Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739be…cdaba8
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$587
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
7,523
lifetime
Volume
$76.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$2.72K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-14
last 06-10 06:24
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
38% — —
Other
36% — —
Crypto
14% — —
Sports
7% — —
Tech
4% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 582 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -566 $-108 100¢ $-565 $-457 06-07 20:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +493 $352 78¢ $382 +$30 06-08 14:58
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -670 $-250 45¢ $-305 $-54 06-06 21:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +327 $273 90¢ $296 +$23 06-08 03:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +147 $43 64¢ $93 +$50 06-06 06:08
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +104 $76 86¢ $90 +$14 06-09 18:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +98 $66 68¢ $66 $-0 06-10 06:23
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +120 $49 52¢ $62 +$12 06-09 20:39
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +123 $77 48¢ $60 $-17 06-05 14:41
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +58 $54 95¢ $55 +$1 05-30 09:24
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -98 $-50 56¢ $-55 $-5 06-02 02:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +64 $54 82¢ $53 $-1 06-09 16:48
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes +114 $46 45¢ $52 +$6 06-05 03:52
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +49 $44 93¢ $46 +$2 06-09 14:07
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -191 $2 24¢ $-45 $-47 06-07 19:03
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +50 $43 86¢ $43 $-0 06-05 17:49
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +63 $44 68¢ $43 $-1 06-08 21:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +44 $42 97¢ $43 +$1 06-09 13:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +64 $28 63¢ $40 +$13 06-01 14:20
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +158 $58 25¢ $40 $-19 06-06 04:08
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +37 $33 94¢ $35 +$2 06-05 20:46
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $41 60¢ $34 $-7 06-06 05:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +54 $30 62¢ $34 +$4 05-30 20:22
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +32 $21 89¢ $29 +$8 06-09 17:25
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +194 $155 14¢ $28 $-127 06-10 05:23
Haiti elections delayed again? No +57 $31 48¢ $27 $-4 06-10 03:10
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +41 $20 66¢ $27 +$7 06-09 17:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +99 $21 26¢ $26 +$6 06-05 18:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +88 $50 30¢ $26 $-24 06-08 11:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +34 $25 76¢ $26 +$0 06-07 20:09