Quiet-Approach 0xbfd600…3aa888 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$293
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
138
Trades
490
lifetime
Volume
$37.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$77
Open exposure
$1.84K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 22:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
68% 65% -$1,181
Politics
15% 77% +$389
Tech
14% 85% +$371
Sports
2% 67% +$30
Crypto
1% 100% +$99
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -618 -$587 98¢ $-605 -$18 08-10 14:12
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +307 $210 72¢ $219 +$9 11-05 00:45
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +150 $120 91¢ $137 +$17 11-05 22:02
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +132 $100 82¢ $107 +$7 11-02 01:57
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +116 $100 92¢ $106 +$6 07-31 13:49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +103 $90 98¢ $101 +$11 07-01 13:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +143 $100 66¢ $95 -$5 11-02 02:03
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027? No +156 $100 58¢ $91 -$9 11-02 16:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +226 $130 31¢ $70 -$60 11-02 23:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +66 $50 88¢ $58 +$8 07-31 13:41
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +57 $50 96¢ $55 +$5 07-01 13:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +53 $40 88¢ $47 +$7 08-21 13:31
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No -105 -$30 39¢ $-41 -$10 06-30 13:48
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Yes +54 $40 61¢ $33 -$7 06-12 12:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +38 $25 59¢ $23 -$2 10-28 15:58
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +22 $20 98¢ $22 +$2 11-04 18:47
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +35 $15 44¢ $15 +$0 10-28 16:00
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +14 $10 97¢ $13 +$3 11-04 01:16
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +12 $5 44¢ $5 +$0 11-04 18:48