Official-Handsaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

385

Trades

871

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-31 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

71% 79% +$1

Crypto

20% 76% +$0

Politics

6% 58% $0

Sports

2% 64% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No		+4	$4	100¢	$4	+$0	10-31 16:13
Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No		+1	$1	100¢	$1	$0	09-20 23:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on July 16?	4	$98	49	49	+0	No	+$0	07-17 01:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	4	$88	44	44	+0	No	+$0	07-11 01:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 28?	4	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	06-27 18:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	5	$77	39	39	+0	No	+$0	07-17 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 5?	4	$73	37	37	+0	No	$0	07-04 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on June 2?	5	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	06-02 03:11
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 28?	4	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	05-28 14:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 15?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-14 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	6	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-24 03:20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 6°C or below on July 4?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-04 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 30?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-30 12:23
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 2?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-02 04:22
bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-25 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on May 28?	5	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-28 05:57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 31?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-31 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on July 4?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-04 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 16?	5	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	05-16 01:17
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 31?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-31 19:08
Will XRP reach $1.40 on June 2?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	06-03 02:17
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-30 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 21?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 01:04
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 28?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-28 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 4?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-04 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C or below on July 1?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	06-30 17:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-26 06:56
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on July 3?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-03 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on July 4?	4	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-04 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C or higher on May 26?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-26 21:05
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or higher on July 7?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-07 08:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 4?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-03 16:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:13:49	Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3de7b2…
10-27 06:27:08	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x737931…
10-27 06:26:18	Will Getafe win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa504aa…
10-07 12:23:05	Will Getafe win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6f3456…
10-01 14:40:56	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe3afce…
10-01 14:40:02	Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7ba617…
09-20 23:32:10	Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f69b2…
09-03 07:11:40	Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc7af89…
08-29 15:06:27	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x601007…
08-26 20:16:55	Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x70f5b9…
08-07 18:10:04	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5b1bc0…
08-05 12:34:23	Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63d970…
07-24 03:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xff1460…
07-24 01:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x605f41…
07-23 18:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc55a92…
07-23 17:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x25b8b9…
07-23 16:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on July 23?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x48e47a…
07-23 13:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 24?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xcdc75f…
07-23 13:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 24?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe97eaf…
07-23 13:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x262ddc…
07-23 12:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 23?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x77929a…
07-23 12:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x096481…
07-23 12:41:09	xrp above 1pt3 on july 24 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x8c4969…
07-23 11:54:31	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 24?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xeb5b5b…
07-23 09:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4b248d…
07-23 06:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x2f7d2f…
07-23 04:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x02c591…
07-23 02:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on July 23?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3fec0e…
07-23 00:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfa608a…
07-23 00:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xaf122b…
07-23 00:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf23428…
07-23 00:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x16ae64…
07-23 00:17:30	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0xe6341b…
07-22 18:37:09	xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa7f388…
07-22 15:48:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x80431f…
07-22 15:13:36	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x849f71…
07-22 12:52:10	xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x688246…
07-22 10:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x0405bf…
07-22 10:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 22?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x8eda7b…
07-22 07:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 22?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x45b0a6…
07-22 03:53:48	solana above 90 on july 22 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8217fd…
07-22 03:14:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7e1050…
07-22 02:23:40	solana above 90 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x500e8f…
07-22 00:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 22?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x5ccf8a…
07-21 22:52:28	solana above 90 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35bef4…
07-21 21:23:48	solana above 90 on july 22 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9e5e43…
07-21 20:32:16	solana above 90 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1ae12…
07-21 18:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x18a15f…
07-21 17:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 22?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x556ec7…
07-21 17:16:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 22?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xc0e852…
07-21 13:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5623ee…
07-21 10:39:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 21?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcca187…
07-21 10:34:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 22?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x426e51…
07-21 10:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 98°F or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc034d4…
07-21 10:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on July 21?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc78c40…
07-21 05:33:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4b9f21…
07-21 03:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on July 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x682497…
07-21 01:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf73a51…
07-21 01:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x989b5c…
07-21 00:43:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x288fb4…
07-21 00:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc92763…
07-21 00:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 98°F or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa50579…
07-20 20:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0x99154f…
07-20 19:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2ab2b6…
07-20 19:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x05c30c…
07-20 17:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 20?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x136767…
07-20 13:11:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26512a…
07-20 10:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 20?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd422ab…
07-20 03:02:51	Will Blake Bracht be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x66163c…
07-20 03:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 20?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x885094…
07-20 02:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 20?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1e3ff3…
07-20 01:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0xe1fd71…
07-20 01:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x54f52e…
07-20 01:02:04	Will Blake Bracht be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc9d07f…
07-19 23:13:06	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7a30a9…
07-19 21:22:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6d02db…
07-19 17:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1d8a92…
07-19 16:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on July 20?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x5baa52…
07-19 15:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 19?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xdf6d8f…
07-19 10:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on July 19?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x620aa0…
07-19 09:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xdc8996…
07-19 07:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 19?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdffdf3…
07-19 06:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd22c6c…
07-19 06:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 19?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbb750e…
07-19 06:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa4d23a…
07-19 06:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x943ef9…
07-19 05:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on July 19?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbf071e…
07-19 03:25:34	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf49ec7…
07-19 03:09:28	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x927371…
07-19 00:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 19?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1414a4…
07-18 23:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc1c437…
07-18 23:08:48	will 5 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249342	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7caa6a…
07-18 21:21:30	will 5 matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610211249342	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1b4117…
07-17 19:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x84a539…
07-17 18:33:24	will mu reach 1080 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc2d103…
07-17 18:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C or below on July 18?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa27c83…
07-17 16:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbe5df…
07-17 15:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x498e0b…
07-17 14:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcaf29e…
07-17 14:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd54900…