Educated-Jockey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

14,620

lifetime

Volume

$8.24M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$563

Open exposure

$15

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 05:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

95% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

1% 0% $-2

Politics

1% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 524 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Siegemund (+1.5)	Samsonova	+6	$0	95¢	$6	+$6	06-05 16:48
Series: Anyone's Legend Kill Handicap (-10.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+10.5)	Weibo Gaming	+6	$0	95¢	$6	+$6	06-06 06:39
Counter-Strike: Nerve of Cow vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	Nerve of Cow	+7	$0	50¢	$3	+$3	06-09 16:32
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	+8	$0	7¢	$1	+$1	06-09 07:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	593	$2.46M	1,440,631	2,278,730	-838,099	open	—	01-19 11:23
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	413	$2.00M	2,668,566	2,024,346	+644,220	open	—	01-04 02:14
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	7,340	$1.73M	10,189,259	13,076,104	-2,886,845	open	—	01-27 14:01
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1,435	$592.5K	1,443,580	2,504,497	-1,060,917	open	—	03-11 22:54
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	122	$540.4K	183,365	418,154	-234,789	open	—	02-01 22:44
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	11	$189.2K	0	189,390	-189,390	open	—	01-06 05:42
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	315	$167.6K	2,186,597	1,123,901	+1,062,695	open	—	03-18 17:48
lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	83	$112.3K	50,469	205,683	-155,214	open	—	01-01 10:41
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	22	$101.2K	91,433	64,223	+27,210	open	—	02-07 17:18
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	443	$93.6K	676,135	893,250	-217,115	open	—	01-27 03:46
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	8	$69.1K	139,043	957	+138,087	open	—	02-06 15:00
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	122	$49.7K	453,461	87,351	+366,110	open	—	03-18 12:36
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	212	$33.9K	65	455,441	-455,376	open	—	03-13 16:50
super bowl lx coin toss	3	$31.0K	0	62,000	-62,000	open	—	02-08 22:54
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	32	$24.8K	17,800	18,000	-200	open	—	02-02 05:24
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	01-06 17:27
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 9 737	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	01-06 17:26
will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	7	$5.3K	3,150	2,323	+827	open	—	01-07 10:28
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	18	$4.2K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	01-07 05:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$3.1K	3,100	0	+3,100	open	—	06-02 10:55
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$2.9K	2,950	0	+2,950	open	—	04-30 23:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$2.8K	2,800	0	+2,800	open	—	04-08 21:30
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	44	$2.3K	468,973	468,973	-0	open	—	01-27 01:11
will hollow knight silksong win game of the year in the 2025 steam awards	1	$2.1K	0	2,117	-2,117	open	—	01-03 18:16
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	3	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-20 07:04
will movie a be the top grossing movie of 2025	3	$194	0	193,837	-193,837	open	—	01-01 17:15
will donald trump say oil during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday 738	2	$159	901	0	+901	open	—	01-03 15:56
lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	31	$100	0	50,162	-50,162	open	—	01-01 03:05
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$78	1,205	0	+1,205	open	—	01-13 15:50
will deb tirar ms fotos bad bunny win album of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	5	$56	0	100	-100	open	—	01-31 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 05:52:13	cs2 pre navij1 2026 05 23 game2 odd even total kills	Even	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x4a987c…
07-21 05:50:43	cs2 pre navij1 2026 05 23 game1 odd even total kills	Even	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xec6070…
07-21 05:07:55	Spread: Club ABB (-1.5)	Club ABB	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xaf85e6…
07-20 16:39:03	Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x884bdc…
07-20 16:37:49	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc0228e…
07-20 14:31:46	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5c40af…
07-20 14:20:33	Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Odd	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x1f66b8…
07-20 14:14:31	Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Even	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7a2b47…
07-20 14:13:42	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Even	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc1f1e5…
07-19 07:05:16	Spread: FC Universitario (-1.5)	FC Universitario	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf48df8…
07-19 07:05:12	Spread: FC Universitario (-2.5)	FC Universitario	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xcb2ae2…
07-10 17:50:35	cs2 co jul 2026 05 22 game2 odd even total rounds	Odd	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf2eee0…
07-10 14:49:20	cs2 co jul 2026 05 22 game1 odd even total rounds	Odd	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xbd9819…
07-10 10:37:52	Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xbbad1b…
07-10 02:55:31	Spread: Club ABB (-2.5)	Club ABB	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xb34939…
07-10 02:17:02	Spread: CD Real Tomayapo (-2.5)	CD Real Tomayapo	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe0915b…
07-06 22:36:47	Will Autodesk Q1 billings be above $2.0B?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x73e668…
07-06 10:19:26	Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x5dc4e0…
07-05 02:56:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf6c23d…
07-04 10:38:59	Will either Tate brother be arrested by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0b51c2…
07-04 10:37:02	Will either Tate brother be arrested by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x44b8c6…
07-03 21:46:29	e jean carroll federally charged by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x3cb25f…
07-03 20:04:02	will trump speak to nicols maduro in june	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x30b5e3…
07-03 08:34:41	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x941062…
07-03 06:34:01	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf5127a…
07-03 03:08:20	will love island episode not air 20260630165700219	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x308710…
