$336	01-19 11:23
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	413	$2.00M	2,668,566	2,024,346	+644,220	No	-$793	01-04 02:14
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	7,340	$1.73M	10,189,259	13,076,104	-2,886,845	No	+$8,990	01-27 14:01
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1,435	$592.5K	1,443,580	2,504,497	-1,060,917	No	+$6,417	03-11 22:54
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	122	$540.4K	183,365	418,154	-234,789	Yes	-$168	02-01 22:44
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	11	$189.2K	0	189,390	-189,390	Yes	-$189	01-06 05:42
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	315	$167.6K	2,186,597	1,123,901	+1,062,695	No	-$6,341	03-18 17:48
lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	83	$112.3K	50,469	205,683	-155,214	Yes	-$64	01-01 10:41
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	22	$101.2K	91,433	64,223	+27,210	Yes	-$99	02-07 17:18
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	443	$93.6K	676,135	893,250	-217,115	No	+$746	01-27 03:46
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	8	$69.1K	139,043	957	+138,087	No	-$71	02-06 15:00
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	122	$49.7K	453,461	87,351	+366,110	Yes	-$33,955	03-18 12:36
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	212	$33.9K	65	455,441	-455,376	No	+$33,816	03-13 16:50
super bowl lx coin toss	3	$31.0K	0	62,000	-62,000	Heads	-$31	02-08 22:54
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	32	$24.8K	17,800	18,000	-200	No	-$17	02-02 05:24
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$10	01-06 17:27
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 9 737	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$10	01-06 17:26
will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	7	$5.3K	3,150	2,323	+827	No	+$27	01-07 10:28
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	18	$4.2K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$1	01-07 05:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$3.1K	3,100	0	+3,100	No	+$31	06-02 10:55
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$2.9K	2,950	0	+2,950	No	+$3	04-30 23:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$2.8K	2,800	0	+2,800	Yes	+$20	04-08 21:30
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	44	$2.3K	468,973	468,973	-0	No	+$376	01-27 01:11
will hollow knight silksong win game of the year in the 2025 steam awards	1	$2.1K	0	2,117	-2,117	Yes	-$2	01-03 18:16
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	3	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$1	01-20 07:04
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?	59	$1.4K	43,502	1,396,570	-1,353,068	No	+$1,353	06-11 07:55
cfb jmad sdst 2026 09 19 total 66pt5	1	$534	0	26,700	-26,700	Under	-$26,166	09-20 04:54
Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	1	$375	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	-$375	09-11 00:28
will movie a be the top grossing movie of 2025	3	$194	0	193,837	-193,837	No	+$194	01-01 17:15
Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	1	$180	0	1,500	-1,500	No	+$180	09-11 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:02:11	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe4fa68…
10-20 16:23:09	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd08f5f…
10-20 16:15:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x259713…
10-20 16:08:05	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x51ad5f…
10-20 16:07:24	Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x88c4de…
10-20 14:21:24	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb669d3…
10-20 13:33:03	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xcbd1af…
10-19 15:37:00	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x1260bd…
10-19 15:36:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc52604…
10-19 15:34:03	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xc33496…
10-19 15:34:03	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xb5c6b3…
10-19 15:34:03	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x78f098…
10-19 15:34:03	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x3e8d1d…
10-18 19:29:35	Will Iwaki FC vs. Ventforet Kōfu end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3f441c…
10-18 17:47:03	Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-03-08?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x461847…
10-18 16:29:20	Will Ventforet Kōfu win on 2026-03-08?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x910151…
10-16 06:45:33	Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winner	METANOIA WOLVES	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x81403e…
10-16 06:45:16	Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winner	FURIA fe	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x98d223…
10-16 05:48:58	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc9eb20…
10-16 05:48:58	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + AUR?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x96c2f4…
10-16 05:48:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf8ecb1…
10-16 05:48:55	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + AUR?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x1ea034…
10-16 04:41:12	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xb4654d…
10-16 04:41:12	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4589ef…
10-16 04:41:10	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xdc7cdd…
10-16 04:41:10	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9124a5…
10-16 04:40:57	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x727eeb…
10-16 04:40:40	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe0ddfe…
10-16 04:40:40	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xb8ebd4…
10-16 04:40:40	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x9b64dd…
10-16 04:40:40	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3f3395…
10-16 04:40:40	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x33f6e5…
10-16 04:40:40	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x0ada31…
10-14 19:28:58	Counter-Strike: Alzon vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner	Alzon	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe50a6c…
