Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027?
open
Total volume
$96
Trades
18
Unique wallets
10
Liquidity
$24
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-11
last 08-09 11:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $8 | $59 | $52 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 5 | $9 | $31 | $22 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | +62 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 08-09 11:24 |
| Capital-Contributor 0x21fe…da90 | No | +37 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 07-26 09:51 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +31 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-27 04:47 |
| Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-16 00:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 11:24:27 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xec753d… |
| 08-09 11:24:27 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xec753d… |
| 07-26 09:51:18 | Capital-Contributor 0x21fe…da90 | No | BUY | 37 | 86¢ | $31 | 0x68a1d4… |
| 07-26 09:51:18 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x68a1d4… |
| 07-26 09:51:18 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x68a1d4… |
| 07-16 00:02:55 | Elementary-Kickoff 0x7ac1…989f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfb2f3b… |
| 07-16 00:02:55 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfb2f3b… |
| 07-15 19:36:37 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfc4d23… |
| 07-15 19:36:37 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xfc4d23… |
| 07-15 19:36:37 | (anonymous) 0x6837…d9d4 | No | SELL | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0xfc4d23… |
| 07-15 19:36:13 | (anonymous) 0x6837…d9d4 | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x00be11… |
| 07-15 19:36:13 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x00be11… |
| 06-27 04:47:14 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xf8d318… |
| 06-27 04:47:14 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf8d318… |
| 06-25 04:11:13 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0xe09ea6… |
| 06-25 04:11:13 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe09ea6… |
| 06-11 02:09:33 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x6e3864… |
| 06-11 02:09:33 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6e3864… |