Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
29.8%
Resolved
95
Trades
2,641
lifetime
Volume
$1.73K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$17
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-28 15:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Politics
53% 41% -$5
Other
47% 50% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -6 -$5 96¢ $-5 -$1 09-20 18:11
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No -4 -$1 98¢ $-4 -$3 07-19 21:55
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No -3 -$3 93¢ $-3 +$0 07-06 00:57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 07-18 09:42
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 07-13 11:55
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-28 15:04
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 07-18 11:19
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -1 $0 91¢ $-1 $0 07-02 17:42
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -0 $0 97¢ $-0 $0 05-13 20:55
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +0 $1 96¢ $0 $0 07-16 23:47
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 07-21 19:39
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No -0 $0 82¢ $-0 $0 05-04 05:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No -0 $0 95¢ $-0 $0 08-19 16:24
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 07-20 12:55