Overdue-Salon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

300

Trades

660

lifetime

Volume

$8.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-03 01:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

72% 76% +$1

Crypto

18% 86% +$0

Politics

7% 53% $0

Sports

2% 62% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-15 10:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brent Barker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	5	$151	76	76	+0	No	$0	05-23 01:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or higher on May 29?	3	$78	39	39	+0	No	+$0	05-28 13:31
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	3	$72	36	36	+0	No	$0	05-25 20:04
will bank of america say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833029	5	$63	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	07-14 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 6?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-06 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 21?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-21 16:21
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-25 17:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on May 22?	2	$59	30	29	+1	No	+$0	05-21 16:20
will epic games valuation hit high 20b by june 30	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-01 11:29
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on July 1?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-30 19:44
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-06 04:45
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 29?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-29 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on July 4?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-04 07:00
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 John Deere Classic?	5	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-05 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on June 30?	6	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-30 11:22
ethereum above 1800 on june 28 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-27 21:12
Will National Construction Movement (BINAA) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-01 23:56
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on June 1?	5	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-01 01:44
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-05 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 31?	8	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-31 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on June 25?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-25 17:47
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 24?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-24 08:47
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-11 00:56
bitcoin above 58k on june 27 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	06-27 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 30?	6	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	06-29 11:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 1?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-01 09:41
Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-18 18:00
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-30 17:34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on July 2?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-02 02:53
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on July 2?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-02 03:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 01:32:04	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf3559c…
10-26 13:02:39	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xed18f8…
10-23 00:36:41	Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x922cd4…
10-15 10:28:49	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9136d5…
10-13 12:27:31	Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x13616c…
10-04 10:11:26	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbdeb3c…
09-28 02:52:53	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3e7357…
09-28 02:51:56	Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf7e03e…
09-28 02:51:05	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x81071f…
09-23 11:43:47	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa32774…
09-23 10:54:11	Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0e815c…
09-18 20:33:19	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x4753d7…
09-12 10:22:01	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfdb3ac…
09-11 15:11:37	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5b6bc7…
09-11 15:10:24	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6af8a3…
09-06 12:43:31	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc34ad3…
09-06 05:41:45	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2bceb1…
09-04 11:04:46	Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd3c90c…
09-04 11:03:31	Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2ff1cd…
09-04 11:02:18	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xeb390a…
09-04 11:01:06	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa78cbf…
09-04 10:59:54	Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x05b794…
09-04 10:58:39	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x17bdd4…
09-04 10:57:27	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x01b49e…
09-04 10:56:13	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x95940a…
09-01 09:07:34	Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6a2bc8…
08-26 21:02:13	Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3cc263…
08-23 12:34:04	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x46061f…
08-11 05:27:36	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x08ed29…
08-09 04:43:31	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x343324…
08-06 06:07:21	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf63843…
08-02 01:48:02	Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x49e0a9…
08-01 07:29:00	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d53a7…
07-26 06:45:48	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0ad60a…
07-14 16:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x08f42c…
07-14 15:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 14?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x632916…
07-14 14:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 15?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe9f482…
07-14 12:57:40	will bank of america say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833029	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xde504d…
07-14 12:57:38	will bank of america say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833029	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x139c30…
07-14 12:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5bb8ab…
07-14 11:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C or below on July 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xcc72d0…
07-14 11:35:56	will bank of america say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833029	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x939703…
07-14 11:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on July 14?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc13d44…
07-14 11:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C or below on July 14?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1d4fa9…
07-14 11:07:35	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x1e0132…
07-14 10:36:59	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3de3cb…
07-14 08:27:02	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xef06a5…
07-14 07:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe009da…
07-13 20:41:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on July 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x23723d…
07-13 20:22:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on July 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf45f75…
07-13 19:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on July 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9306a0…
07-13 16:22:31	will bank of america say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833029	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x845015…
07-13 14:01:34	will bank of america say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833029	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3fe673…
07-13 11:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xcf605e…
07-13 11:18:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3ba2ca…
07-13 11:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb5142a…
07-13 07:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x522125…
07-13 06:21:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on July 13?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x46ec47…
07-13 04:32:13	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18m?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x949e56…
07-13 03:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 13?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xeecd51…
07-13 03:40:29	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18m?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6862dc…
07-13 01:00:19	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18m?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0ccb77…
07-12 20:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 13?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9d0d72…
07-12 15:47:53	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3deff7…
07-12 15:30:35	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb840d0…
07-12 13:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 13?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x365909…
07-12 12:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x86e0ae…
07-12 04:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf063f5…
07-12 04:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8ddcc7…
07-12 03:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfbf36b…
07-12 03:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8d5b05…
07-12 03:33:14	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xc41d22…
07-12 01:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xebc0e3…
07-11 22:32:20	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9b67c3…
07-11 20:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on July 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf8ba56…
07-11 18:54:04	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xe90b5c…
07-11 17:49:14	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3dbebe…
07-11 16:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on July 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf8c911…
07-11 13:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on July 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xff3953…
07-11 12:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 11?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xaee25f…
07-11 07:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa07e58…
07-11 05:20:55	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x96a7ed…
07-11 02:15:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6b1f9e…
07-11 00:56:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x813f8e…
07-10 23:48:59	bitcoin above 68k on july 11 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x45cef8…
07-10 22:39:52	bitcoin above 68k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xd08881…
07-10 22:06:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9ddf29…
07-10 22:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 11?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf3ad9b…
07-10 21:50:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1609f3…
07-10 19:29:20	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x591ee1…
07-10 17:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x888ee8…
07-10 15:46:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x61d124…
07-10 15:42:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xaef2b5…
07-10 15:42:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2570dc…
07-10 15:39:58	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or below on July 11?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x137096…
07-10 15:31:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa60ae2…
07-10 11:50:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb71791…
07-10 11:24:40	bitcoin above 56k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbfb646…
07-10 09:45:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or below on July 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xb6e0fd…
07-10 09:32:32	bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc18d68…