Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$109,451
$37,704 in 24h
Trades
3,554
Unique wallets
1,311
Liquidity
$20,142
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-11 20:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.5¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $510
vs crowd: 1% YES on $49.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $15 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $12 | $10 | +$2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 123 | $182 | $11.1K | $10.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,159 | $447 | $35.5K | $35.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $15 | $495 | $480 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $11 | $346 | $335 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $0 | $651 | $651 |
| Median | 308 | $193 | $13.6K | $13.4K |
| Below median | 199 | $148 | $8.6K | $8.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $10 | $241 | $231 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $396 | $396 |
| unranked | 772 | $279 | $24.1K | $23.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | +596 | $8 | $11 | 2 | 06-11 20:40 |
| Internal-Technology 0x9ec2…773f | Yes | +275 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 02:02 |
| Mellow-Cyclamen 0x6906…948e | Yes | +264 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 02:24 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +241 | $238 | $238 | 3 | 06-11 20:40 |
| Damaged-Duck 0x70bc…2041 | No | +220 | $218 | $218 | 1 | 05-30 22:03 |
| Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | +207 | $1 | $2 | 7 | 06-04 08:03 |
| Miniature-Orchard 0x0650…5327 | Yes | +201 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 20:51 |
| Trusting-Dissemination 0xc76e…1f5b | Yes | +201 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 20:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | +172 | $2 | $13 | 18 | 05-29 05:14 |
| Truthful-Chivalry 0x9184…eeb3 | Yes | +168 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-28 01:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x15d1…25c2 | Yes | +156 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 18:30 |
| Downright-Salt 0x0cec…96ab | Yes | +152 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 01:50 |
| Severe-Parent 0x893c…1a25 | Yes | +150 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-30 19:25 |
| Plush-Forever 0xb2c0…9d01 | Yes | +145 | $2 | $9 | 4 | 05-30 21:16 |
| Putrid-Chopsticks 0x9f70…3e9f | Yes | +136 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 02:46 |
| Miserable-Mushroom 0x08da…e56d | No | +112 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 05-30 11:38 |
| Puzzled-Headphones 0x1e5c…76c6 | No | +112 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 05-28 03:19 |
| Awkward-Greatness 0x5cf0…c3ef | No | +107 | $105 | $105 | 1 | 05-28 04:36 |
| Wiry-Kite 0x5ca3…9c4a | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-06 16:53 |
| Alarmed-Classmate 0xa126…4ac1 | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-28 04:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fbc…040f | Yes | +97 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 06:07 |
| Humble-Comic 0x7a1d…1278 | Yes | +95 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-28 19:25 |
| Demanding-Heartbeat 0x0faf…a7c1 | No | +95 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 05-28 03:19 |
| Aggressive-Metallurgist 0x258e…964c | No | +95 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 05-28 20:51 |
| Sarcastic-Fishing 0x164c…20c1 | No | +94 | $93 | $93 | 2 | 05-30 05:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 20:40:22 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa5ea64… |
| 06-11 20:40:22 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa5ea64… |
| 06-11 20:40:22 | Sharp-Astrakhan 0x5645…5d21 | No | SELL | 1,019 | 99¢ | $1,008 | 0xa5ea64… |
| 06-11 20:40:22 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 159 | 99¢ | $157 | 0xa5ea64… |
| 06-11 20:40:22 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 222 | 99¢ | $220 | 0xa5ea64… |
| 06-11 20:40:22 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | SELL | 117 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xa5ea64… |
| 06-11 20:40:22 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 495 | 99¢ | $490 | 0xa5ea64… |
| 06-10 23:06:21 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc1f2c6… |
| 06-10 23:06:21 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc1f2c6… |
| 06-08 05:38:04 | Frightening-Turkey 0xe7a8…5e90 | No | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xa50313… |
| 06-08 05:38:04 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa50313… |
