Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$120,609
$37,704 in 24h
Trades
3,734
Unique wallets
1,373
Liquidity
$20,142
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-02 03:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $4.3K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $56.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 30 | $19 | $6.4K | $6.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| 🐟 Fish | 206 | $267 | $17.4K | $17.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,122 | $373 | $31.7K | $31.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $15 | $4.3K | $4.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $12 | $346 | $334 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $7 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| Median | 312 | $189 | $14.0K | $13.9K |
| Below median | 213 | $150 | $8.8K | $8.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $10 | $242 | $232 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $3 | $24 | $21 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $4 | $396 | $391 |
| unranked | 802 | $284 | $25.8K | $25.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +2,343 | $2,335 | $6,287 | 23 | 07-01 09:57 |
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | +1,034 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-22 02:17 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +748 | $743 | $743 | 8 | 06-30 16:55 |
| Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | +596 | $8 | $11 | 2 | 06-11 20:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xb84b…8cc6 | Yes | +535 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-01 09:57 |
| Luminous-Kebab 0x14bc…3904 | Yes | +276 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 19:12 |
| Internal-Technology 0x9ec2…773f | Yes | +275 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 02:02 |
| Mellow-Cyclamen 0x6906…948e | Yes | +264 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 02:24 |
| Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | +250 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 15:34 |
| Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | +250 | $1 | $3 | 4 | 06-22 15:34 |
| Damaged-Duck 0x70bc…2041 | No | +220 | $218 | $218 | 1 | 05-30 22:03 |
| Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | +207 | $1 | $2 | 7 | 06-04 08:03 |
| Trusting-Dissemination 0xc76e…1f5b | Yes | +201 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 20:51 |
| Miniature-Orchard 0x0650…5327 | Yes | +201 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 20:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | +172 | $2 | $13 | 18 | 05-29 05:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x950d…dac5 | Yes | +172 | $1 | $1 | 8 | 06-26 07:08 |
| Truthful-Chivalry 0x9184…eeb3 | Yes | +168 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-28 01:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x15d1…25c2 | Yes | +156 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 18:30 |
| Downright-Salt 0x0cec…96ab | Yes | +152 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 01:50 |
| Severe-Parent 0x893c…1a25 | Yes | +150 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-30 19:25 |
| Plush-Forever 0xb2c0…9d01 | Yes | +145 | $2 | $9 | 4 | 05-30 21:16 |
| Putrid-Chopsticks 0x9f70…3e9f | Yes | +136 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 02:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f86…a769 | Yes | +112 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 09:35 |
| Miserable-Mushroom 0x08da…e56d | No | +112 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 05-30 11:38 |
| Puzzled-Headphones 0x1e5c…76c6 | No | +112 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 05-28 03:19 |
| Awkward-Greatness 0x5cf0…c3ef | No | +107 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 05-28 04:36 |
| Wiry-Kite 0x5ca3…9c4a | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-06 16:53 |
| Alarmed-Classmate 0xa126…4ac1 | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-28 04:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fbc…040f | Yes | +97 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 06:07 |
| Humble-Comic 0x7a1d…1278 | Yes | +95 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-28 19:25 |
| Demanding-Heartbeat 0x0faf…a7c1 | No | +95 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 05-28 03:19 |
| Aggressive-Metallurgist 0x258e…964c | No | +95 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 05-28 20:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 03:30:41 | Beloved-Arrest 0x5c56…b931 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x146b38… |
| 07-02 03:30:41 | (anonymous) 0x6a48…7d3b | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x146b38… |
| 07-01 09:57:50 | (anonymous) 0xb84b…8cc6 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x289930… |
| 07-01 09:57:50 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 300 | 100¢ | $299 | 0x289930… |
| 07-01 09:17:44 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5f7584… |
| 07-01 09:17:44 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f7584… |
| 07-01 09:17:44 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 212 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f7584… |
| 07-01 09:17:44 | (anonymous) 0xb84b…8cc6 | Yes | BUY | 235 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f7584… |
| 07-01 09:17:44 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x5f7584… |
| 06-30 16:55:59 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 53 | 100¢ | $53 | 0x641159… |
| 06-30 16:55:59 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x641159… |
| 06-30 16:55:59 | Official-Handsaw 0x07be…72fb | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x641159… |
| 06-30 16:55:59 | Embarrassed-Patio 0x426e…0112 | No | SELL | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x641159… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Some-Oasis 0x2e22…1248 | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Overdue-Salon 0x1dc1…0419 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Distinct-Coverall 0x1ca6…01a6 | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Muffled-Description 0x56b1…2087 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Embarrassed-Patio 0x426e…0112 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Bubbly-Rhubarb 0x1f50…1cc1 | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Tan-Handle 0x1971…f3cf | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 19:55:22 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 235 | 100¢ | $235 | 0x9a6514… |