10-14 19:28:58	Counter-Strike: Alzon vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner	paiN Academy	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xaf8b2f…
10-14 17:28:55	Will Chennaiyin FC win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xaa70e2…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd345c0…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xcca353…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x27b2a9…
10-14 17:19:33	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1b1bd1…
10-14 17:19:31	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xaedd78…
10-14 16:32:19	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x96dd55…
10-14 16:12:42	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x42e673…
10-14 16:12:42	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2450e5…
10-14 11:57:20	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xd027bd…
10-14 11:57:20	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xbd91d4…
10-14 11:48:04	Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x5d2c28…
10-14 11:47:47	Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x30dac9…
10-14 05:31:59	Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x11ec66…
10-13 13:13:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x4a68e3…
10-11 03:35:30	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Even	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xcc1580…
10-11 03:35:30	Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Even	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xaea8aa…
10-10 18:26:24	Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Even	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x21af67…
10-10 18:24:22	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x36ac08…
10-10 06:47:55	Overwatch: Solus Victorem vs Naive Piggy - Game 2 Winner	Naive Piggy	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x776989…
10-10 06:47:37	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xee75e3…
10-09 18:41:05	KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers	Samsung Lions	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xbfa5a9…
10-06 22:25:45	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5aa77e…
10-06 00:07:38	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6f9551…
10-05 14:05:20	Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x9d30a1…
10-05 03:22:22	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x169524…
09-30 18:34:00	Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe2f62e…
09-30 08:27:24	Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x9f219b…
09-30 08:23:12	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xb7a903…
09-30 08:23:12	Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x5dd6d7…
09-20 05:03:22	Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xcfa1b8…
09-20 04:58:40	Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xb4f766…
09-20 04:58:34	Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xc94ef0…
09-20 04:58:25	Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xaa59fb…
09-20 04:58:18	Counter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Nerve of Cow	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x9c7e8f…
09-20 04:54:21	cfb jmad sdst 2026 09 19 total 66pt5	Under	SELL	26,700	2¢	$534	0x069215…
09-16 20:26:00	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd3a1a9…
09-16 18:02:16	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xfe831e…
09-11 17:31:00	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Even	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x9382df…
09-11 17:31:00	Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x24a8ca…
09-11 12:22:30	Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7955ef…
09-11 11:17:07	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Even	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x801eb9…
09-11 03:34:00	Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 10m?	Yes	SELL	1,500	12¢	$180	0x38f8da…
09-11 03:33:52	Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	1,500	6¢	$86	0xc92ba6…
09-11 03:33:43	Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	SELL	1,500	6¢	$88	0x1c4a2f…
09-11 03:17:31	Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	Yes	SELL	1,500	12¢	$180	0xf2a902…
09-11 03:15:28	Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	SELL	1,500	12¢	$180	0x6311ed…
09-11 00:38:39	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x1946dc…
09-11 00:38:37	Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x58bdd4…
09-11 00:38:34	Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x42257a…
09-11 00:38:31	Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x7e37b6…
09-11 00:38:28	Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x41539f…
09-11 00:38:25	Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x3be741…
09-11 00:38:22	Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x4333e3…
09-11 00:38:19	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x70dc0a…
09-11 00:38:16	Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x95a7e5…
09-11 00:38:15	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xf0af02…
09-11 00:38:07	Counter-Strike: BRAWLSTARS vs Clutchain Female (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Clutchain Female	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x154913…
09-11 00:28:22	Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	No	BUY	1,500	25¢	$375	0xa7b27a…
09-03 21:42:25	Exact Score: Mjallby AIF 0 - 1 Djurgardens IF?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xdc1504…
09-03 21:42:22	Exact Score: Mjallby AIF 0 - 0 Djurgardens IF?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6e5542…
09-03 21:42:21	Exact Score: Mjallby AIF 1 - 1 Djurgardens IF?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x9b83c2…
09-03 21:42:16	Exact Score: Mjallby AIF 3 - 2 Djurgardens IF?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x94c918…
09-03 21:42:06	Exact Score: Mjallby AIF 0 - 3 Djurgardens IF?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xec50f3…
09-03 21:42:06	Exact Score: Mjallby AIF 2 - 3 Djurgardens IF?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe38cf4…