Luminous-Kebab 0x14bc89…293904
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$177
Unrealized P&L
-$292
Hit rate
48.7%
Resolved
527
Trades
1,599
lifetime
Volume
$54.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$844
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 10-21 08:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Other
53% 46% +$803
Sports
23% 42% -$939
Politics
20% 45% -$45
Tech
2% 0% -$2
Crypto
1% 50% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +2,083 $500 14¢ $292 -$208 08-20 14:19
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,247 $171 10¢ $119 -$53 06-19 17:18
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +199 $121 54¢ $106 -$15 07-18 23:21
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +101 $62 52¢ $53 -$9 07-18 23:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +57 $19 67¢ $39 +$19 08-27 20:36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +49 $26 66¢ $33 +$7 09-15 00:33
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +32 $16 81¢ $26 +$10 06-25 08:18
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +36 $18 66¢ $24 +$6 09-21 00:34
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +27 $23 83¢ $22 $0 06-19 19:10
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,929 $20 1¢ $20 +$0 08-31 17:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +188 $28 9¢ $16 -$12 06-19 19:10
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +15 $9 97¢ $15 +$5 06-29 07:15
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +13 $12 97¢ $12 +$1 06-11 04:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +110 $12 11¢ $12 -$1 06-19 19:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +43 $13 26¢ $11 -$2 09-21 00:34
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +104 $160 9¢ $9 -$151 08-21 17:10
No one announced as next James Bond? No +8 $6 77¢ $6 +$1 08-27 20:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +7 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 05-02 05:18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +148 $8 4¢ $6 -$2 06-19 19:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +47 $9 11¢ $5 -$4 08-27 20:36
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 06-19 19:11
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948 Yes +37 $21 8¢ $3 -$18 06-19 17:18
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -9 -$5 24¢ $-2 +$3 05-27 17:38
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +5 $1 36¢ $2 +$0 08-20 12:32
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +34 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 06-19 19:11
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1 $0 100¢ $1 +$1 06-13 06:54
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +0 -$78 96¢ $0 +$79 09-12 16:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +0 -$57 96¢ $0 +$57 10-17 23:26
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +0 $3 34¢ $0 -$3 09-14 23:27
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +0 $1 68¢ $0 $0 09-17 01:53