| 06-29 16:46:32 | Clean-Fog 0x5dcf…eb1d | No | SELL | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x4525b5… |
| 06-29 16:46:32 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x4525b5… |
| 06-29 15:33:59 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc6d700… |
| 06-29 15:33:59 | Embarrassed-Patio 0x426e…0112 | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xc6d700… |
| 06-29 12:49:52 | Clean-Fog 0x5dcf…eb1d | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xe1e842… |
| 06-29 12:49:52 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe1e842… |
| 06-29 12:38:01 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc21ecb… |
| 06-29 12:38:01 | Official-Handsaw 0x07be…72fb | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xc21ecb… |
| 06-29 11:22:59 | Some-Oasis 0x2e22…1248 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x193727… |
| 06-29 11:22:59 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x193727… |
| 06-29 11:14:47 | Stunning-Queen 0x6764…4553 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x15228d… |
| 06-29 11:14:47 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x15228d… |
| 06-29 11:14:32 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b8150… |
| 06-29 11:14:32 | Stunning-Queen 0x6764…4553 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x8b8150… |
| 06-29 05:27:52 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc67608… |
| 06-29 05:27:52 | Embarrassed-Patio 0x426e…0112 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xc67608… |
| 06-29 03:45:20 | Tan-Handle 0x1971…f3cf | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xa0729c… |
| 06-29 03:45:20 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa0729c… |
| 06-29 01:26:40 | Usable-Steam 0x107b…7cb0 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x6264ef… |
| 06-29 01:26:40 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x6264ef… |
| 06-29 01:13:10 | Usable-Steam 0x107b…7cb0 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xd4e7d9… |
| 06-29 01:13:10 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd4e7d9… |
| 06-28 18:59:47 | Distinct-Coverall 0x1ca6…01a6 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x17930e… |
| 06-28 18:59:47 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17930e… |
| 06-28 15:10:20 | Overdue-Salon 0x1dc1…0419 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x29f61d… |
| 06-28 15:10:20 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29f61d… |
| 06-28 13:32:07 | Muffled-Description 0x56b1…2087 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x288f2d… |
| 06-28 13:32:07 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x288f2d… |
| 06-28 13:28:50 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x234db8… |
| 06-28 13:28:50 | Beloved-Arrest 0x5c56…b931 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x234db8… |
| 06-28 13:07:37 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x092d1e… |
| 06-28 13:07:37 | Bubbly-Rhubarb 0x1f50…1cc1 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x092d1e… |
| 06-27 14:59:28 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xd5a4ca… |
| 06-27 14:59:28 | Pale-Astrologer 0x2ef3…fbca | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xd5a4ca… |
| 06-27 14:34:47 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d29f2… |
| 06-27 14:34:47 | Pale-Astrologer 0x2ef3…fbca | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x1d29f2… |
| 06-26 18:08:17 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 479 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf90b17… |
| 06-26 18:08:17 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 592 | 100¢ | $590 | 0xf90b17… |
| 06-26 18:08:17 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 73 | 100¢ | $73 | 0xf90b17… |
| 06-26 18:08:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf90b17… |
| 06-26 18:08:17 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 54 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf90b17… |
| 06-26 18:08:17 | (anonymous) 0x6e37…8374 | No | SELL | 1,480 | 100¢ | $1,476 | 0xf90b17… |
| 06-26 17:46:23 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x04d478… |
| 06-26 17:46:23 | (anonymous) 0x75c5…870f | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xbbd500… |
| 06-26 17:46:23 | (anonymous) 0xdc7d…b552 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x1cf019… |
| 06-26 17:46:23 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x15c84a… |
| 06-26 17:46:23 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xbbd500… |
| 06-26 17:46:23 | (anonymous) 0xdc7d…b552 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x15c84a… |
| 06-26 17:46:23 | (anonymous) 0x75c5…870f | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x04d478… |
| 06-26 17:46:23 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x1cf019… |
| 06-26 17:46:22 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 479 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8fd59b… |
| 06-26 17:46:22 | Genuine-Vintage 0x0e5c…3036 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8fd59b… |
| 06-26 17:46:22 | (anonymous) 0x6e37…8374 | No | BUY | 1,456 | 100¢ | $1,454 | 0x8fd59b… |
| 06-26 17:46:22 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 252 | 100¢ | $251 | 0x8fd59b… |
| 06-26 17:46:22 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8fd59b… |
| 06-26 17:46:22 | Capital-Contributor 0x21fe…da90 | No | SELL | 524 | 100¢ | $523 | 0x8fd59b… |
| 06-26 17:10:19 | (anonymous) 0x6e37…8374 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x20c52a… |
| 06-26 17:10:19 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x20c52a… |
| 06-26 17:10:19 | (anonymous) 0xdc7d…b552 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xd49cfb… |
| 06-26 17:10:19 | (anonymous) 0x75c5…870f | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x876904… |