Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
21.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
584
lifetime
Volume
$460
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$9
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 06-21 20:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
56%
Other
29% 50% $-0
Crypto
15%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -4 $-4 100¢ $-4 $-0 06-15 16:57
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 06-21 19:31
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 06-16 12:01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 09:41
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 02:33
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 93¢ $-0 $-0 06-21 20:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 06-14 21:21
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -0 $-0 92¢ $-0 $-0 06-20 09:44