Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$171
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
11,684
lifetime
Volume
$118.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$2.86K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-14
last 06-30 18:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
39%
Other
35%
Crypto
14%
Sports
7%
Tech
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 582 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -670 $-250 55¢ $-368 $-118 06-06 21:20
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? No +224 $198 98¢ $218 +$20 06-29 14:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +247 $191 84¢ $206 +$14 06-14 07:25
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +194 $161 86¢ $167 +$6 06-25 21:45
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +182 $134 76¢ $137 +$4 06-27 17:48
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +143 $136 94¢ $135 $-1 06-29 23:32
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +146 $112 92¢ $134 +$21 06-11 01:19
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +139 $127 95¢ $132 +$5 06-28 14:29
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +124 $118 100¢ $124 +$6 06-19 21:44
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +112 $97 86¢ $96 $-0 06-18 08:31
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +100 $92 96¢ $96 +$4 06-14 08:15
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +125 $110 72¢ $89 $-21 06-10 21:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +84 $83 100¢ $84 +$1 06-27 23:13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +327 $109 22¢ $74 $-36 06-10 21:22
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +89 $61 80¢ $71 +$10 06-30 16:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +82 $68 86¢ $70 +$2 06-27 22:31
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +93 $33 74¢ $69 +$36 06-13 05:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +94 $42 70¢ $67 +$25 06-20 22:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +78 $48 80¢ $63 +$15 06-22 11:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +60 $57 100¢ $60 +$3 06-29 03:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +48 $-94 100¢ $48 +$143 06-29 12:45
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +48 $43 99¢ $48 +$4 06-11 01:48
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +50 $43 89¢ $45 +$1 06-05 17:49
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -98 $-50 42¢ $-41 +$9 06-02 02:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +64 $28 63¢ $40 +$13 06-01 14:20
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +39 $37 100¢ $39 +$2 06-28 22:02
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $41 68¢ $38 $-3 06-06 05:05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +37 $32 100¢ $37 +$5 06-26 14:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +43 $33 82¢ $36 +$3 06-25 15:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +35 $34 96¢ $34 +$0 06-24 10:26