Internal-Technology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$52

Hit rate

3.9%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$9.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

$319

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-25 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

60% 0% $-2

Politics

39% 0% $-0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-214	$-175	86¢	$-185	$-10	05-31 00:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+335	$174	40¢	$132	$-42	06-17 23:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+1	$1	76¢	$1	$-0	05-30 15:45
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	06-24 17:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	20	$1.1K	1,206	1,206	+0	open	—	06-18 12:52
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$1.1K	562	562	+0	No	$-2	04-17 04:39
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	12	$956	858	858	+0	open	—	06-25 14:53
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	9	$694	435	435	+0	open	—	06-02 04:23
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	8	$646	376	375	+1	open	—	06-24 17:05
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	10	$642	362	362	+0	open	—	06-20 08:38
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	8	$609	322	322	+0	open	—	05-24 21:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	8	$511	653	318	+335	open	—	06-17 23:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$391	514	514	+0	open	—	05-29 07:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	7	$354	257	256	+1	open	—	05-30 15:45
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	9	$353	279	279	+0	open	—	06-08 11:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$351	188	188	+0	open	—	05-31 07:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	4	$345	227	227	+0	open	—	06-13 19:22
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$320	166	166	+0	open	—	06-23 00:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$175	0	214	-214	open	—	05-31 00:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$172	0	232	-232	open	—	05-25 03:32
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	4	$170	0	175	-175	open	—	06-13 10:26
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$106	106	106	+0	Yes	$-0	04-24 09:19
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	1	$59	324	0	+324	open	—	06-14 04:39
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$50	1,311	1,311	+0	No	+$0	04-19 23:10
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	3	$45	241	241	+0	open	—	04-23 13:45
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	4	$19	353	353	+0	open	—	06-25 09:27
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	4	$11	168	168	+0	open	—	06-20 23:21
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	1	$9	310	0	+310	open	—	05-31 11:10
Netanyahu out by June 30?	3	$8	318	318	+0	open	—	06-14 22:15
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	1	$4	275	0	+275	open	—	05-28 02:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 14:53:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	217	46¢	$100	0x6490ae…
06-25 14:53:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	42	46¢	$19	0xfafabc…
06-25 11:22:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	259	62¢	$161	0xf3bf93…
06-25 09:27:44	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	3¢	$2	0x968a5f…
06-25 09:27:44	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	228	3¢	$6	0x5f629a…
06-25 09:27:44	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0x4baa85…
06-25 06:22:11	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	3¢	$10	0x3c8b02…
06-24 17:05:11	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xe39184…
06-24 17:04:44	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	73	86¢	$63	0x695f3d…
06-24 17:03:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x458f41…
06-24 17:03:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	79	86¢	$68	0x1d0a59…
06-24 13:40:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	188	86¢	$162	0xa45913…
06-23 11:55:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	188	86¢	$162	0xc88e31…
06-23 10:34:01	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xecc952…
06-23 10:34:01	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	171	86¢	$147	0xae7d80…
06-23 00:25:16	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	166	97¢	$161	0x8c38d6…
06-22 20:43:43	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	166	96¢	$160	0x975918…
06-20 23:21:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0x97c4bf…
06-20 23:21:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x4c14ad…
06-20 21:18:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	125	4¢	$4	0x688fc2…
06-20 19:58:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	168	3¢	$5	0x91a087…
06-20 08:38:52	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	83	89¢	$74	0xcbd304…
06-20 08:38:52	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52	89¢	$46	0xa4cf64…
06-20 08:38:52	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	89¢	$41	0x1f8f5d…
06-20 05:15:17	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	78	88¢	$69	0xb5c2de…
06-20 05:15:17	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	103	88¢	$91	0xa82a1e…
06-20 00:55:16	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	89	88¢	$79	0x27ea1a…
06-20 00:55:14	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	88¢	$77	0xaad746…
06-20 00:55:14	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x91febc…
06-19 21:31:38	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	89¢	$54	0xee3c3f…
06-19 21:31:38	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	121	89¢	$108	0x82c35b…
06-18 12:52:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	76	55¢	$42	0xfe8950…
