Luminous-Kebab 0x14bc89…293904
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Realized P&L
-$441
Unrealized P&L
+$105
Hit rate
8.3%
Resolved
13
Trades
890
lifetime
Volume
$19.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$658
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 06-30 00:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
48% — —
Politics
26% 0% $-212
Sports
23% 30% $-229
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +332 $250 97¢ $323 +$73 06-28 22:04
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,247 $171 11¢ $131 $-40 06-19 17:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +129 $66 70¢ $91 +$25 06-19 19:09
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -50 $-42 90¢ $-44 $-2 06-29 07:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +188 $28 12¢ $23 $-5 06-19 19:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +32 $16 54¢ $17 +$1 06-25 08:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +18 $14 75¢ $14 +$0 06-19 19:12
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +13 $11 86¢ $11 $-0 06-11 04:37
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 $-0 06-19 19:11
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? Yes +276 $2 0¢ $1 $-1 06-19 19:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +0 $-55 100¢ $0 +$55 06-23 15:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +0 $1 96¢ $0 $-1 06-21 08:17
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 80¢ $0 $-0 06-30 00:50