Capital-Contributor 0x21fe77…5eda90 Create alert
whale 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$292
Unrealized P&L
+$193
Hit rate
80.3%
Resolved
203
Trades
1,000
lifetime
Volume
$104.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$104
Open exposure
$5.27K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 14:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
52% 57% +$754
Politics
46% 56% -$361
Sports
1% 50% -$97
Tech
1% 0% —
Crypto
1% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No -1,200 -$1,156 98¢ $-1173 -$17 09-16 06:05
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +57,998 $768 1¢ $783 +$15 07-09 20:53
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +588 $508 95¢ $559 +$51 11-04 07:29
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +508 $460 95¢ $484 +$24 09-07 23:23
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No +325 $289 88¢ $288 -$1 11-04 02:35
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +299 $257 91¢ $272 +$15 10-08 17:32
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? No +269 $248 95¢ $256 +$7 11-04 08:13
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -200 -$197 99¢ $-197 +$0 07-03 06:05
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -200 -$207 92¢ $-183 +$24 10-17 16:04
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -176 -$227 97¢ $-171 +$57 10-23 01:25
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +200 $107 84¢ $167 +$60 10-21 15:52
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +130 $119 96¢ $124 +$6 08-25 19:20
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $31 2¢ $95 +$64 09-07 09:03
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +100 $86 90¢ $90 +$4 10-21 02:33
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +100 $71 84¢ $84 +$13 11-04 03:58
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $65 2¢ $78 +$12 07-18 23:09
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -27,251 -$27 0¢ $-68 -$41 11-04 14:00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +100 $56 53¢ $53 -$3 10-21 02:50
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +50 $38 87¢ $44 +$6 10-05 17:41
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -49 -$73 89¢ $-43 +$29 09-30 02:36
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,218 -$59 1¢ $-34 +$25 11-03 02:20
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +289 $194 7¢ $20 -$173 11-04 07:36
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 09-25 06:50
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No -113 -$16 0¢ $-0 +$16 07-08 03:16