| 06-08 05:38:04 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa50313… |
| 06-06 21:35:36 | (anonymous) 0x6d20…a329 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7d8323… |
| 06-06 21:35:36 | (anonymous) 0x34ca…96f9 | No | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x7d8323… |
| 06-06 21:35:36 | (anonymous) 0x323d…d632 | No | SELL | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0xfb5e42… |
| 06-06 21:35:36 | (anonymous) 0x6d20…a329 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfb5e42… |
| 06-06 21:35:34 | (anonymous) 0x6d20…a329 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6008d5… |
| 06-06 21:35:34 | (anonymous) 0xc9c7…04dd | No | SELL | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x6008d5… |
| 06-06 21:35:34 | (anonymous) 0x00cb…d3b1 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xec5f42… |
| 06-06 21:35:34 | (anonymous) 0x6d20…a329 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1adddc… |
| 06-06 21:35:34 | (anonymous) 0x658b…612f | No | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x1adddc… |
| 06-06 21:35:34 | (anonymous) 0xa4c2…fd01 | No | SELL | 43 | 99¢ | $43 | 0xd22e5b… |
| 06-06 21:35:34 | (anonymous) 0x6d20…a329 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd22e5b… |
| 06-06 21:35:34 | (anonymous) 0xbacb…7d78 | No | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xec5f42… |
| 06-06 21:35:34 | (anonymous) 0x00cb…d3b1 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1adddc… |
| 06-06 20:01:12 | Unselfish-Assessment 0x2ebe…cddd | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x23b2d6… |
| 06-06 20:01:12 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x23b2d6… |
| 06-06 20:00:43 | (anonymous) 0x658b…612f | No | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xf3b37d… |
| 06-06 20:00:43 | (anonymous) 0xfefd…e8b4 | No | SELL | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x8d876f… |
| 06-06 20:00:43 | (anonymous) 0xc9c7…04dd | No | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x8d876f… |
| 06-06 20:00:43 | (anonymous) 0x323d…d632 | No | BUY | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0xf3b37d… |
| 06-06 20:00:43 | (anonymous) 0xfefd…e8b4 | No | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xf3b37d… |
| 06-06 18:59:24 | Frightening-Turkey 0xe7a8…5e90 | No | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x818177… |
| 06-06 18:59:24 | Dear-Jackfruit 0xab86…9356 | No | SELL | 37 | 99¢ | $37 | 0x213d28… |
| 06-06 18:59:24 | Spanish-Boulder 0x442a…bd20 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x818177… |
| 06-06 18:59:24 | Spanish-Boulder 0x442a…bd20 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x213d28… |
| 06-06 17:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x6d20…a329 | Yes | BUY | 127 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xce1c63… |
| 06-06 17:35:58 | (anonymous) 0x00cb…d3b1 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xce1c63… |
| 06-06 17:35:58 | (anonymous) 0xb4f1…d343 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xce1c63… |
| 06-06 16:54:34 | Frightening-Turkey 0xe7a8…5e90 | No | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $54 | 0xd29f8a… |
| 06-06 16:54:34 | Easy-Going-Graph 0xdaab…d892 | No | SELL | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xd29f8a… |
| 06-06 16:54:34 | Clear-Cut-Banquette 0x8c1c…4401 | No | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xd29f8a… |
| 06-06 16:54:34 | Young-Revenue 0xd0d0…72eb | No | SELL | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0x88757a… |
| 06-06 16:54:34 | Dear-Jackfruit 0xab86…9356 | No | BUY | 37 | 99¢ | $37 | 0x88757a… |
| 06-06 16:54:34 | Easy-Going-Graph 0xdaab…d892 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x88757a… |
| 06-06 16:53:55 | Spanish-Boulder 0x442a…bd20 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33f6b8… |
| 06-06 16:53:55 | Wiry-Kite 0x5ca3…9c4a | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33f6b8… |
| 06-06 16:28:42 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf8ac62… |
| 06-06 16:28:42 | Wiry-Kite 0x5ca3…9c4a | Yes | BUY | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf8ac62… |
| 06-06 16:00:54 | Wiry-Kite 0x5ca3…9c4a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x286c64… |
| 06-06 16:00:54 | (anonymous) 0xbacb…7d78 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xabf779… |
| 06-06 16:00:54 | (anonymous) 0x34ca…96f9 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x286c64… |
| 06-06 16:00:54 | Wiry-Kite 0x5ca3…9c4a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xabf779… |
| 06-06 16:00:15 | (anonymous) 0xb4f1…d343 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc355f0… |
| 06-06 16:00:15 | (anonymous) 0xa4c2…fd01 | No | BUY | 43 | 99¢ | $43 | 0x9d0c72… |
