Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
21.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
814
lifetime
Volume
$512
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$16
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 07-21 05:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
53%
Other
33% 50% $-0
Crypto
14%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 07-02 17:42
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -2 $-2 97¢ $-2 $-0 07-20 12:55
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 07-17 07:45
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-2 92¢ $-2 +$0 07-21 05:10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-23 19:05
OPEC dissolves in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-22 16:22
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 07-19 15:34
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-19 21:55
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-16 14:59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 07-20 18:03
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-19 06:40
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 07-16 23:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 07-05 20:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 07-18 09:42