06-18 12:52:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x6edea2…
06-18 12:52:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	204	55¢	$112	0x57f261…
06-18 11:14:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0xfaf696…
06-18 11:14:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	115	54¢	$62	0xf3dd2b…
06-18 11:14:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	115	54¢	$62	0x4ba527…
06-17 23:37:32	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x9865c8…
06-17 23:36:55	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	233	53¢	$123	0xf667dc…
06-17 23:36:55	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	59	53¢	$31	0xf1f1ad…
06-17 22:01:04	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	106	53¢	$56	0xeaaa2c…
06-17 22:01:04	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x6552fa…
06-17 22:01:04	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	96	53¢	$51	0x2d0c73…
06-17 18:32:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x8180bb…
06-17 18:32:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	276	62¢	$171	0x45185f…
06-17 18:31:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	284	62¢	$176	0xc42e62…
06-15 16:53:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	170	51¢	$87	0x875bc3…
06-15 16:53:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	23	51¢	$12	0x690fe6…
06-15 16:53:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	65	51¢	$33	0x1dcb6d…
06-15 16:52:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	57	51¢	$29	0xd100b0…
06-15 14:07:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	166	52¢	$86	0xaffc4f…
06-15 14:07:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	149	52¢	$77	0x48f4ff…
06-14 22:15:58	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	235	1¢	$3	0x4814b1…
06-14 22:15:57	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x3e2e9a…
06-14 20:35:58	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	318	1¢	$4	0x600a5e…
06-14 04:39:01	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	324	18¢	$59	0x61ee85…
06-13 19:22:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	77¢	$92	0xbf545e…
06-13 19:22:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	77¢	$83	0x8213f7…
06-13 18:19:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xc1fe0d…
06-13 18:19:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	75¢	$95	0x2066e9…
06-13 10:26:03	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x618e64…
06-13 09:15:13	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0xa21654…
06-13 09:15:13	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x6dad32…
06-13 09:15:13	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	66	97¢	$64	0x0c97ea…
06-13 03:33:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xfa9c9d…
06-13 03:33:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	109	48¢	$52	0xf4f2aa…
06-13 03:33:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	104	48¢	$50	0x26ed05…
06-13 01:09:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	218	47¢	$102	0xe215c2…
06-08 11:24:34	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x8bc23c…
06-04 15:55:28	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$2	0x7cba8d…
06-04 14:02:01	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0xf98414…
06-02 13:53:05	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0x415809…
06-02 09:40:46	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	351	52¢	$183	0xf05900…
06-02 04:23:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	45	81¢	$36	0xfb0eb1…
06-02 04:23:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0x62fcbe…
06-02 04:23:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	138	81¢	$111	0x3c08e4…
06-02 01:33:30	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	92	82¢	$75	0xcdb986…
06-02 01:33:30	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	116	82¢	$95	0x88c373…
06-01 22:48:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	172	39¢	$67	0xd009e7…
06-01 22:48:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	66	39¢	$26	0xce86a7…
06-01 22:48:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x89d24f…
06-01 22:48:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	131	39¢	$51	0x4e1e62…
06-01 22:48:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x46d709…
06-01 20:50:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	389	40¢	$156	0xb48241…
06-01 15:57:03	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xb2f63e…
06-01 15:57:03	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x69a571…
06-01 15:57:03	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	107	98¢	$105	0x516c9c…
06-01 12:53:29	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xeca775…
06-01 12:53:29	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xc7f047…
06-01 12:53:29	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x0eae5a…
05-31 11:10:27	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	310	3¢	$9	0xe9a008…
05-31 07:03:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	188	93¢	$176	0xa0618d…
05-31 04:22:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x386c48…
05-31 04:22:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	80	93¢	$75	0x22251c…
05-31 04:22:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	80	93¢	$75	0x162ba1…
05-31 00:40:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	214	82¢	$175	0xe222f8…
05-30 18:58:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	279	51¢	$142	0x69180b…
05-30 18:58:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	25	51¢	$13	0x0c4b8e…
05-30 17:17:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	213	51¢	$109	0xbeeba1…
05-30 17:17:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	91	51¢	$46	0x5df73f…