Embarrassed-Patio — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

332

Trades

734

lifetime

Volume

$9.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-04 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

76% 80% -$43

Crypto

16% 90% +$0

Politics

4% 70% $0

Sports

3% 31% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		+1	$1	100¢	$1	$0	09-20 07:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Is God Is" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	5	$85	43	43	+0	No	+$0	05-18 13:34
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	4	$82	41	41	+0	No	+$0	06-30 16:55
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 27?	7	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-27 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on July 6?	3	$77	38	38	+0	No	+$0	07-06 16:25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 21?	6	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-21 18:31
will there be 15 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750575	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-18 22:57
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-16 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 2?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-02 01:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-17 15:05
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C or higher on June 28?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-28 03:01
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on July 1?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-30 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C or below on July 14?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-14 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or below on July 5?	3	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-05 05:01
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 14?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-13 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on July 6?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-06 13:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 15?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-15 17:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C or higher on July 11?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-11 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 23?	5	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-23 21:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	2	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	05-29 11:47
Will "Maid of Honor - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 6?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	06-01 17:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 2?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-02 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 4?	5	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-03 19:49
ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	07-13 04:15
Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?	2	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 4?	3	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-04 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-20 20:35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on May 23?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-24 04:39
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 25?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-25 12:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 11?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-10 15:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 14:48:12	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x533d33…
11-04 14:47:18	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2bd2c0…
11-04 14:46:24	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe07ccd…
11-04 14:45:33	Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x681088…
10-30 10:02:07	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d1609…
10-15 18:11:55	Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe85b7c…
10-10 16:08:36	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x87b19d…
10-10 16:07:45	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8c19c7…
10-10 16:06:54	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x48679e…
10-10 05:56:09	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xec306f…
09-20 07:21:56	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d22d7…
09-14 11:05:51	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5044c2…
09-02 17:17:03	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x8eb42f…
09-01 13:47:19	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2ef399…
08-24 10:14:49	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda0e26…
08-11 12:07:58	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x94767c…
08-09 23:41:25	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf5b593…
08-06 15:59:47	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0c6ada…
07-22 11:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 22?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd42aaa…
07-22 05:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fe264…
07-22 03:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xac066b…
07-22 03:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x675c67…
07-22 03:06:40	Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x97f984…
07-22 00:45:39	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x994595…
07-21 21:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8e6fdf…
07-21 20:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 85°F or below on July 21?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8516e1…
07-21 19:11:22	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6c8e8a…
07-21 18:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 22?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa46af9…
07-21 11:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1e6b72…
07-21 08:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 85°F or below on July 21?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe2e987…
07-21 03:39:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on July 21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x552dcf…
07-21 02:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C on July 21?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6c4b22…
07-21 01:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C on July 21?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2ffb09…
07-21 00:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 98°F or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe04421…
07-20 22:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 98°F or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x488b07…
07-20 21:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C on July 21?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa8265a…
07-20 20:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xfc2ddb…
07-20 19:54:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0bd96d…
07-20 18:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc4ef2d…
07-20 13:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3c5726…
07-20 09:33:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc9ec0d…
07-20 09:15:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 20?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xad5dba…
07-20 08:33:10	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9d69aa…
07-20 07:29:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34ee61…
07-20 05:42:15	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7b5ea2…
07-20 01:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x27990a…
07-19 19:35:57	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4e7c76…
07-19 19:07:28	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb8c9f9…
07-19 16:00:10	Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd38ba5…
07-19 13:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0xd570f8…
07-19 11:33:06	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x888599…
07-19 09:09:04	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2c19e2…
07-19 08:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 19?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x916347…
07-19 08:45:07	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbfccd3…
07-19 07:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf2a803…
07-19 05:30:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x152fe2…
07-19 03:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 19?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9f8a42…
07-19 03:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b01f0…
07-19 01:17:33	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xff3b49…
07-18 22:57:54	will there be 15 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750575	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1c15bf…
07-18 21:36:49	will there be 15 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750575	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5fc64a…
07-18 10:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 18?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x236f2d…
07-17 22:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8e5276…
07-17 15:05:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xf686d8…
07-17 12:01:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3770c1…
07-17 10:46:09	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc85794…
07-17 10:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 17?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x8c1e2e…
07-17 10:01:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xbf7bf6…
07-17 07:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1b7ab8…
07-17 07:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 18?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x088bd4…
07-17 05:39:22	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2e5802…
07-17 03:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 17?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbd62c7…
07-17 03:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcec0fb…
07-16 23:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 17?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc44b60…
07-16 22:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x447d1c…
07-16 21:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6beaa0…
07-16 16:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 16?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1ef72d…
07-16 16:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 16?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6f4bc0…
07-16 12:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 16?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9f165d…
07-16 12:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 16?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6157e9…
07-16 12:33:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf79bfd…
07-16 09:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x148a8a…
07-16 09:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 16?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3b221c…
07-16 08:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 16?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2fc296…
07-16 06:47:23	solana above 90 on july 16 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9df96a…
07-16 06:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 16?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe69a2d…
07-16 05:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 16?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x293c53…
07-16 04:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 16?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xeb32fd…
07-16 04:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 17?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x7c506d…
07-16 01:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6b34e8…
07-16 01:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 16?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc5d9c8…
07-16 00:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on July 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4b2bbb…
07-16 00:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on July 16?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7bfef8…
07-15 23:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on July 16?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x32202d…
07-15 23:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 16?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x6da529…
07-15 22:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1a4e81…
07-15 21:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on July 16?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x987675…
07-15 20:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on July 16?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5fbe39…
07-15 18:38:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 15?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x543802…
07-15 15:19:16	solana above 90 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6ea202…