Realized P&L
+$4.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved
6,298
Trades
25,271
lifetime
Volume
$247.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$199
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-14
last 08-09 11:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
52% 50% -$2,147
Politics
29% 56% +$6,457
Crypto
8% 51% +$119
Sports
6% 53% -$394
Tech
5% 58% +$191
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +43 $27 99¢ $42 +$15 06-16 21:28
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +29 $13 89¢ $26 +$12 08-08 06:01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +14 $8 98¢ $14 +$6 07-14 05:05
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +14 $9 95¢ $13 +$4 07-23 06:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +14 $13 94¢ $13 +$0 07-14 05:22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11 $9 92¢ $10 +$1 07-23 06:49
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +9 -$5 100¢ $9 +$14 07-23 06:48
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +9 $7 94¢ $8 +$1 07-23 06:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8 $16 82¢ $6 -$9 07-23 06:49
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +6 $4 95¢ $6 +$2 07-16 05:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $1 90¢ $5 +$4 06-06 06:38
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +9 $1 54¢ $5 +$4 07-23 06:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 92¢ $4 +$2 06-04 12:14
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +9 $7 46¢ $4 -$3 06-05 00:21
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? Yes +29 $11 11¢ $3 -$8 06-20 06:10
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$1 07-11 19:53
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +3 $19 96¢ $3 -$16 06-28 12:50
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +3 -$11 100¢ $3 +$14 06-10 11:56
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +8 $1 34¢ $3 +$1 07-07 01:35
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +3 $1 92¢ $2 +$1 07-09 20:02
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-19 14:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +3 $2 75¢ $2 +$0 07-08 14:03
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 63¢ $2 +$1 07-23 06:49
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 44¢ $2 +$1 06-06 05:45
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547 No +2 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-11 21:53
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +16 $3 8¢ $1 -$1 07-15 19:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +7 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 06-27 22:12
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 06-25 22:31
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 37¢ $1 -$1 07-06 19:57
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 $0 05-29 10:25