| 06-06 16:00:15 | (anonymous) 0x34ca…96f9 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x8c52a1… |
| 06-06 16:00:15 | (anonymous) 0x00cb…d3b1 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8c52a1… |
| 06-06 16:00:15 | (anonymous) 0x00cb…d3b1 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9d0c72… |
| 06-06 16:00:15 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc355f0… |
| 06-06 16:00:15 | (anonymous) 0xfefd…e8b4 | No | BUY | 41 | 99¢ | $41 | 0xc355f0… |
| 06-06 16:00:15 | (anonymous) 0xbacb…7d78 | No | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xc355f0… |
| 06-06 16:00:15 | (anonymous) 0x658b…612f | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x9d0c72… |
| 06-06 15:49:04 | (anonymous) 0xd0d0…72eb | No | BUY | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0xc2c756… |
| 06-06 15:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x442a…bd20 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc2c756… |
| 06-06 15:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x8c1c…4401 | No | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xc2c756… |
| 06-06 15:49:04 | (anonymous) 0xdaab…d892 | No | BUY | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0xc2c756… |
| 06-06 15:10:34 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7f11ef… |
| 06-06 15:10:34 | Elated-Prize 0xa568…97e5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7f11ef… |
| 06-05 09:33:28 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x77d835… |
| 06-05 09:33:28 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x77d835… |
| 06-05 09:32:43 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5c2f73… |
| 06-05 09:32:43 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5c2f73… |
| 06-05 02:11:09 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d6c08… |
| 06-05 02:11:09 | (anonymous) 0x346f…4d26 | No | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x9d6c08… |
| 06-04 11:04:03 | Salty-Hacienda 0x9f73…cd04 | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x74d1e3… |
| 06-04 11:04:03 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x74d1e3… |
| 06-04 11:04:03 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x74d1e3… |
| 06-04 08:03:28 | Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdfd69c… |
| 06-04 08:03:28 | (anonymous) 0x6d92…b154 | No | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $53 | 0xdfd69c… |
| 06-04 08:03:28 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | SELL | 166 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdfd69c… |
| 06-04 08:03:28 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | BUY | 221 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xdfd69c… |
| 06-04 07:50:00 | Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x82f8e1… |
| 06-04 07:50:00 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x82f8e1… |
| 06-04 07:49:55 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 1,750 | 99¢ | $1,740 | 0x4bb255… |
| 06-04 07:49:55 | Gleaming-Enemy 0x7171…7af9 | Yes | SELL | 1,750 | 1¢ | $11 | 0x4bb255… |
| 06-03 06:53:20 | Gleaming-Enemy 0x7171…7af9 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xddad94… |
| 06-03 06:53:20 | Important-Fledgling 0x84ba…9438 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xddad94… |
| 06-03 03:59:04 | Gleaming-Enemy 0x7171…7af9 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x14e935… |
| 06-03 03:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x9286…caf7 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x14e935… |
| 06-02 21:59:49 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 237 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xebb0d1… |
| 06-02 21:59:49 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | SELL | 237 | 99¢ | $236 | 0xebb0d1… |
| 06-02 11:19:58 | Open-World 0x34a1…9fd8 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc76f87… |
| 06-02 11:19:58 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc76f87… |
| 06-02 07:49:02 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaf69c2… |
| 06-02 07:49:02 | Trustworthy-Outline 0x0652…6c3b | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xaf69c2… |
| 06-01 21:46:14 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32bb6d… |
| 06-01 21:46:14 | Stormy-Deduce 0x4a04…889f | Yes | SELL | 63 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32bb6d… |
| 06-01 19:04:43 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 175 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xca3643… |
| 06-01 19:04:43 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xca3643… |
| 06-01 19:04:43 | Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | Yes | SELL | 342 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xca3643… |