Realized P&L
-$441
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
8.3%
Resolved
13
Trades
956
lifetime
Volume
$28.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$369
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 07-18 22:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
62%
Politics
20% 0% $-212
Sports
16% 30% $-229
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,247 $171 12¢ $150 $-22 06-19 17:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +129 $66 78¢ $101 +$35 06-19 19:09
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -50 $-42 90¢ $-44 $-2 06-29 07:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +188 $28 14¢ $25 $-3 06-19 19:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +32 $16 58¢ $19 +$3 06-25 08:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +18 $14 82¢ $15 +$2 06-19 19:12
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +13 $11 88¢ $11 +$0 06-11 04:37
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No +3 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 06-19 19:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +0 $1 98¢ $0 $-1 06-21 08:17
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 $-0 06-30 00:50