Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739be…cdaba8
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$185
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
13,793
lifetime
Volume
$148.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$2.81K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-14
last 07-20 18:43
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
40% — —
Politics
36% — —
Crypto
12% — —
Sports
7% — —
Tech
5% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 582 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +453 $397 90¢ $409 +$13 07-11 04:07
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -670 $-250 60¢ $-402 $-151 06-06 21:20
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +346 $301 90¢ $312 +$10 07-11 00:40
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +219 $161 80¢ $175 +$14 07-11 00:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +186 $153 84¢ $156 +$3 07-07 12:00
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +417 $229 36¢ $150 $-78 07-10 11:33
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +100 $92 99¢ $99 +$7 06-14 08:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +94 $42 82¢ $77 +$36 06-20 22:10
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +93 $33 82¢ $76 +$43 06-13 05:28
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +97 $50 76¢ $73 +$24 07-09 03:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +78 $48 86¢ $68 +$20 07-12 09:18
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +146 $112 46¢ $66 $-46 06-11 01:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +372 $98 17¢ $63 $-35 07-17 15:28
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -153 $-72 38¢ $-58 +$13 07-11 17:37
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +95 $92 60¢ $57 $-35 07-08 02:42
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +74 $47 70¢ $52 +$5 07-06 11:40
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +67 $42 74¢ $50 +$8 07-09 07:18
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +50 $43 89¢ $44 +$1 06-05 17:49
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +112 $67 40¢ $44 $-23 07-10 06:24
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +70 $31 63¢ $44 +$13 07-15 09:59
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +458 $46 10¢ $44 $-2 07-13 02:39
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +327 $109 12¢ $41 $-68 06-10 21:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +43 $27 83¢ $35 +$8 06-16 21:28
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +38 $22 90¢ $34 +$12 06-20 06:17
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +40 $31 83¢ $33 +$2 06-15 15:30
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +50 $23 66¢ $33 +$10 07-20 10:10
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +41 $-4 76¢ $31 +$35 06-14 21:53
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $41 52¢ $29 $-12 06-06 05:05
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +35 $29 76¢ $27 $-2 07-01 16:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -99 $-18 26¢ $-26 $-8 06-27 22:12