07-03 01:01:23	will anyone say love or lover during love island e26 20260630165700213	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xc101f7…
07-02 21:26:16	will the match not air 20260701163644171	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x01b444…
07-02 15:08:52	will the announcers say ronaldo during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644170	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x821a53…
07-02 14:08:26	Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf2d567…
07-02 11:54:16	will noah kahan have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x41b6c6…
07-02 11:54:13	will bad bunny have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xee665e…
07-02 11:54:05	will bruno mars have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x1738b7…
07-02 11:39:04	will the announcers say ronaldo during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154128	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x90cae5…
07-02 11:36:17	will alex warren have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf338f2…
07-02 09:32:16	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd48ebb…
07-02 08:21:23	Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa18026…
07-02 08:19:35	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x2ed45b…
07-02 04:33:13	Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xecf601…
07-02 02:41:25	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x405033…
07-02 01:17:38	Will The Clearing Company self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x2cd2a3…
07-02 01:12:17	will bruno mars have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x765a60…
07-01 23:12:49	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526265	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x38a3ff…
07-01 20:26:23	will the weeknd have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x64e1ed…
07-01 20:25:56	will bad bunny have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x08e425…
07-01 19:57:35	will kanye west have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xc489ee…
07-01 19:26:55	Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe3c028…
07-01 19:20:37	will alex warren have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa15b97…
07-01 15:00:20	Weed rescheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x5d597e…
07-01 14:54:20	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x2af6fb…
07-01 14:54:08	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in june	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x3ad44b…
07-01 14:12:28	will kanye west have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x27b5eb…
07-01 14:12:13	will noah kahan have a 1 hit in the us in june	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x9b7db0…
07-01 13:57:20	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Odd	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x428c3a…
07-01 09:54:44	e jean carroll arrested by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc300d0…
07-01 09:44:55	will the announcers say what a save during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526261	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xab98ec…
07-01 09:05:44	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x075fb9…
07-01 08:54:17	will donald trump publicly insult megyn kelly by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9fb159…
07-01 07:58:08	will claude code commits hit low 350pt0k by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3094db…
07-01 07:21:07	Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x479072…
07-01 07:20:52	Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7708c5…
07-01 07:20:46	Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xfe7cc2…
07-01 07:20:38	Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa295fa…
07-01 07:20:25	Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x6d22f8…
07-01 07:20:13	Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x79dadb…
07-01 07:20:02	Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x97c1fa…
07-01 07:19:55	Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x115e7f…
07-01 07:19:47	Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xee93ed…
07-01 07:18:59	israeli forces enter beirut by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x16eca0…
07-01 07:03:37	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x06ffc6…
07-01 06:38:32	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x39b36f…
07-01 06:27:25	joe rogan confirmed 60 minutes correspondent by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe13d67…
07-01 06:08:28	hasan piker arrested by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xcaa190…
07-01 06:08:28	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xbf4e07…
07-01 06:06:46	will donald trump publicly insult pam bondi by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa46224…
07-01 06:06:46	Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x6ee37c…
07-01 06:03:37	Margot Robbie divorce by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x4b0e1e…
07-01 06:02:50	Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x1e13f8…
07-01 06:01:35	SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xbf74e5…
07-01 05:58:17	Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x264e80…
07-01 05:57:40	will donald trump publicly insult pam bondi by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x72c5be…
07-01 05:54:01	Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa701f2…
07-01 05:50:10	California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf5ed31…
07-01 05:47:02	Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x4b646e…
07-01 05:27:55	Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x2541e6…
07-01 05:27:31	Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x1d29db…
07-01 05:27:17	Will Elon Musk Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x60dde3…
07-01 05:27:02	Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xc4b7fd…
07-01 05:26:49	Will Lord Peter Mandelson Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x0aed25…
07-01 05:18:55	Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf2d82e…
07-01 05:12:35	DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x248dca…
07-01 05:07:29	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2f216e…
07-01 05:05:38	will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x937010…
07-01 04:59:14	McDonald's CEO out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe4d351…
07-01 04:56:35	Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xc15892…
07-01 04:55:52	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xedd0a5…
07-01 04:54:41	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x45756e…
07-01 04:52:01	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1503d4…
07-01 04:49:19	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x91c94b…
07-01 04:48:58	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x9b5933…